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Posts I've Made
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In Topic: Pandemics
Today, 10:46 PM
Tsundoku, on 05 October 2026 - 08:34 PM, said:Reminds me of all the information that promptly came out of China back in the day. Oh wait!
Now we just wait and see if Russia shuts down domestic flights but allows international flights to continue ...
Good thing there's sanctions in place that block them from flying to the West. -
In Topic: The Book I bought today is...
Today, 10:45 PM
Yeah, if the blurb emphasizes "characters in difficult circumstances developing attraction for their antagonist", then the focus is romance.
Kate Daniels books had a relationship as a running thread, but the emphasis was on the magic and monsters stuff, and that's what the blurbs were about. Most of the new stuff I saw is the opposite of that. -
In Topic: Pandemics
Today, 08:21 PM
Cause, on 05 October 2026 - 07:29 PM, said:Pneumonic plague should be BSL-3 I believe, which means it needs either a Biosafety cabinet of level 2 minimum and ideally level 3. Level 2 should prevent aerosols escaping and level 3 is a sealed box. Either way dropping a ‘test tube’ should have been a mitigated risk in the former and a non event in the latter. Protocol would have been to disinfect everything. She would have I’d imagine be given prophylactic antibiotics and told to isolate for the incubation period which should be around 1-7 days. Bsl3 labs and above have paperwork and protocols like you wouldn’t believe. I believe she wouldn’t have been able to work alone either so no hiding the accident either. pope would’ve been a gown, double gloves, taped to the sleeve, respiratory protection, eye/face shield
The timeline of September 29 to October 3rd is very fast but maybe plausible in a worst case scenario. The level of care would have needed to be frightfully lax though! Protocol would have been for someone to check on her every day to keep on eye on symptoms and to make sure she is maintaining isolation.
Human error is always the week link but really so much would need to have gone wrong here for her to not only die of the plague but to have started an outbreak even more protocols and human error would be needed.
The cure is streptomycin for gods sake.
Initial reporting was that they put 200 people under observation that could've potentially been exposed, including several hospitals.
So definitely something odd about the distribution pattern. -
In Topic: Pandemics
Today, 03:11 PM
Azath Vitr (D, on 05 October 2026 - 01:41 PM, said:QuickTidal, on 05 October 2026 - 12:48 PM, said:Reports out of the Irkutsk region of Russia reveal a potential public health crisis developing in the area, after a lab accident released a “particularly dangerous infection” to a researcher, who later passed away.
Twenty-eight-year-old Darya Shipilovia, a lab technician at the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Institute, died two days after she was hospitalized, following exposure to a “pneumonia of unknown etiology,” according to Rospotrebnadzor, a federal agency that oversees health and safety. The pathogen in question has been said to be the deadly but treatable pneumonic plague.
According to several outlets, hospitals are under quarantine, with the number of shutdowns ranging from three to five. Reports from independent news sources such as The Moscow Times say that nearly 200 workers have been placed under observation.
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For those unaware, this is different from the "Black Death" type, which is bubonic plague. Pneumonic plague is spread via respiratory droplets.
*Edit- the Black Death did include Pneumonic plague, as other commenters have noted.
Pneumonic plague has a near 100% CFR (Case Fatality Rate), but is easily treated with antibiotics as long as it's done so early. The R0 (r-naught) of the bacteria varies from various studies around 1.3 up to 3.5. This is a general area of expertise of mine- Disaster Preparedness with a sub-set in Pandemics & Radiological Emergencies.
Within one day, we've gone from general reports that someone died due to being infected with this pathogen, to multiple hospitals being quarantined. Nobody should panic or buy all the TP rolls, but it's worth monitoring as there's a LOT we don't know, as official Russian News channels are denying anything is abnormally amiss.
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I will point out that a 100% CFR means this can't go pandemic as it kills it's hosts too quickly for the spread to be that rapid, especially out of Siberia...but it's still worrisome. A legit lab leak this time? Guh.
Oh well, Russia has been historically been very forthcoming with info about how these things happen when they have an accident that threatens the world right?
The story doesn't quite make sense---she supposedly broke a test tube containing it, so if it's easily cured with antibiotics if caught early... did she not receive antibiotics? It's not like a "you broke it, now you have to die for it" situation...
Also, an R0 of 3.5 would be higher than that of the initial covid variants around the start of the pandemic.
Putin has been trying to make bioweapons, so this may well be a more infectious strain.
If he thought he could wipe out the Ukrainian people with this and it ends up causing mass casualties in Russia...
There's a non-zero chance the reaction to breaking the tube was:
step 1: douse the lab floor in chlorine
step 2: take several shots to "disinfect yourself"
step 3: report, go home, carry on as normal -
In Topic: The Book I bought today is...
Yesterday, 11:17 PM
I was out in the West end of town, and they have a fantastic Chapters there. Though, my God, there's a lot of romantasy on those shelves.
I did pick up a few early gifts for myself
"House of Open Wounds" by Adrian Tchaikovsky- Bk 2 of The Tyrant philosophers
"Play of Shadows" by Sebastien De Castell- because I can never say no to a new light De Castell read.
I also saw that there's another new Dragonlance trilogy by Weiss& Hickman. And apparently, they are going for yet ANOTHER time travel to undo things the new MC doesn't like caper.
Some things really need to end.
Comments
Tsundoku
09 Oct 2025 - 19:57Tsundoku
02 Dec 2024 - 09:25Tsundoku
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09 Oct 2022 - 20:38Tsundoku
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03 Nov 2008 - 21:41Lisheo
10 Oct 2008 - 09:15