At this late stage I'm not going to bother looking at HO, as others have done that already anyway. But let's take a look at Kitsu.
What strikes me is that Kitsu's suspicions seem almost all to stem from that initial mechanics discussion. Like, they've been told it's suspicious to do, so by gum they're going to find it suspicious! As such, Kitsu's focus is pretty much all Ando, Tatts, and Macros.
First votes Ando, based on that role talk and interaction.
Just Plain Kitsu, on 26 April 2016 - 02:33 PM, said:
Andorion, on 26 April 2016 - 02:29 PM, said:
12 hours into the game and the only remarkable thing happening is the lynch train developing on me as I have profaned the sacred mafia alter of "Touch not the game mechanics". Also because people aren't finding anything else voteworthy yet.
Most interesting thing to me? Tatts lightning swift volte face regarding same issue when I was challenged.
Hmmm. Couple that with a divergence from his usual style of play and its quite quite suspicious.
Pointing straight back at Tatts already?
Vote Andorion
Followed fairly swiftly some three hours or so later by a removal, citing a reread has changed their mind.
Just Plain Kitsu, on 26 April 2016 - 05:15 PM, said:
Blend, on 26 April 2016 - 05:05 PM, said:
Gnaw, on 26 April 2016 - 02:09 AM, said:
ADL
Andorion
Blend
Bliss
Bubba
Coltain93
Dhenrabi
Gusty
HO
Itwas Nom
Khell
Kitsu
Macros
Mess
Sergiej
Tapper
Tatts
Alright, just so I'm not laser focusing on only Tatts, who all hasn't posted yet?
I don't remember seeing much from ADL, nor from Kitsu, but they both do have a few posts... If I'm not remembering much, chances are their input wasn't very spectacular.
Aside from that, seems everyone's had a few things to say, so that's good! Haven't had this active a Day 1 in a M&P in a while, really! Loving it so far!
I actually threw in a vote earlier this morning, but I've been in reading the wall of text. I'm currently of the conclusion that my earlier vote for Ando may have been a gut reaction. I want to read over the wall again, but I'll be in here pretty much all day today.
For now:
Remove Vote
So after that Kitsu moves on to Macros, which is basically where they've stayed more or less since. This is a bit of a reversal, since Kitsu's now going after one of those who attacked Ando, and doing so for attacking Ando. There's more to it than that, Kitsu also mentions Mac's apparent vote-hopping as another reason. But it's still somewhat of an about-face.
Just Plain Kitsu, on 26 April 2016 - 11:39 PM, said:
Siergiej, on 26 April 2016 - 09:48 PM, said:
Andorion v Tatts looks like the point of contention for Day 1 and admittedly the core of my own reasoning from the previous post, so I went back and looked and how it unfolded (this timeline is limited to the Androion-Tattersail situation):
- Andorion starts speculating about mechanics
- Tatts joins the speculation
- In the next post Macros throws accusation at Andorion because of that speculation
- Khell joins and points fingers at Andorion
- Tattersail votes Andorion
- Nom votes Andorion
- Dhenrabi votes Tatts
- Macros votes Tatts
- HiddenOne comes back to Macros' post that started the whole debate and votes Andorion
- JPK votes Andorion
- Gust votes Tatts
- Dhenrabi removes vote against Tatts
- Tatts removes vote against Andorion and votes Blend
- JPK removes vote against Andorion
So, my attention keeps jumping back into this timeline that Siergiej helpfully put together. The bit that's sticking out to me the strongest are numbers 3&8. Macros was the first one to point a finger at Ando and started that train rolling. A bit of time goes by, and then he jumps onto the newly started Tatts train. A great shot at sowing chaos and creating factions.
Vote Macros
Still on Mac, and suggests he could be linked to...both kills? As I said before, I don't put much stock behind early kill speculation, for exactly this reason: ultimately anyone could be linked to any kill if you generalise enough.
Just Plain Kitsu, on 27 April 2016 - 07:14 PM, said:
Andorion, on 27 April 2016 - 06:13 PM, said:
Damn I am way too tired to deal with this right now.
Khell started the train on Nom and Macros, Bliss and LB were in at the end. One of these could quite possibly be scum I guess?
I am going to bed. Maybe things will look better in the morning
I'm going to reference my earlier post and vote here. Macros helped start the Ando train, quickly jumped to the Tatter-Train, and vote-hopped at the end to help get Nom out. He's also a vet and that would make it reasonable for him to target either if the night kills. Mess cause we all know he's a strong player, or Sierg since he's a new unknown.
Just putting it out there for thought.
Is Kitsu the first one to suggest that Siergiej was killed because of the list? Although I suppose they did also use the list themselves earlier (when highlighting Macros for the first time) so perhaps makes sense it would be in their thoughts.
Just Plain Kitsu, on 27 April 2016 - 07:24 PM, said:
Coltaine93, on 27 April 2016 - 07:20 PM, said:
Bubba, on 27 April 2016 - 07:03 PM, said:
Well that sucks 3RI gone
The lynch? Day one is all I can say about that. Everyone is looking at the train, I'm more interested in who wasn't on it. The best hiding place on a train is never getting on in the first place.
Mess? Grudge killing? taking out the helpful players? I'm willing to bet Mess was high up on a few lists.
Sergiej? Who said we should kill/lynch the new players? I remember reading that. Kell?
We have on kill from the killers and one from the vig. Propably. Can a vig also be part of the scum?
Assumption: Vig is from the town
So we have to take for both kills into account why the killers wanted to see them dead and why the vig could have thought that they are killers. If the vig is one of us we could lose another town member by killing him.
I would guess that Mess was killed by the killers, maybe for being to helpful, or being to good as a player.
And Sergiej had good posts. But I can't find a reason for someone to think he was part of the scum. So maybe reverse? Sergiej killed by killers and Mess by vig? Sergiej voted against Gust Hubb. Can't remember why. I will search the post.
A reason for vig to target Sierg was the list. I think it was Bliss who pointed out "scum love lists"
Below, states looking into Tapper, HO, and Bubba. I await the results with much anticipation.
Just Plain Kitsu, on 28 April 2016 - 03:31 AM, said:
Gust Hubb, on 28 April 2016 - 03:21 AM, said:
Ok, so here is the list of people that really need a deeper look: Lady Bliss, ADL, JPK, and Coltaine. I just finished the read through and the below is the best post from Bliss.
Lady Bliss, on 26 April 2016 - 04:35 PM, said:
Ok, after skimming through I'm left with the following perceptions:
1) my gut says Tatts is playing way too over the top to be a killer. I could see him more as a symp.
2) Role speculation does stink. I feel like it just helps scum with trying to look like they are participating early, and can be a vehicle for scum to spot roled townies.
3) Khell isn't posting enough.
4) Tapper is posting more than I remember. I'll have to do a post count on the last couple of games to confirm.
TBH I'm leaning towards Khell

I
OR Nom
remove vote
I need to take a deeper dive in looking at posts.
Rarely belligerent and more in for a joke grudge on Nom, Bliss is laying low (which is a pattern with her I think, but this also makes her a dangerous one to ignore)
Lady Bliss, on 27 April 2016 - 12:27 PM, said:
Macros, on 27 April 2016 - 08:44 AM, said:
Have done a sort of reread,well up to page 3 properly then a skip through, have work to do.That's page 3, at 40ppp, the way real mean read the forum.My scribbled notes from the first 3 pages yielded me this.If Andorion were silencer, Id vote for him right now for being too smooth. He calmly backtracks to aline his reasoning with other players, and happily joins in the light hearted banter where ever it appears, totally unflustered by attention he has garnered. But he's not, so I won't, for now. My main beef with Andorion was post #27, with less than 50% of players even checked in, 'lets.get srs' and starts role speculation, pro town role speculation.Then when Tatts follows up and says that we all want to be on the same page with game outline (paraphrased) And does a nice little semi reverse sidestep to aline with this a bit more. Not that it helps him, tatts still chases after And anyway.Mess, had the early doors joke on Khell, and has been almost nauseatingly helpful, even pointing out to newbs who usually dies etc, potential set up for survivor framing?? (rampant speculation)Tatts, ah tatts, still numero uno for me, and it nearly.all cycles back to that post on page one, 'lets get everyone on ehte same basic outline early doors (paraphrased) he backs up his suspicions of And by highlighting it was other players (me and khell) that were suspicious of And dorion, as if to say, see other guys picked it up.first, if we lynch him and he's town, well it was their fault (supposition by myself based on a purely theoretical chain of events)And HO. I'll have to go back and find the post by HO that annoyed me, it jumped off the page at me there but tying to multiwiote and stuff on the phone is just a no, hence the stream of discombobulated thoughts.TLDR - I am suspicious of several players for several reasons (it was nom, drive by vote on Andorion noted, page one hoping for a runaway bandwagon fueled by tatts, khell.and macros suspicions possibly? Further investigation required)Notably Andorion, Tatts, Mess and HO. Quick question, is there an easy way to see one players posts in the thread, like 'show me every post macros has made in this thread, only.macros' posts'?
Andorion, on 27 April 2016 - 08:47 AM, said:
Looking back, back HO seems to have jumped on pretty fast and then backed out again.
Tattersail_, on 27 April 2016 - 08:51 AM, said:
Remove voteFinished my read up, i'm leaning towards voting for HO, thanks to Sergei's case but also the way HO comes onto the thread, quotes a few people, votes Andorion, says he's finished his DKT style catch up
HiddenOne, on 26 April 2016 - 02:29 PM, said:
DKT style catch upTM is complete, so back to work - I'm out of time to slack off
Yet he added no content, replied to a few quotes with cheeky one liners, and hurtfully didn't mention me once. Sounds bitchy doesn't it, but if you look, Andorion, Messremb, Tapper, Macros, Dhenrabi, had all mentioned me, quoted me and I'd been voted. He doesn't mention Ando's 2 votes on him, nothing mentioned by HO just a little vote on Ando which puts him number 3 on the train. He mentions Macros talking about Ando and mechanics but doesn't mention me talking about them. Skating by as usual.
Vote HO
I go to sleep and now have several pages to catch up again... My first thought here is wtf?! Mac mentions HO, then Ando, so then Tatts votes him in rapid succession?
This is odd having Bliss stand up for HO as well. I think she is after Macros (who has seemed a lot more cheery than I remember him), but there is a lot of alarm over HO in both directions. It's a good distraction, but whether it is a distraction away from someone else's guilt or HO's role, I am not sure.
JPK is riding the newb role a bit hard, and I agree with Khell that we cannot just let them slide, even if Tapper ordered only puppies and rainbows for their first game. No, what I am worried about is one of our newbs is getting outside coaching from a more experienced player and just playing up their inexperience (or hiding experience in the case of our sea caterpillar). And now JPK is turning the tables on Khell, an interesting approach to raise ire for the newbie hater...
ADL is usually like this right? Shy, more like a quiet HO? Seriously, there is not much to go off of on the guy. I am really not sure what to do with him, but I don't like him tickling my paranoia...
Gust, I'd love to not be riding this newbie role. Yeah, I pointed out Khell had the first vote of the game placed against him, but that's all I've said in that regard so far. I'm still looking into him. I know he's infamous for being devious around here. I have two current problems: 1- Having to repeat myself multiple times since others just don't seem to be reading my posts. (Example: Lady Bliss asking if I've played before when at the top of the page I clearly stated that I haven't. Same page even!" 2- Macros completely dodging fair questions I've placed his way TWICE now. Without even a mention. Which seems suspicious as hell to me.
I'm also looking deeper into HO, Tapper, and Bubba at the moment. All three are vets that I'm under the impression are usually more active. I was accused of skating day one, but I feel like I still piped up at least as much as these three. Well, maybe not Tapper. The short time Tapper was on, a lot of light seemed to be shed on a couple of subjects.
So from this read up I mostly get the sense that Kitsu is new

In seriousness, I suspect that the attachment to Ando and then Mac via stated suspicion of Tatts all stems from that very first conversation about roles and mechanics. There's poking and prodding, but Mac is correct to point out that there's little direct questioning. If they're scum they're playing it well. Or they're just a new townie, hesitant about how to go about things. I don't know, nothing particularly screams at me, but that in itself migh be disconcerting. I might just place my vote here anyway, though I would have liked to have done this earlier and see how they react to pressure. I'm not particularly convinced by the HO case, and Tatts is...well, I can't decide if he's being Tatts or Tatts pretending to be Tatts.