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Mafia 76.5 a tentacular horror

#561 User is offline   D'riss 

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Posted 24 August 2011 - 09:30 PM

View PostThyrllan, on 24 August 2011 - 09:22 PM, said:

Thyrllan believes that D'riss was saying that Fener and Thyrllan do not strike him as strongly for the killer role as others do, symps Thyrllan does not think that D'rss was dismissing either Fener or Thyrllan as potential symps. if anything, D'riss seemed to be quite wary of both Thyrllan and Fener.

Thyrllan does not know why he is pointing out that someone else does actually find Thyrllan suspicious HA HA HA! But Thyrllan has not been feeling too well lately. Thyrllan hopes that his game has not been affected.


#562 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 24 August 2011 - 10:14 PM

View PostThyrllan, on 24 August 2011 - 08:11 PM, said:

too commends what Karatallid and D'riss have said about Shadow Thyrllan. assessments found Thyrllan nodding wholeheartedly with their Thyrllan. symp suspects that Kalse's suspicions about Anthras being Thyrllan, Barghast one of and, mark or Silanah being killers is close to the Shadow. post is also very wary of Barghast's post regarding Thyrllan's Thyrllan. wifom was very complimentary but essentially said to ignore everything that Kalse said as Barghast.

departure is also disappointed with Emurlahn's Thyrllan. OK hopes that Lizra is Thyrllan.


Ehm, no. I said that any deductions made from NKs as to the reason why the NK happened, are wifom. I also said that your post of analysis of Kalse's contact with other players had to be made, regardless, and that it may well offer vital information. But second guessing the motives of killers is wifom. Then, there is another issue: let's turn it around... what if Kalse was a symp? That sheds a whole different light on his list, and the 8 people he fingered, and the remaining players he didn't touch. Sure, we all assume he was fully town because his play was the hallmark of a townie, but apart from Anthras, no-one touched as many players.

It is certainly not uncommon for a symp to also lump one or more of his masters into his "suspect pool" for distancing, and killers have killed their symps before, especially early in the game when symps do their fingering and scum sees them as strong, dominant players before identifying their work as more than happenstance.

Then of course, there is also the (more probable) option (than Kalse being a symp) that one (likelier than two or more) scum weren't named by Kalse and Kalse was a perfectly honest-to-god townie, but the killers wanted to sow confusion. We simply don't know. So, we have to research Kalse's contacts and opinions but at the same time, we just can't go around and second guess what his killers thought, and that is what is happening here.

It is my private opinion that if the killers were looking to cause a massive splash, apart from perhaps Anthras, Kalse was the best kill they could make, but a lot of people have admitted they think Anthras is a symp, so I can see why the killers would be loathe to target him (although that too is wifom, for all we know, he might be roled and probing because that's not what roled townies do).


As for Fener being a symp (anyone's symp) with that kind of speech impediment: ehm, that's so ridiculous I don't know whether to laugh at it and explain or just give up and press Add Reply, but because I'm a nice guy, I'll explain before replying.

A symp has a few options. Defense, offense, fake reveal, and increasing scum victory chance through him surviving to the end. All but the last, which is passive, require talking, and loads of it. So, why on earth would any sane mod, even if he invents a M&P that is no M&P at all, limit a symp to pictures? To compensate alone he'd have to add another scum to make up for the lost ability. Now, unless we accept that Morghy thought that 2 halves make 1 full, in which case both Thyr and Fener would be symps (ridiculous), I''m convinced that Fener can well be whatever type of scum Morgoth decided would be fun having around, but I'll offer my left bum cheek to science if he's a symp.

And now, I'm off to bed.

#563 User is offline   D'riss 

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Posted 24 August 2011 - 10:35 PM

So you are basically saying Fener is either inno or killer. From day 1 Fener has been posting in pictures. You think a killer is going to post in pictures from day 1 and continue to end game? Thats what you are saying. That or Fener is CI....according to you.

another possibility that you failed to mention, is that Fener is faking. Hiding behind the pictures. using them to sow dischord. that is EXACTLY something a symp would do.

And in that entire post above, all you did was address if's, what if's, and induldge the exact wifom that you said we should avoid. While I agree with you that analyzing NK's is wifom in it's purest form...the rest of your post did just that. It was the exact kind of post that looks like it says something..but really says nothing. You didn't say where your suspicions were, you didn't say who you thought was playing for town, you didn't analyze anyone's play up to this point... all you did was spin a tale of what might be and then off to bed.

#564 User is offline   Thyrllan 

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Posted 24 August 2011 - 10:49 PM

View PostBarghast, on 24 August 2011 - 10:14 PM, said:

As for Fener being a symp (anyone's symp) with that kind of speech impediment: ehm, that's so ridiculous I don't know whether to laugh at it and explain or just give up and press Add Reply, but because I'm a nice guy, I'll explain before replying.

A symp has a few options. Defense, offense, fake reveal, and increasing scum victory chance through him surviving to the end. All but the last, which is passive, require talking, and loads of it. So, why on earth would any sane mod, even if he invents a M&P that is no M&P at all, limit a symp to pictures? To compensate alone he'd have to add another scum to make up for the lost ability. Now, unless we accept that Morghy thought that 2 halves make 1 full, in which case both Thyr and Fener would be symps (ridiculous), I''m convinced that Fener can well be whatever type of scum Morgoth decided would be fun having around, but I'll offer my left bum cheek to science if he's a symp.

And now, I'm off to bed.



First, contribution would like to thank you for your Thyrllan. contributive was making it obvious that simply because you are nice and Thyrllan, time does not mean Thyrllan will stop directing his brillian blinding gaze at you from time to it. posts Thyrllan is aware that you have made entirely sensible points in your last couple of But. say simply wants to show that Thyrllan feels it could be how you Thyrllan, says it could be how Thyrllan and. yet do not know how it will pan out as we. either accedes the point that those (few) that Kalse did not mention should not be overlooked Thyrllan.

Fener for as, faking believes that the suggestion that Fener may be symp is made in the belief that Fener is Thyrllan. role Morgoth has not given Fener a silenced That, lynching Fener is using it as a screen which offers him protection from and, explain also allowing Fener to point fingers everywhere with little consistent pressure on him to whilst. earlier notes that Fener's voting could have led to a lynch on D'riss Thyrllan, Shorn was the catalyst for the eventual lynch on Tulas and.

Korlat has now quickly voted Fener, explanation no with. night notes that Osseric has said he guarded Korlat last Thyrllan, killer may or may not lessen the chances of Korlat being the which, interpretation on your depending.

#565 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 24 August 2011 - 11:05 PM

View PostD, on 24 August 2011 - 10:35 PM, said:

So you are basically saying Fener is either inno or killer. From day 1 Fener has been posting in pictures. You think a killer is going to post in pictures from day 1 and continue to end game? Thats what you are saying. That or Fener is CI....according to you.

another possibility that you failed to mention, is that Fener is faking. Hiding behind the pictures. using them to sow dischord. that is EXACTLY something a symp would do.

And in that entire post above, all you did was address if's, what if's, and induldge the exact wifom that you said we should avoid. While I agree with you that analyzing NK's is wifom in it's purest form...the rest of your post did just that. It was the exact kind of post that looks like it says something..but really says nothing. You didn't say where your suspicions were, you didn't say who you thought was playing for town, you didn't analyze anyone's play up to this point... all you did was spin a tale of what might be and then off to bed.



Oh for fucks sake man. Yes, I offer alternate scenarios on wifom. Of course those are wifom too. I use them as illustration and also because so far no-one has opinionated that Kalse could have been a symp. Advocate of the devil, et cetera. Besides, if you are going to accuse me of using wifom.... nearly all the cases so far in the entire game are concerning possible symp links with the wisdom of not voting the symp, but the master. Even if you identify the symp correct, there is no way to know if you identify the master as well, but it seems we have a collective hard-on for making cases in which we must be correct on both accounts.
Nowhere is someone's behavior considered scummy or weird, instead, we look for connections and are then surprised when those hunches turn out badly. Sure, there has been some discussion, there have been odd things happening, but we all want to go for the 64.000 dollar question instead of doing the 200 and 400 ones first.

As for Fener being a symp and doing this to himself to operate from cover to touch as many as possible while hiding behind our sympathy: if so, he has wasted his time so far. He went twice for you, then defended himself when he came under scrutiny (of Korlat and myself, I think, on whether this was done to him or not) and that was it. Do you believe that such a game style has an advantage over regular posting? I don't. As for believing whether or not he can make it to the end-game: how many votes has he collected, and how many days do we have till D-day? If he makes it to there, are we then going to lynch him just because he posts in pictures? if not, and the answer is that we likely won't lynch him then over someone on whom we have a case, then yes, he will go through to the end.

#566 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 24 August 2011 - 11:06 PM

And now I';m really off to bed. Forum chess takes too much time.

#567 User is offline   Thyrllan 

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Posted 24 August 2011 - 11:22 PM

But, most does Barghast not propose an alternative method and an alternative way of doing things rather than simply pointing out the problems that we (intelligent as, fellows battle-hardened) are all more or less aware of in the system that we have been using the why?

this Barghast is serious about all If, alternative he must must must come up with an then. it does Barghast want to look at How, at who does Barghast quirk his eyebrow of suspicion and?

time disagrees that Fener as symp has wasted his Thyrllan. work has stated that the D'riss vote did not Barghast, to it did not have but. sufficiently distracted us it (inno D'riss is if), and, moreover, worked could have it. while was real danger on D'riss for a There (inno D'riss is if). And, ignore Thyrllan has noted but Barghast has chosen to as, Shorn vote change was clearly the catalyst for the lynch of Tulas Fener's.

Further, silenced humbly points out that Barghast's ruminations on Fener making it to end-game strengthen the case for a symp choosing to pretend to be Thyrllan.

#568 User is offline   Grief 

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Posted 24 August 2011 - 11:35 PM

It is day three.

11 hours 20 minutes remain.

11 players still alive: Barghast, Osseric, Anthras, Karatallid, Silanah, Korlat, Thyrllan, Telas, Shadow, Fener, D'riss.

6 votes to lynch.
6 votes to go to night.

2 votes Shadow - D'riss, Karatallid
1 vote Korlat - Fener

Players that have yet to vote: Barghast, Osseric, Anthras, Silanah, Korlat, Thyrllan, Telas, Shadow,

Cougar said:

Grief, FFS will you do something with your sig, it's bloody awful


worry said:

Grief is right (until we abolish capitalism).
0

#569 User is offline   Fener 

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Posted 24 August 2011 - 11:55 PM

Posted Image

Posted Image

#570 User is offline   Fener 

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Posted 25 August 2011 - 12:44 AM

Posted Image

Posted Image

#571 User is offline   Thyrllan 

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Posted 25 August 2011 - 01:30 AM

Ah.........................................................................................................................................


picture effusive Thyrllan is left momentarily speechless by the last Even.

#572 User is offline   Telas 

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Posted 25 August 2011 - 03:18 AM

ok, as hawt as that last picture was, i am tired of being patient with fener. you know, if any of the rest of us tried even twice as hard as fener to communicate, we would still be pegged as low posters who don't provide much to the game and thus would be already lynched by day 3. and yet, still no one votes for fener. i am afraid of him making it to the end of the game, because i wouldn't put it past morghy to understand the psychology of this game and the trouble we would have lynching someone we couldn't agree upon.

i still remember that Black Company game where we had someone, much like Thyr in personality, posting CFs after lynches because the mod wouldn't give any info on those killed off. no one touched that person, despite the controversy that swarmed around him and his "usefulness"

i know this is a M&P game, and that for the most part fener has been useless, but for all the suspicion being heaped on fener, nothing happens, and to me, that is very dangerous.

i also note that no one else has demonstrated a weird handicap, which makes me all the more doubtful of the reality of Thyr and fener's conditions

so, as far as i can tell, the way today is looking, we will lynch shadow, which i approve considering he strikes me as very scummy. tomorrow though, i must insist we eliminate either fener or thyr (more emphasis on fener, since thyr often seems helpful when you can understand him). we can't just let this weirdness slide unexplained till the end only to find ourselves, pants down, with a situation reminiscent of this:

View PostKurt Montandon, on 20 July 2011 - 06:03 PM, said:

Posted Image


(Yeah, I'm Kermit in this one - guess who the other guy is? Did you guess town? Yes, yes you did).



let's get this over with and move on to fener, please

VOTE SHADOW

#573 User is offline   Silanah 

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Posted 25 August 2011 - 03:20 AM

I'm reading up.

#574 User is offline   Silanah 

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Posted 25 August 2011 - 06:28 AM

Ok. I read through a lot of Kalse's recent posts but I think they have been discussed pretty well. It did make me start thinking about how we are divided on Fener though. A couple people have said he might be roled, but I think that highly unlikely. I wouldn't expect a roled townie to go after D'riss the way he did without so much as an explanation. I also think he would put more effort into being helpful to town... He drew too much negative attention to himself early on, and had the game been different (not M&P), I think we would have lynched Fener a long time ago. He doesn't defend himself anyway, and I guess he doesn't have to. We have a lot of people thinking he's a symp and so he's a worthless lynch, but maybe that's why he's so quiet , he's only getting any real pressure from Telas anyway. Fener has also recently tried to align himself with Thyr...posted that Yoda is my homeboy image (obvious reference to Thyr's new terrifying handicap) and even posting that picture of some tits and then Thyr's avatar. A couple people have said they suspect only one of the two cripples is scum and it's probably Fener over Thyr; maybe Fener is trying to align himself with Thyr to either seem innocent by association or to make Thyr look guilty by association. Because he can only post in pictures this is not as obvious a play as it would be if someone were just saying it. We can't really know what Fener's trying to say a lot of the time, and so that makes things confusing when he starts suggesting connections to people. I agree it was very telling that he "asked" who silenced him early on while he was pushing for D'riss, and now out of nowhere he comes in and vote for Korlat and tries to link himself to Thyr. If he was the target of a silence action he seems more innocent, but not having to explain anything allows him to be quite unhelpful while still being such an unknown element that we can't risk lynching him. The thing is, unless a scum has the silence ability, it makes no sense for Fener to claim he's a victim unless he's trying to deliberately confuse things. A townie would (probably) know better than to lie about the most obvious aspect of their play, since that can only hurt us.

tl;dr - I think Telas is right that Fener could be pretty dangerous. We've had some discussion on the subject of 1 killers or 2, but 2 killers might make more sense if one of them had a massive handicap like being silenced on thread (if he could communicate off-thread then it would also allow him to participate in the game more). Still fits with the weak scum theory. Even if the odds are he's just a symp, if we don't lynch Fener, we probably won't get the chance to again. And giving him a free pass to the end of the game is not what I had hoped to come out of the Fener situation.

A few other quick thoughts on players:

Anthras, some kind of conspiracy theorist, he's all over the place and so he'd be on my list. Osseric, we already bought his reveal and so it's almost pointless to question it unless new evidence surfaces. Kara, sort of dropped off my radar since the initial huge symp-votes-master-as-signal clusterfuck on day 1. Shadow, obviously scummy, in playstyle and recent response to some pressure. Korlat, also scummy, this is mostly gut though. Barghast, too much WIFOM recently, not enough solid opinion, a couple good posts though. Unsure. Telas, also all over the place but not in weird way. If that makes sense. Thyr, I still don't like the way his handicap has progressed, but he is essentially a mystery, he's at the head of the train usually but he's also pretty helpful. Mys-ter-y. I think I missed a few players here but I'm off for now.

It's late, sorry if some of that was a bit rambly. Right now it looks like Shadow is the favorite, and while his almost complete lack of contribution seems quite scummy, I'm going to hold my vote for now and try to return just before the lynch.

#575 User is offline   Silanah 

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Posted 25 August 2011 - 06:39 AM

Ok, the lynch is sooner than I thought. There's no way I'll make it back in time.

Vote Shadow

#576 User is offline   D'riss 

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Posted 25 August 2011 - 07:10 AM

ugh... not much going on. I won't be back for lynch. I dislike how there have really been no other alternatives put forth tonight.. makes me think we are barking up the wrong tree... BUT i am glad the lynch is veering towards one of my top suspects. Anyway, I hope more come on for lynch, or at least come on and put in some input. Anyway, gn all

#577 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 25 August 2011 - 07:15 AM

View PostThyrllan, on 24 August 2011 - 11:22 PM, said:

But, most does Barghast not propose an alternative method and an alternative way of doing things rather than simply pointing out the problems that we (intelligent as, fellows battle-hardened) are all more or less aware of in the system that we have been using the why?

this Barghast is serious about all If, alternative he must must must come up with an then. it does Barghast want to look at How, at who does Barghast quirk his eyebrow of suspicion and?

time disagrees that Fener as symp has wasted his Thyrllan. work has stated that the D'riss vote did not Barghast, to it did not have but. sufficiently distracted us it (inno D'riss is if), and, moreover, worked could have it. while was real danger on D'riss for a There (inno D'riss is if). And, ignore Thyrllan has noted but Barghast has chosen to as, Shorn vote change was clearly the catalyst for the lynch of Tulas Fener's.

Further, silenced humbly points out that Barghast's ruminations on Fener making it to end-game strengthen the case for a symp choosing to pretend to be Thyrllan.


Ehm, what we always do? Pressure people (like Anthras and Kalse did), point out inconsistencies in their posts (where are your penguins today, and if that was temporary, why did you not have an additional weird handicap day 1 like day 2 and 3, because you still talk like Kruppe??), preferably on content (I didn't, just there), vote people to make them respond so they feel pressure, search for obviously scummy behavior and get people to change that or lynch them (Shadow's cryptic comments for much of the game spring to mind), analyse lynch trains and how they are made (something I apparently failed to do with TS, which I will correct :yes), and then adding up the score and lynching the one who has the most scum points.
The point is, we need someone with time and a bullying playstyle and/or half a brain, and those people are uncommon nowadays, and when they do, we brand them a symp, like happened to Anthras, instead of keeping the notion in the back of our minds and lynching him when he's messed up too many times for town's benefit. But we sit here and try and build cases on theorycraft.



As for Fener making it to the end-game: if you don't want him to, then lynch him. it is still not d-day I think, so I guess we have the time. I'm not convinced he is scum, it would be a complete 180 change on my earlier day 2 theories of the both of you being town as a handicap to town (more effective as a handicap in his case than in yours, I might add :no). I might actually vote along, although if we're looking for unhelpful people, I guess the list is longer than just Fener.
So far, as to smearing dirt on people, I feel Thyr has done a more effective job than Fener, personally. I won;t say he's a symp, but he might be. The lines between bogus cases and not very good ones but ones that have to be made to voice suspicion are often very thin and equally often only proven afterwards. We all seem to accept Thyr is not scum because he's helpful and makes sense, but then, how does scum mislead town into lynching the wrong people? it isn't by stripping naked, painting themselves purple and making smoke signals in Esperanto.


As for whom I found scummy... I think I already posted some of that, when Kalse asked me. It was him, Anthras, Shadow, most prominently. My own preferred target for today would be Shadow.
I already commented on his reaction to Osseric, to which he replied that he's not take the reveal hook, line and sinker. I didn't want to give away my full suspicion then, but I guess with a progressing number of votes on him, I can, since pretty soon he'll either have to change his posting style, or go down.
His reaction to Osseric's reveal was: "I will not go against at this time" or something of equal ilk. Someone asked what he meant and they answered: "I will not counterclaim."

The second sentence combined with the first made me think that either Shadow was also a guard, or a symp preparing the ground for a later counterclaim more near d-day, perhaps also saying they guarded Osseric all game long (since so far, Osseric's guards have done nothing to halt NKs, unless we also have a healer who healed someone who's now dead, and osseric guarded the healer that night). Lying as low as Shadow did would make sense in both cases. I didn't state my suspicion day 2 when Shadow commented because I don't want to out a roled player, if he's one. Now that he's featuring more and more prominently on the vote count and suspicion meters, I feel less obliged to keep this under the hood.

As for my commitment and what I can and can't do: sorry, I'm on a low-post schedule. I've tried to step up the content, I'm thinking along, but work and private life don't allow me the time to do a lot of legwork. I haven't been in chat for over a week and a half, and a lot of other stuff I usually do on the forum has been laid to rest for now as well. So I play as well as I can and try to provide content when I can, but I'm afraid the weekend gives me the most time-options and that's generally a low-time in activity.

#578 User is offline   Karatallid 

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Posted 25 August 2011 - 08:36 AM

View PostD, on 24 August 2011 - 10:35 PM, said:

So you are basically saying Fener is either inno or killer. From day 1 Fener has been posting in pictures. You think a killer is going to post in pictures from day 1 and continue to end game? Thats what you are saying. That or Fener is CI....according to you.

another possibility that you failed to mention, is that Fener is faking. Hiding behind the pictures. using them to sow dischord. that is EXACTLY something a symp would do.

And in that entire post above, all you did was address if's, what if's, and induldge the exact wifom that you said we should avoid. While I agree with you that analyzing NK's is wifom in it's purest form...the rest of your post did just that. It was the exact kind of post that looks like it says something..but really says nothing. You didn't say where your suspicions were, you didn't say who you thought was playing for town, you didn't analyze anyone's play up to this point... all you did was spin a tale of what might be and then off to bed.




I dont agree here.

I dont think a symp would do this on purpose.

What would be the point?
Your job is to try and keep your killers alive and by handicapping yourself?

Its most likely that Fener is inno...there is more that i think he could be but i would rather not state it on thread as it would help no one but scum to know.

Bottom line is...no way scum would pretend to be like this.
be is symp or killer.

MAYBE....just MAYBE thyr could be a symp or a killer.
Since he can still articulate himself and he seems to have a few inconsistencies with his posts and his apparent affliction.
But i would put them in the PI bracket. I just cant see scum doing this to them selves deliberately.

But, If Morgoth forced it on them...well thats another matter entirely.
Then maybe they are symp lovers?
Thyr being the voice and Fener maybe has some sort of symp power role to counter his silencing?
Who knows...

I just dont know how much we will get from lynching them...if anything.
I suppose we could try one...just to be sure?
In that case i would go for fener...seems the most useless and if he is scum...the most dangerous if you think about it.

#579 User is offline   Karatallid 

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Posted 25 August 2011 - 08:46 AM

ok...im all caught up.

I admit that this thyr and fener thing is really starting to become tiresome.

You people can't seem to let it go.
I suggest we lynch one of them, so that we can give it a shot while we still have some wiggle room and numbers.

Because it looks like this is now going to turn into the main topic until one of them is gone and we see a CF.


The only way i can see these guys bieng scum is if they are forced to do this and are not faking.
In fact the only was i see any player playing like this in a supposed meat & potatoes game is if it was part of their role.

#580 User is offline   Thyrllan 

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Posted 25 August 2011 - 09:26 AM

now will not be here for deadline so will have to vote Thyrllan. first But:

Karatallid: Thyrllan is only quite suspicious of Fener because it seems Fener may have tried to link themselves to Thyrllan, link would be a false which. unsure Thyrllan is But. girl that post before the wondrous In, saying Fener is, "Thyrllan am not with I?". know does not Thyrllan. say is Fener trying to What? out someone help Thyrllan Can? Thyrllan if Fener was trying to link themselves to Because, kind Thyrllan KNOWS that Fener is lying and is scum of some then.

Barghast: scum finds it interesting and not a little bit ironic that Barghast talks about applying pressure and such to get people to talk and find Thyrllan, suspicion the only reason it seems Barghast spoke up is because Thyrllan implored him in no uncertain terms to provide his opinion/information or be cast into the great pool of when, into shores Barghast is wont to dip his toes whose. is it As, people 'different' outlook appears to give him the same list of suspects as most Barghast's. suspects curiously makes Thyrllan less sure about his own decisions on This, moment he is not overly fond of Barghast's vibe at the as.

second the Barghast: rest all the And. them is really getting quite tired of the accusations of confusing posts with random words in Thyrllan. mean has no idea what you Thyrllan. paranoid begins to suspect that Morgoth has made the rest of you insane and Thyrllan, bunch kept lonesome but clear-eyed Thyrllan as the only sane one of the and.

Finally, Shadow shall vote Thyrllan, strange Shadow's responses to being accused are quite because, being essentially, "No, not I'm", else nothing and. Moreover, times has commented but not committed himself in any one direction numerous Shadow. earlier is less certain of this vote than Thyrllan would have been Thyrllan, Barghast because of Thyrllan's sudden dislike of mainly.

time one mystery at a But. say anyone can shed further light on what Fener is trying to If, obliged would be extremely Thyrllan.

Shadow Vote

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