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- Group:
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- Member Title:
- Martyr of High House Mafia
- Age:
- 39 years old
- Birthday:
- October 10, 1987
- Location:
- 'sauga/GTA, City of the Lion
- Interests:
- Soccer, Chess, swimming, books, misc
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pavlotver@gmail.com
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pavlo.tvedokhlib
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Tsundoku 
09 Oct 2026 - 22:28 -
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08 Apr 2025 - 01:29 -
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14 Feb 2024 - 22:53 -
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Posts I've Made
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In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread
18 October 2026 - 06:46 PM
Huge drone strike on St Petersburg.
oil terminal, Ozon warehouse (2nd biggest logistics distributor after Wildberries), as well as a VK data center.
According to Zelensky, intel-sharing with the US is back, but StarLink throttle is still in effect. Meanwhile, Rubio lied on national TV, stating that UAF doesn't have access to the military version of Starlink, StarShield, which is flat out un-true. So lil' Marco officially retires as the last Moscow hawk- we all knew it, but here's the final confirmation.
Romania shot down 2 orc drones in its coastal zone. The orcs have been quite aggressive in trying to shut down shipping in Romanian and Bulgarian waters of the Black Sea. -
In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread
17 October 2026 - 05:43 PM
Azath Vitr (D, on 16 October 2026 - 11:08 PM, said:
Mentalist, on 16 October 2026 - 10:50 PM, said:muscovite farmers who are being squeezed by high interest rates on borrowing they can't repay (b/c they can't sell their harvest) are not really incentivized to sow winter grains, which could have really bad ramifications by next spring.
Couldn't Putin just order them to?
And what money will they buy the seeds with, if their current harvest is worth less than what they spent to grow it?
Macros, on 17 October 2026 - 10:05 AM, said:Maybe engage in some form of collectivisation?
realistically, a lot of smaller landholders will probably get bought out by the large agro-holdings, that have close links to the Kremlin and the Ministry of Agriculture, specifically. The smaller farmers will go belly-up, while the bigger ones will get some bailouts, plus they have more resources to weather the losses. -
In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread
16 October 2026 - 10:50 PM
UAF drones hit the Gazprom gas processing plant in Surgut.
This is Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Region, the heartland of Moscow's Western Siberian oil country. About 2.6k clicks from Kharkiv.
Grain prices are collapsing in muscovy, b/c they are unable to export their (rather good) harvest. This could have really bad consequences for global food security in a mid-term perspective. Aside from some shortages now, muscovite farmers who are being squeezed by high interest rates on borrowing they can't repay (b/c they can't sell their harvest) are not really incentivized to sow winter grains, which could have really bad ramifications by next spring. -
In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread
14 October 2026 - 10:27 PM
Werthead, on 14 October 2026 - 10:03 PM, said:Late-breaking, iffily-sourced story, so take with a pinch of salt. But some sources are saying that Mohammed bin Salman has spoken to Russian representatives and told them to stop supplying Iran and the Houthis with missiles and other weapons, or Saudi Arabia will turn its taps to full capacity and flood the market with cheap oil like it did during the Reagan era.
Take with a pinch of salt, especially with Saudi outlets for that oil crippled by the Iranian blockade and Houthi strikes, but that would rob Russia of its main income stream, would make Trump happy and probably loosen off on his criticisms of Ukraine.
MBS is floundering, b/c his facade of a successful and secure post-petro-state is collapsing, as he can't effectively restrain the Houthis, and his puppet government in Aden can't deliver sufficient results.
Realistically, even if Saudis could max out exports, it won't bring diesel prices down here and now (in time to salvage the election).
At the same time, if they were to drop global oil price below 60, that would crash like half of US oil industry. So it's not actually something that trump & co want. -
In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread
13 October 2026 - 03:05 PM
Velyka Novosilka itself is E of the Mokri Yaly river, so trying to hold it (even should it be freed) without a major bridgehead is un-tenable.
The bigger issue is, even if you get there, then you are essentially back before the Surovikin Line to the south (past a few more villages' ruins along the river), where the summer 2023 offensive stalled and faltered. I have a very hard time envisioning an effective push towards the Azov Sea from there.
I get trying to cut the supply line between Velyka Novosilka and Hulyaipole so as to disrupt the push towards Orikhiv from the W; but I'm not sure how sustainable assaults on this frontline will be once the orcs finally stop trying to advance and go back to dug in positions;

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Tsundoku
09 Oct 2026 - 22:29Tsundoku
09 Oct 2025 - 19:57Tsundoku
02 Dec 2024 - 09:25Tsundoku
09 Oct 2023 - 20:46Tsundoku
09 Oct 2022 - 20:38Tsundoku
10 Oct 2021 - 02:00Tsundoku
10 Oct 2020 - 01:51Tsundoku
09 Oct 2019 - 19:51Tsundoku
09 Oct 2018 - 19:56Shpetim
12 Feb 2015 - 21:30Terez
18 Dec 2014 - 15:32Raraku
31 Oct 2009 - 04:10HoosierDaddy
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05 Mar 2009 - 05:00frookenhauer
03 Nov 2008 - 21:41