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User Rating: *****

Mentalist's Photo
Reputation: 1501 Has Done Shameful Things for Rep
Group:
High House Mafia
Active Posts:
19,169 (2.77 per day)
Most Active In:
MAFIA (4934 posts)
Joined:
06-June 07
Profile Views:
96,357
Last Active:
User is offline Today, 01:44 AM
Currently:
Offline

My Information

Member Title:
Martyr of High House Mafia
Age:
38 years old
Birthday:
October 10, 1987
Location:
'sauga/GTA, City of the Lion
Interests:
Soccer, Chess, swimming, books, misc

Contact Information

E-mail:
Click here to e-mail me
MSN:
MSN  pavlotver@gmail.com
Website URL:
Website URL  http://
Skype:
Skype  pavlo.tvedokhlib

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Whatever extra comment you want:
Junior Mafia Mod

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1501

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Posts I've Made

  1. In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread

    Today, 01:07 AM

    I made this estimate in the first few months of the war, and I stick by it.

    The momentum will inexorably shift to Ukraine once enemy casualties become steady over 2k/day.

    If Magyar & Fedorov can make this happen, then Ukraine will be able to retake the Azov seaboard, and probably most of the core Donbas cities (from Alchevs'k to Mariupol, across Horlivka, Yenakiyeve and Donets'k). Likely Luhans'k Oblast N of the Donets' river as well.

    But this is a big ask.

  2. In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread

    09 May 2026 - 05:26 AM

    So trump announced that he mediated a ceasifire from May 9th to 11th, and there'll be a 1000 for 1000 prisoner swap.


    Zelensky immediately trolled the Kremlin by issuing a formal order that the area of the Red Square (corner coordinates attached) be excluded from the war planning of the UAF for the next 3 days, effective the starting hour of the parade.

    In effect, he is making a proclamation that "he gives approval for the May 9th parade"

    At the same time, the expectation is that on the 12th the orcs will lob a massive drone & missile barrage on UA.

    But at least the weekend's supposed to be pretty tame.

  3. In Topic: Israel and Iran

    07 May 2026 - 09:54 PM

     QuickTidal, on 07 May 2026 - 03:00 PM, said:

    I'm amused that Trump and co think that all their need to do is show military ships "getting through" to be like "see? We can escort you, it's fine"....

    The reality is that shipping companies will NOT be insured to do it....no matter the "protection" offered. It's WAYYYYY too much of a risk. Unless Iran and the US (and Israel) stop fighting and things go back to some semblance of what they were before all this, those commercial vessels WILL NOT go through.

    But Trump is aware of how stupid a lot of Americans are so they buy his BS.


    Unless Iran says "we will not be targeting any cargo ships going through the Strait", I don't expect any sensible insurer to issue a policy to any ship in the area.

    And I think everyone but the toddler-in-chief understands this.

  4. In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread

    07 May 2026 - 05:56 PM

    Fresh strikes on Perm'- both the pumping station and the refinery are on fire again.

    UAF hit yet another missile ship that's capable of launching kalibr missiles. This time, on the Caspian Sea. So that's 4 seas now (Black, Azov, Caspian and Baltic). oh, and there was that saboteur that set a Northern Fleet ship on fire.

    Moscow airports are still on lockdown, b/c drone alerts are ongoing. I wonder if UAF can keep this steady warnings long enough to disrupt any "dignitaries" that were supposed to show up on Saturday?

    Quite frankly, I'd rather just have ongoing sirens during the parade, without any actual drone strikes.

  5. In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread

    06 May 2026 - 02:43 PM

    Instead, the orcs started lobbing glide bombs at major cities again. Kharkiv, Dnipro, Zaporizhya; Over 20 civilians killed in the past 2 days.

    Ukraine concluded that Moscow violated the proposed silence period; So they don't consider themselves bound to any sort of ceasefire in the upcoming days.

    HUR also notes that the orcs are stockpiling cruise missiles for massive strikes on the 9th and 10th. This could be their attempt to destroy Ukraine's water/sewage infrastructure.

Comments

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  1. Photo

    Tsundoku 

    09 Oct 2025 - 19:57
    happy #38 dude
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    Tsundoku 

    02 Dec 2024 - 09:25
    sorry I missed your birthday this year, hope it was a good one
  3. Photo

    Tsundoku 

    09 Oct 2023 - 20:46
    happy birthday, say hi to the guys in ICU from me ;)
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    Tsundoku 

    09 Oct 2022 - 20:38
    happy another birthday dude
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    Tsundoku 

    10 Oct 2021 - 02:00
    Need photographic evidence you are indeed still in one piece. Happy birthday dude
  6. Photo

    Tsundoku 

    10 Oct 2020 - 01:51
    And again.
  7. Photo

    Tsundoku 

    09 Oct 2019 - 19:51
    ditto
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    Tsundoku 

    09 Oct 2018 - 19:56
    happy birthday, try to stay in one piece
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    Shpetim 

    12 Feb 2015 - 21:30
    I hope you won't mind mate, but I copied and posted that "poem" thing you posted on the West Vs Russian interest thread.. You know, the one that starts off about how pathetic Europe is or has become.. Liked it so much that I had to post it. Keep up the good work on reporting about anything new.. Peace out to you friend..
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    Terez 

    18 Dec 2014 - 15:32
    'Tis a pleasure. I really appreciate your comments on Ukraine and Russia.
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    Raraku 

    31 Oct 2009 - 04:10
    + rep for "they can manipulate their way into a Spite/Envy foursome if needed"
  12. Photo

    HoosierDaddy 

    05 Mar 2009 - 19:06
    Wow. I was reeeeaaaalllllll close with that one! :)
  13. Photo

    HoosierDaddy 

    05 Mar 2009 - 05:00
    You originally from Kiev, Ment? I'm getting that vibe from you with the Eastern Europe and K-town thing.
  14. Photo

    frookenhauer 

    03 Nov 2008 - 21:41
    Good luck with the back dude, that sucks! Lectures are one of the reasons I do not miss Uni :)
  15. Photo

    Lisheo 

    10 Oct 2008 - 09:15
    Happy Birthday! :)
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