[Maark Abbott]

 Lady Bliss, on 29 May 2024 - 01:03 AM, said:

I am so sick that I have no words.

https://www.politico...d-line-00160258

Without wanting to make it sound too crass, America and the bombing of brown people has always been a point they either overlooked or were part of (I cite George Carlin on the off that any modgod misinterprets the comment)

Now if it was the Israelis getting mercilessly bombed, there'd be a full deployment no doubt. The US government was complicit a long time ago but this is very damning indeed.

[the broken]

See also: Afghanistan.

[Cause]

 Maark Abbott, on 29 May 2024 - 06:44 AM, said:

 Lady Bliss, on 29 May 2024 - 01:03 AM, said:

I am so sick that I have no words.

https://www.politico...d-line-00160258

Without wanting to make it sound too crass, America and the bombing of brown people has always been a point they either overlooked or were part of (I cite George Carlin on the off that any modgod misinterprets the comment)

Now if it was the Israelis getting mercilessly bombed, there'd be a full deployment no doubt. The US government was complicit a long time ago but this is very damning indeed.

Incredibly reductionist argument. The majority of Israeli Jews are brow. The only country in North Africa and the Middle East that still has a Jewish population is strangely enough Iran. Otherwise they all now live in Israel. These so called mizrahi Jews and their descendants are the majority ethnic group of Jews in Israel and account for more than 50%. 3 percent of the Jews are beta-Israel or black Ethiopians. No one is bombing Palestinians because they are brown.

People might think that but only because they see it through their own western lense or because playing up that angle is quite explosive.

The brown skin argument falls flat because just as South Africa didn’t care about the death toll in Sudan because an African country was also the perpetrator, no one cared particularly much about the civil war in Syria or the war in Yemen. It’s not Palestinians brown skin that is the issue is the perceived whiteness of Israel’s that seems to offend so many people.

[Azath Vitr (D'ivers]

 Cause, on 29 May 2024 - 05:30 PM, said:

 Maark Abbott, on 29 May 2024 - 06:44 AM, said:

 Lady Bliss, on 29 May 2024 - 01:03 AM, said:

I am so sick that I have no words.

https://www.politico...d-line-00160258

Without wanting to make it sound too crass, America and the bombing of brown people has always been a point they either overlooked or were part of (I cite George Carlin on the off that any modgod misinterprets the comment)

Now if it was the Israelis getting mercilessly bombed, there'd be a full deployment no doubt. The US government was complicit a long time ago but this is very damning indeed.

Incredibly reductionist argument. The majority of Israeli Jews are brow. The only country in North Africa and the Middle East that still has a Jewish population is strangely enough Iran. Otherwise they all now live in Israel. These so called mizrahi Jews and their descendants are the majority ethnic group of Jews in Israel and account for more than 50%. 3 percent of the Jews are beta-Israel or black Ethiopians. No one is bombing Palestinians because they are brown.

People might think that but only because they see it through their own western lense or because playing up that angle is quite explosive.

The brown skin argument falls flat because just as South Africa didn't care about the death toll in Sudan because an African country was also the perpetrator, no one cared particularly much about the civil war in Syria or the war in Yemen. It's not Palestinians brown skin that is the issue is the perceived whiteness of Israel's that seems to offend so many people.

More recent estimates are 40-45% Mizrahi.

Ethnic origin and identity in the Jewish population of Israel* (tau.ac.il)

In terms of phenotype, most Mizrahi, most Palestinians, and most Lebanese look very similar. And typically similar to other Mediterranean peoples. But race is a social construct, and this is particularly obvious for people with Mediterranean features: MENA Jewish people and people from countries associated with Christianity rather than Islam have come to be perceived as "white", whereas most people from traditionally Muslim areas are typically perceived as "brown" (provided people know they're Muslim or they have a Muslim name).

It's also worth noting that the Ashkenazi dominate Israeli politics and the Israeli economy and discriminate against the Mizrahi.

Quote

Appeals to Mizrahi and Sephardi voters reflect a long-standing sense of discrimination among non-Ashkenazi Israelis. In Israel's first few decades, predominantly Ashkenazi, socialist governments channeled hundreds of thousands of Mizrahi and Sephardi immigrants toward unskilled labor and peripheral development towns.


The phrase "The Second Israel" refers to the idea that non-Ashkenazi citizens are still marginalized by an Ashkenazi cultural establishment.

Israel's mosaic of Jewish ethnic groups is key to understanding the country (theconversation.com)

And from the Times of Israel:

Quote

denial of the existence of anti-Mizrahi discrimination [in Israel] is so pervasive that courts tend to overlook it. "One of the reasons for this misguided belief is that data regarding discrimination against Mizrahim is scarce."

Spoiler

Patterns of discrimination could be hiding in unexpected places, according to Yona, who gave the example of a recent study finding that, following traffic accidents, Ashkenazi victims are awarded higher compensation by Israeli courts than Mizrahi victims.


[...] Historically, and to a significant extent still, Ashkenazi Jews have populated Israel's upper class while Mizrahi Jews have been poorer as a whole, with discriminatory policies from Israel's early years to blame for the inequality.

Inequality between Israel's Mizrahi, Ashkenazi Jews to be measured in new statistics | The Times of Israel

This post has been edited by Azath Vitr (D'ivers: 29 May 2024 - 06:38 PM

[Maark Abbott]

 Cause, on 29 May 2024 - 05:30 PM, said:

 Maark Abbott, on 29 May 2024 - 06:44 AM, said:

 Lady Bliss, on 29 May 2024 - 01:03 AM, said:

I am so sick that I have no words.

https://www.politico...d-line-00160258

Without wanting to make it sound too crass, America and the bombing of brown people has always been a point they either overlooked or were part of (I cite George Carlin on the off that any modgod misinterprets the comment)

Now if it was the Israelis getting mercilessly bombed, there'd be a full deployment no doubt. The US government was complicit a long time ago but this is very damning indeed.

Incredibly reductionist argument. The majority of Israeli Jews are brow. The only country in North Africa and the Middle East that still has a Jewish population is strangely enough Iran. Otherwise they all now live in Israel. These so called mizrahi Jews and their descendants are the majority ethnic group of Jews in Israel and account for more than 50%. 3 percent of the Jews are beta-Israel or black Ethiopians. No one is bombing Palestinians because they are brown.

People might think that but only because they see it through their own western lense or because playing up that angle is quite explosive.

The brown skin argument falls flat because just as South Africa didn't care about the death toll in Sudan because an African country was also the perpetrator, no one cared particularly much about the civil war in Syria or the war in Yemen. It's not Palestinians brown skin that is the issue is the perceived whiteness of Israel's that seems to offend so many people.

Reductionist, flippant, whatever you want to call it. The US has made it very clear that it is absolutely comfortable with war crimes and genocide. This is the sort of thing that jades an entire generation.

[worry]

[HoosierDaddy]

Who else is not ready for Round 2 with Israel and Iran playing tit-for-tat tightrope walking?

I sometimes wonder (like right now) if the hate is just exhausting. It has to be right? But then I look at our country... and I guess it energizes a lot of people. I'm exhausted on the outside so I can't imagine how the people who are like me are on the inside.

[LinearPhilosopher]

 worry, on 07 July 2024 - 10:23 PM, said:

As horrible as the October 7th attacks were, This isn't proportionate in the least. 1,200 Israeli lives for 186,000 Palestinian lives? Also 8% is just huge....

To put in perspective, Theres an estimate that about 25-30k people (out of maybe 500k) were killed in the bosnian genocide.

500-800k Tutsis were killed which represented maybe 70-80% of the population.

To say these numbers are ghastly is an understatement.

And now I hear reports of Israel now going after lebanon

This post has been edited by LinearPhilosopher: 01 August 2024 - 10:07 PM

[Maark Abbott]

I've seen some really, really disturbing things about certain folk in Israel protesting over a right to abuse prisoners - the tagline tends to name it as 'right to rape'.

As to the numbers, the country has been itching for any excuse to purge the Palestinians from where they live and we're now seeing it in real time. I genuinely do not know how anyone can give support to that country at this point. It's beyond horrific, it's a history that was said 'never again' about repeating itself and being allowed to.

[Abyss]

 Maark Abbott, on 02 August 2024 - 06:34 AM, said:

I've seen some really, really disturbing things about certain folk in Israel protesting over a right to abuse prisoners - the tagline tends to name it as 'right to rape'.

The entire 'rape the prisoners' thing started with allegations, supported by some evidence, none of it first hand, that Israeli hostages - women - are being raped by Hamas, and some have become pregnant as a result.

Now there are allegations that a single male Hamas prisoner was severely beaten in Israeli custody. The allegation includes that he was sodomized with a broomstick. Nine soldiers have been arrested and are being investigated as a result.

One extreme right wing Israeli politician stated 'anything goes' when it comes to interrogating Hamas terrorists. He was specifically asked whether the broomstick thing was ok, he said yes and that the soldiers should be released.

Make of any of that what you will, but 'Israelis are fighting for their right to rape prisoners' is a pile of garbage and spreading it around has about as much value.

Yes, there are people protesting the nine soldiers being arrested. They aren't demanding some form of right to rape prisoners, but various sources are happy to frame it that way. How about we not play that game? Israel is doing enough clear and proven bad without adding to the mess.

[worry]

 Maark Abbott, on 02 August 2024 - 06:34 AM, said:

I've seen some really, really disturbing things about certain folk in Israel protesting over a right to abuse prisoners - the tagline tends to name it as 'right to rape'.

As to the numbers, the country has been itching for any excuse to purge the Palestinians from where they live and we're now seeing it in real time. I genuinely do not know how anyone can give support to that country at this point. It's beyond horrific, it's a history that was said 'never again' about repeating itself and being allowed to.

There was a new report published today by the UN Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights on the torture of Gazan prisoners and hostages in Israeli prisons and camps: https://www.ohchr.or...ody-preventable
In part:

Quote

Around 9,500 Palestinians, including hundreds of children and women, are currently imprisoned—around one-third without charge or trial. Another unknown number are arbitrarily being held in detention facilities and ad hoc camps following a wave of arrest and abduction campaigns across Palestinian territory that targeted men, women and children particularly following 7 October.The experts received substantiated reports of widespread abuse, torture, sexual assault and rape, amid atrocious inhumane conditions, with at least 53 Palestinians apparently dying as a result in 10 months.

Countless testimonies by men and women speak of detainees in cage-like enclosures, tied to beds blindfolded and in diapers, stripped naked, deprived of adequate healthcare, food, water and sleep, electrocutions including on their genitals, blackmail and cigarette burns. In addition, victims spoke of loud music played until their ears bled, attacks by dogs, waterboarding, suspension from ceilings and severe sexual and gender-based violence.

“Allegations of gang-rape of a Palestinian detainee, now shockingly supported by voices in the Israeli political establishment and society, provide irrefutable evidence that the moral compass is lost,” the experts said. In February 2024, a number of experts also expressed grave concern regarding the reports of sexual and other forms of gender-based violence committed against Palestinian women and girls in Israeli detention.

[the broken]

Is there any reliable information on how the negotiations are going?

[Maark Abbott]

Wellp.

עמיחי שיקלי - Amichai Chikli on X: "לבנון, למרות שיש לה דגל ולמרות שיש לה מוסדות פוליטיים לא עונה להגדרה מדינה. בהיעדר מונופול על הפעלת הכוח הן כלפי פנים והן כלפי חוץ ממשלת לבנון היא לא יישות ריבונית. על מרחב הגבול עם לבנון המאוכלס ברובו באוכלוסייה שיעית עויינת שולט באפקטיביות ארגון חזבאללה שבשמונה לאוקטובר פתח https://t.co/pVrszT5tFf" / X (twitter.com)

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

"Lebanon, even though it has a flag and even though it has political institutions does not meet the definition of a country.In the absence of a monopoly on the exercise of power both internally and externally, the Lebanese government is not a sovereign entity. The border area with Lebanon, which is mostly inhabited by a hostile Shiite population, is effectively controlled by the Hezbollah organization, which on October 8 started a war against the State of Israel. The organization for those who forgot was born with the landing of Revolutionary Guards officers in the Bekaa at the end of the First Lebanon War and to this day it serves as a de facto militia operating with Iranian funding and direction.In a broader view, both Syria and Iraq do not currently meet the definitions of a state in light of the fact that different militias, foreign armies and local military forces control different areas in the aforementioned countries. The drawing lines of Sykes and Pico, which were based on the distribution of areas of influence and resources between Great Britain and France, did not survive the test of time, the sectarian and religious fault lines, the topographical route and military power are the ones that shape the boundaries of truth between the different populations in the area.The current picture of reality, which led us to evacuate tens of thousands of residents from their homes for fear of a ground invasion by an Iranian militia, a fear based both on the organization's declared operative plans, and on the bitter experience of the Shiva events in October, requires us to recalculate a course regarding the border line with the entity that calls itself a state Lebanon."

[Lady Bliss]

Huh?

[Azath Vitr (D'ivers]

Lady Bliss, on 24 September 2024 - 02:24 PM, said:

Huh?

The black text (the English translation) might have appeared hidden against the black background. Here it is:

Quote

"Lebanon, even though it has a flag and even though it has political institutions does not meet the definition of a country.In the absence of a monopoly on the exercise of power both internally and externally, the Lebanese government is not a sovereign entity. The border area with Lebanon, which is mostly inhabited by a hostile Shiite population, is effectively controlled by the Hezbollah organization, which on October 8 started a war against the State of Israel. The organization for those who forgot was born with the landing of Revolutionary Guards officers in the Bekaa at the end of the First Lebanon War and to this day it serves as a de facto militia operating with Iranian funding and direction.In a broader view, both Syria and Iraq do not currently meet the definitions of a state in light of the fact that different militias, foreign armies and local military forces control different areas in the aforementioned countries. The drawing lines of Sykes and Pico, which were based on the distribution of areas of influence and resources between Great Britain and France, did not survive the test of time, the sectarian and religious fault lines, the topographical route and military power are the ones that shape the boundaries of truth between the different populations in the area.The current picture of reality, which led us to evacuate tens of thousands of residents from their homes for fear of a ground invasion by an Iranian militia, a fear based both on the organization's declared operative plans, and on the bitter experience of the Shiva events in October, requires us to recalculate a course regarding the border line with the entity that calls itself a state Lebanon."

... quoting Amichai Chikli, Minister of Diaspora Affairs of Israel, from Twitter

[Maark Abbott]

Further to the above, Beirut has been struck. I have a pal (who admittedly I've not spoken to in a while) who lives there. I hope he's ok.

I'll defer to Worry to analyze this tbh. More articulate than me when it comes to this stuff.

[Werthead]

The current situation is that Israel believes it has established military superiority over Hezbollah and eliminated the much-feared threat of a massive missile/rocket attack on Israel numbering in the thousands, which could overwhelm Israeli missile defences. It is now prosecuting the dual aims of destroying Hezbollah's stockpiles of munitions, including using bunker-busters to hit missile storage sites far underground, and destroying the organisation's membership. The elimination of Hezbollah's leader Nasrallah was a long-held Israeli ambition, and they have also wiped out a large chunk of the organisation's leadership, along with numerous military ground commanders (including the death of the commander for the border sectors, which has left Hezbollah forces on the ground unsure of how to respond) and liaisons with Iran's Republican Guard Corps. Additional targets in Lebanon and Syria have also been hit.

Israel has now widened its targets to include Houthi sites in Yemen, where it has started hitting weapons storage and launch sites. Russia has threatened to transfer more advanced cruise missiles and anti-ship missiles to Yemen via Iran, and Israel is ensuring that does not happen.

Israel apparently now believes it can act with impunity, it has inflicted the largest series of crushing defeats on Hezbollah in the organisation's history and it believes it can either destroy the organisation or weaken it so decisively it will not be a threat again for years, if not decades.

The key response now is from Iran. Iran's mass missile and drone strike on Israel was a bit of a flop, but people are still divided on whether it was deliberately a flop (to keep a full-scale Iran-Israel war breaking out) or a genuine attempt to inflict mass damage on Israel that failed due to Israel and its allies (including several Arab states, which rattled Tehran) intercepting the strikes. Iran has been bizarrely low-key in its response to the current campaign, with the newer, more moderate President apparently convincing the hardliners to not intervene in a way that leaves Iran in a state of war with Israel. He may also be signalling that Iran wants to move away from its support for Russia, noting that recent Iranian munition deliveries to Russia have lacked launchers, meaning they cannot be used. Russia can now produce Shahed drones natively, so the need for Iranian help has diminished anyway.

Iran being willing to sacrifice Hamas was one thing, as Hamas was a "useful idiot" organisation at best and the two had significant differences of opinion and ideology (Iran and Hezbollah being Shia and Hamas being Sunni). Iran being willing to let Hezbollah be destroyed is a much more significant move: Hezbollah is Iran's main proxy in the region and provides significant military forces and resources for attacking Israel and taking part in the civil war in Syria. If Iran gives up on Hezbollah, that means giving up on Iranian power projection in the entire region.

The Arab states hate and fear Iran far more than they care about the Palestinians (as Saudi Arabia has basically said directly), or even hate Israel (the Arab street's opinion is different, of course) and it's clear now that they will support or look the other way any Israeli action that weakens Iran. It looks like at the moment that Iran is not going to do anything to help Hezbollah, which is a big surprise, and emboldens Israel to go further. A ground invasion of Lebanon cannot be ruled out.

All of this boosts Netanyahu and makes any ceasefire or permanent peace plan proposed by the US or other allies unlikely at best.

This post has been edited by Werthead: 29 September 2024 - 07:08 PM

[the broken]

Two front war is traditionally a bad thing, wonder what the idea of this is.

There won't be any ceasefire unless Hamas agrees to one.

[Abyss]

the broken, on 01 October 2024 - 01:35 PM, said:

Two front war is traditionally a bad thing, wonder what the idea of this is.

This isn't WW2 and it's not a war in any sense that the 'two front' thing is relevant to. Israel is bombing the crap out of terrorists and others who struck at them. Israel ALWAYS bombs the crap out of terrorists who launch on them. That the North group struck while they were already engaged against the Occupied Territories groups is as irrelevant as it was when Iran took a shot. That the terrorists (the ons too low ranking or stupid to gtfo) are hiding among people who had no say in the mess didn't stop either side - never does.

Quote

There won't be any ceasefire unless Hamas agrees to one.

Hamas has no reason to agree to anything. Anyone important to Hamas is sitting in another country entirely, sipping tea and gleefully watching Israel torch international goodwill as they knew they would. Hamas isn't suffering in any way that matters to it. Neither is Hezbollah.

[the broken]

Sadly true.