Malazan Empire: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread - Malazan Empire

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The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread

#3201 User is offline   Werthead 

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Posted Yesterday, 11:03 AM

Ukraine has launched a major drone attack on St Petersburg on the opening day of the World Economic Forum. The oil terminal took multiple hits and the Kronstadt naval yards (where arguably the Russian Revolution was kick-started) were attacked, with a corvette heavily damaged.

Recent territory exchanges in Ukraine as mapped by ISW are illuminating:

Dec 2025 - Russia +519 sq km
Jan 2026 - Russia +319
Feb 2026 - Russia +123
Mar 2026 - Russia +23
Apr 2026 - Ukraine + 116
May 2026 - Ukraine +281

Can the trend continue? Interesting to see.

Ukraine has conducted tests of the FP7.X ballistic missile interceptor, its homegrown alternative to Patriot. The interceptor shows promise but will not be deployable at scale until arguably well into 2027. Ukraine now regards Russia's ballistic missiles as its sole remaining major threat.

The Russian Black Sea Fleet Headquarters, aviation division, in Sevastopol has taken a direct missile hit.

St. Petersburg's air defences apparently failed to engage drones during the Ukrainian attack, with only small arms being used to try to down them.

Gas stations in Moscow have started rationing fuel.

The vessel damaged at St. Petersburg has been confirmed as the Steregushchy-class corvette Boikiy, one of the most formidable vessels in the Baltic Fleet. The vessel's superstructure was shown to be ablaze.

With Ukrainian regular military units unable to advance in many sectors due to a lack of manpower or overwhelming Russian defences, these units have developed drone divisions to continue carrying out combat operations. Non-specialist drone units attached to regular formations have been responsible for a large amount of Ukraine's recent drone success.

This post has been edited by Werthead: Yesterday, 05:34 PM

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#3202 User is offline   Werthead 

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Posted Yesterday, 08:55 PM

Oof, Ukrainian forces are making a counter-attack between Dobropillya and Pokrovsk. 1,000-pound JDAM bombs are pummelling entire Russian positions into nothing. These are being air-launched by Su-27s as well, which should be well within Russian AA range, except all of the Russian AA units anywhere near this front have been destroyed.

Multiple gas stations in Donetsk city now saying they are out of fuel and shutting up shop. Simferopol in Crimea is also increasingly cut off, Ukrainian drones showing a "road of death" of burned-out fuel tankers extending around the city.

Clearer footage showing the Boikiy listing in its berth in Kronstadt, still on fire, with dozens of fire engines and hoses spraying water on it, rather ineffectually from the look of it. Kronstadt is famed in Russian history as playing a key role in both the revolutions of 1917, and later the betrayal of the navy by the Bolsheviks who massacred the sailors there (many of them veterans who'd helped the Bolsheviks come to power) in 1921 for demanding better conditions.

Ukraine’s Spalakh drone operators from the 28th Brigade claim to have brought Horlivka under full fire control. The city, located 40km from Ukrainian positions, behind Pokrovsk, has been surrounded by loitering drone units destroying any supplies trying to enter or leave the city. Horlivka is a major supply node for the main Russian offensive effort in Donetsk Oblast.

Russia has banned the reporting of any and all news about Russian supply truck movements in the entire occupied zone.

Russian tankers and truck drivers in Prymorsk have refused to drive any more fuel trucks, pointing to a tanker Ukrainian drones left ablaze near the town.

Moscow, Leningrad, Ryazan, Kursk, Belgorod, Voronezh, Oryol, Novgorod, Samara and Murmansk regions have all introduced fuel rationing.

A Swedish vessel has boarded and captured Caffa, a Russian shadow fleet tanker, reportedly using intelligence gained by Ukraine.

Ukraine's Unmanned Systems have reported 100,000 Russian casualties inflicted since this time last year, with over 350,000 targets struck and 1.65 million combat missions flown.

Hungary has formally withdrawn its veto on Ukraine's EU accession bid.

One of the Russian patrol boats guarding the Kerch Strait Bridge has been hit by drones.

Ukrainian drones on the Lyman front are targeting key logistics routes over the Zherebets River, destroying Russian resupplies and dropping bridges and pontoons supplying the Lyman front. Some excited claims of a major Russian reversal on this front but nothing confirmed yet.

Russian milblogger Rybar claims that Ukrainian reinforcements have arrived south of Mala Tokmachka and are now pressing hard to recapture more of the N-08 highway. Russian retreats on this front had eased after additional reinforcements arrived, but Ukraine is pressing hard and still hoping to retake at least Kamyansk.

Rubio has confirmed that Ukraine has achieved significant successes and gains in the last few weeks.

This post has been edited by Werthead: Today, 06:29 PM

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"Try standing out in a winter storm all night and see how tough you are. Start with that. Then go into a bar and pick a fight and see how tough you are. And then go home and break crockery over your head. Start with those three and you'll be good to go."
- Bruce Campbell on how to be as cool as he is
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