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Group:
High House Mafia
Active Posts:
19,125 (2.79 per day)
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MAFIA (4934 posts)
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06-June 07
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User is online Today, 05:51 AM
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Viewing Forum: Discussions

My Information

Member Title:
Martyr of High House Mafia
Age:
38 years old
Birthday:
October 10, 1987
Location:
'sauga/GTA, City of the Lion
Interests:
Soccer, Chess, swimming, books, misc

Contact Information

E-mail:
Click here to e-mail me
MSN:
MSN  pavlotver@gmail.com
Website URL:
Website URL  http://
Skype:
Skype  pavlo.tvedokhlib

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Junior Mafia Mod

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Posts I've Made

  1. In Topic: Reading at t'moment?

    07 March 2026 - 06:18 PM

    Finished "Drawing of the Three".

    Will be moving onto "The Waste Lands"
  2. In Topic: Israel and Iran

    07 March 2026 - 06:17 PM

    View PostAzath Vitr (D, on 07 March 2026 - 02:49 AM, said:

    View PostMentalist, on 06 March 2026 - 09:15 PM, said:

    There's really no "win" scenario, unless Iran agrees to back off (or an actual revolution happens, which doesn't feel likely ATM). And inciting invasions to foment ethnic strife won't solve this, b/c it doesn't take much to send drones to the Gulf states, or into tankers in the Strait- you don't need a fully functioning bureaucracy for this, you just need autonomous military cells that can keep functioning even if the whole country plunges into a free-for-all civil war.


    Good point that if the US actually collapses the regime without replacing it and then leaves---without completely and lastingly destroying remaining Revolutionary Guard cells' capacity for drone attacks---vengeful Revolutionary Guard groups yearning for martyrdom are likely to continue... if they're not too busy fighting their own civil wars.

    Literally all you need to halt the flow of ships through the Straight is for a bunch of insurance brokers in London to maintain an impression that it's not safe to traverse, b/c vengeful rogue operatives will sink anything they can see. And that's not hard, when all you need for a drone are a cheap guidance kit, a motor, some explosives and some plywood.
  3. In Topic: Israel and Iran

    06 March 2026 - 09:15 PM

    View PostAzath Vitr (D, on 06 March 2026 - 07:40 PM, said:

    View PostCause, on 06 March 2026 - 06:37 PM, said:

    The long term occupations all fail but they are done in part to rebuild and claim a moral mission. Nothing stops the USA from putting boots on the ground, blowing every military and economic asset to hell and than just leaving. It will mean a million militias and terrorism skyrocketing but Iran will be smashed.


    Trump biographer Michael Wolff:

    Quote

    Several weeks into the Iraq War, after U.S. forces had swept to Baghdad, President George W. Bush landed on an aircraft carrier [...] festooned with the now infamous banner that read "Mission Accomplished"—of course, the war continued on for years more.

    Since then, Trump has said—for many years, on constant repeat—"What a dummy, he claimed victory, he should have just gone home. And nobody would've cared what the fuck happened after that."

    [...] The Ayatollah is dead. That's the win. Donald Trump will shortly claim victory—and what comes next ain't his problem.

    Inside Trump's War in Iran - by Michael Wolff - HOWL The Beloved Duncery (okay it's actually just HOWL)


    I still think it's most likely that Trump will chicken out and declare victory soon, then mostly leave off attacking Iran. And that Central Command leak is probably either a bluff to pressure the Iranians or being misinterpreted by those who think it indicates the war will probably last through September (so Trump can end it right before elections in November, and brag about having brought down the price of oil by 800%?...). Trump almost certainly realizes he either needs strong support from the military or strong support from red state voters... continuing the war through September seems likely to lose him substantial support among both.


    The trick is, you can't unilaterally end the war.

    US can stop bombing Iran and take the ships back to the Western hemisphere; but that doesn't mean Iran will stop droning American bases in the Gulf states, or open the Strait of Hormuzfor shipping.

    There's really no "win" scenario, unless Iran agrees to back off (or an actual revolution happens, which doesn't feel likely ATM). And inciting invasions to foment ethnic strife won't solve this, b/c it doesn't take much to send drones to the Gulf states, or into tankers in the Strait- you don't need a fully functioning bureaucracy for this, you just need autonomous military cells that can keep functioning even if the whole country plunges into a free-for-all civil war.
  4. In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread

    06 March 2026 - 06:24 PM

    to be fair, the reason for fibre spike is the data centre boom, so this isn't China being malicious to the war specifically. It's just another aspect of AI disrupting economy.

    Hungary let the 7 bank workers go, but confiscated the money and gold they were transferring from Austria, with accusations of money laundering. I expect the BS from Hungary to continue throughout the next month, as their election tensions build up.
  5. In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread

    05 March 2026 - 05:38 PM

    TG is supposed to be shut down by April 1, so the hypothetical mobilization will get on after that.

    RN they're trying to recruit as many students as possible, in some cases deliberately flunking them, to make them eligible for the draft, and offering "drone operator contracts" as an alternative. The catch is, it's a standard military contract (with no term limit, as long as the mobilization is ongoing), and the orc MoD can use their discretion to determine the candidate's not eligible for drones- and then transfer them to frontline infantry.


    UAF hit the offshore gas mining rig Sivash, destroying the Ka-27 helicopter that brought orcs there.

    Geneva talks are bearing fruit: 200 for 200 prisoner swap took place today, with another 300 coming tomorrow, hopefully.

    The Gulf States want Ukrainian drone interceptors to deal with Shaheds. Hopefully, they're willing to pony up the cash that'll allow UA to ramp up production.

    There's an ongoing confrontation b/w UA and hungary and slovakia. In January, the orcs struck the Brody pumping station on the Druzhba pipeline that supplies the 2 with orc oil. The blaze took 10 DAYS to extinguish. naturally, the pipeline's been shut down, b/c UA doesn't exactly have the free staff to focus on repairing it. But Orban & Fico are accusing UA of purposefully obstructing the repairs, and using this as an excuse to block all pro-UA decisions in the EU.
    Naturally, neither blamed putler for actually targeting the pipeline that's crucial to their energy supply.

Comments

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    Tsundoku 

    09 Oct 2025 - 19:57
    happy #38 dude
  2. Photo

    Tsundoku 

    02 Dec 2024 - 09:25
    sorry I missed your birthday this year, hope it was a good one
  3. Photo

    Tsundoku 

    09 Oct 2023 - 20:46
    happy birthday, say hi to the guys in ICU from me ;)
  4. Photo

    Tsundoku 

    09 Oct 2022 - 20:38
    happy another birthday dude
  5. Photo

    Tsundoku 

    10 Oct 2021 - 02:00
    Need photographic evidence you are indeed still in one piece. Happy birthday dude
  6. Photo

    Tsundoku 

    10 Oct 2020 - 01:51
    And again.
  7. Photo

    Tsundoku 

    09 Oct 2019 - 19:51
    ditto
  8. Photo

    Tsundoku 

    09 Oct 2018 - 19:56
    happy birthday, try to stay in one piece
  9. Photo

    Shpetim 

    12 Feb 2015 - 21:30
    I hope you won't mind mate, but I copied and posted that "poem" thing you posted on the West Vs Russian interest thread.. You know, the one that starts off about how pathetic Europe is or has become.. Liked it so much that I had to post it. Keep up the good work on reporting about anything new.. Peace out to you friend..
  10. Photo

    Terez 

    18 Dec 2014 - 15:32
    'Tis a pleasure. I really appreciate your comments on Ukraine and Russia.
  11. Photo

    Raraku 

    31 Oct 2009 - 04:10
    + rep for "they can manipulate their way into a Spite/Envy foursome if needed"
  12. Photo

    HoosierDaddy 

    05 Mar 2009 - 19:06
    Wow. I was reeeeaaaalllllll close with that one! :)
  13. Photo

    HoosierDaddy 

    05 Mar 2009 - 05:00
    You originally from Kiev, Ment? I'm getting that vibe from you with the Eastern Europe and K-town thing.
  14. Photo

    frookenhauer 

    03 Nov 2008 - 21:41
    Good luck with the back dude, that sucks! Lectures are one of the reasons I do not miss Uni :)
  15. Photo

    Lisheo 

    10 Oct 2008 - 09:15
    Happy Birthday! :)
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