Malazan Empire: Mentalist - Viewing Profile - Malazan Empire

Werthead, on 12 September 2026 - 10:54 PM, said:

We've seen these counter-attacks into contested cities before. (See: Torets'k, Chasiv Yar, and (sort of), Pokrovs'k).

Typically, they delay the complete capture of said city by a number of months.


(Kup'yans'k wouldn't fit this pattern, b/c the counter-strike took place outside the city, cutting off the infiltration path first, and then moving in for clean-up of the encircled forces)


Wouldn't really put much stock into it, the enemy focused most of their forces on the Konstyantynivka and Dobropillya axes, so taking back significant territory here is... unlikely.

It would be ironic if this time the counter-attack manages to actually reach Kreminna. But I'll believe that when I see it.

Fun fact, it was exactly this moment (the recapture of Lyman and the push towards Svatove-Kreminna ridge along the Krasna river that prompted the mobilization order 4 years ago. It were the hundreds of mobiks haphazardly thrown in to man the trenches and hold the line that stopped that advance.

4 years and half a million deaths later, we seem to back to the exact same place.

EDIT: big hits by UAF last night.

Saratov- another strike on refinery + Ozon Warehouse (muscovy's second largest e-retailer) burned down completely. This one's 13th largest on the bingo card.

Volgograd- missile strike on a defence enterprise manufacturing ballistic missile components

Perm Krai- 2 chemical enterprises (manufacture both fertilizer and explosives) hit

Dagestan- the flotilla base in Kaspiysk was hit. Some reporting that the Tatarstan, the flotilla's lead ship, was damaged.

Meanwhile, besides hitting shopping centres and some warehouses in broad daylight, the orcs have started to hit gas stations in Kyiv.

I wonder if anyone told putler that the frontline has been pushed from 10 km to Svyatohirs'k to about 30 now, with the collapse of that salient.

To clarify: on the Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok, putler made another bunch of fantastical statements about the orcs' progress. In particular, he claimed they controlled the monastery town of Svyatohirsk, which is located on a hilltop over the Siversky Donets, roughly 20 km upstream from Lyman. It was one of the objectives of the salient, since it was enveloping the city from the N, and hoped to cut off supply lines by reaching the river further westward. But at their farthest extent on the Nitrius river (which also flows into the Donets, and is located between Zherebets and Oskil) the orcs were still 10 km away from it, as was plainly stated by all the Z-heads who had to comment on these pronouncements. Andriy Biletsky, commander of the 3rd Assault Corps then recorded a video from Svyatohirsk, indicating that it is the rear of the Corps, and no enemy presence there (obviously).

Now that we know the salient has collapsed and the orcs are falling back towards the Zherebets, putler's statements sounds exceptionally ludicrous.

DeepState still not updating their map.

I'm hoping the success of this attack (the Lyman salient) means the remaining garrison in Yampil' will be deblocked now.

Major strikes on Novorossiysk last night. Magyar claims that Admiral Essen was set on fire (again). There were some claims of additional "sunk vessels" of the Black Sea Fleet, but I think those were probably exaggerations (hope to be proven wrong, but we'll need receipts on that).

UAF appears to be diverting assault regiments into the area between Konstyantynivka and Dobropillya to stabilize the line and prevent the orcs from enveloping Druzhkivka from the SW.

One thing we are not hearing about is reinforcements on the Sivers'k axis, that would halt the enemy infiltrations directly towards the eastern outskirts of Slov'yans'ks and Kramators'k. Which is a bit concerning. their 2 big "unexpected" gains last year were the relatively effortless captures of Sivers'k and Hulyaipole. And if in the latter's case they couldn't really capitalize on it with a major push on Orikhiv (due to the counter-strikes in their flank), after taking Sivers'k they've been able to make steady pushes directly westward, making it about half-way to the "fortress belt"

EDIT: oh, and FirePoint claims to have hit the Gas Condensate plant in New Urengoy, the heart of Muscovy's gas producing land, the Yamal-Nenets Autonomous District.
2850 km from Sumy or Kharkiv as the crow flies, but FirePoint says their plotted course was over 3300 km.

new record, I think.

orcs are trying to wipe out food distribution centres to force food shortages.

The mutual sea war in the Black Sea forced both sides to effectively halt grain exports. This means farmers have to sell on the domestic market, below cost, which is really bad news for their bottom line. And expect big problems for global food security, since, y'know, top 2 wheat exporters are locked out.

Kirishy was muscovy's second largest refinery, that recently reported coming back online after the June strikes. Hopefully the fresh hit shuts it down for a while.

At this point, we REALLY need to hit Omsk again, which is running at partial capacity. If it can be shut down, the fuel shortages could become critical.

UA hit Blegorod and Bryansk hard last night, targeting power infrastructure. Only a miniscule response to the onslaught that's been pouring on Kyiv and other cities. The new jet-engine Shaheds are currently outpacing drone interceptors, and the next gen that can catch them is yet to be produced in sufficient capacity. We're hearing less about ballistic missiles, which suggests they are stockpiling them for the winter. The current intel is that this time they want to aim not at power/heat, but primarilty at water/sewage infrastructure, to try and make big cities un-livable.

Macron floated the idea of next round of sanctions targeting any country that will

*checks notes*

sell fuel to Moscow.

So, we went from trying to embargo orc exports, to making sure they can't import fuel anymore.

"Gas Station with nukes" superpower, everyone.