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Mafia 111 Fist of the North Star

#661 User is offline   Okral Lom 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 02:19 PM

Well don't everyone post at once!

View PostTiamatha, on 22 April 2014 - 08:50 AM, said:

morning all.

its not a good one, gf wont take my calls, not impressed with my impressive drinking stamina. Oh well



not much to catch up on since I last skimmed by, but why an I suddenly suspicious of a vote on denul, my prime candidate for scum?


No one else can tell you why...care to share?

#662 User is offline   Okral Lom 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 02:23 PM

Unfortunately I don't have the spare time to devote significant attention to the game until later this evening (when I have a few players I want to look into). But I'll be around if people want to ask me questions, plus I'll have a read through Shadow's response to my case and see what I think.

#663 User is offline   Galayn Lord 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 03:44 PM

Ok so slow start to the Day but pretty slow Tuesday for me so meh.

I'm sitting here dreading the call from the mechanic. Think my clutch is shot.


The NA was interesting. I had not pegged Kesso as a warlord at all. I'm not sure if its blind luck though. Won't get too deep into WIFOMism.

I'd have liked to know Kessos ability but everything Korabas may be quite helpful for future decisions. Taking away scums one VC is excellent for town. We probably lost useful abilities with Kessos role so honestly not very pleased about that.

I agree with Denul above, Korabas has given us one point of relatively reliable info. We could probably have found kenshiro if Korabas had lured him in under the right conditions. Kenshiro can't be that precious. We're very likely looking for two or more scum.

I have to admit I was starting to have my doubts but this makes things a little clearer. I'm gonna keep further ramblings to myself till I've read up properly.

Edit: Day

This post has been edited by Galayn Lord: 22 April 2014 - 03:45 PM


#664 User is offline   Okral Lom 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 04:22 PM

@GL: I'm wondering if it's worth going back over people's reactions to the Korabas reveal to see if there's anything that sticks out. What's your take - would the scum line be to push for a Korabas lynch, to push against a Korabas lynch, or to on-the-fence it? Or is it all just WIFOM in your opinion?

#665 User is offline   Denul 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 05:15 PM

Reading back over the Korabas reveal and reactions, Rikkter looks very suspicious to me. He posts that he is catching up about halfway through the whole thing, after there has already been lots of reaction, speculation, and more, but he never actually posts after it.

Then quite a bit later he appears again and gives zero comment about the Korabas reveal, makes some pointless comments like asking no one in particular about how to proceed going forward, and then takes another break.

Not too long after that, he appears for two posts and votes Korabas, but tempers it with saying a no lynch would be ok and also has a piss poor explanation of why he is voting at all:

View PostRikkter, on 18 April 2014 - 02:16 AM, said:

I'm done

I think a no lynch may be OK in this case if it has to be

vote Korabas
For reveal situation - timing & inconsistence


If scum wanted to lie low about the whole Korabas' reveal and not draw too much attention to themselves about it, Rikkter certainly did so by hardly being present and not commenting on the issue at all. The fact that he posted his arrival (around the time Bek was making his Tiam case) and then never said anything else within a big length of time afterwards sounds to me like a scum who announced himself, then read the thread and realized he'd rather just not post at all to remain hidden. I think this is worth pursuing.

Vote Rikkter

#666 User is offline   Galayn Lord 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 06:46 PM

View PostOkral Lom, on 22 April 2014 - 04:22 PM, said:

@GL: I'm wondering if it's worth going back over people's reactions to the Korabas reveal to see if there's anything that sticks out. What's your take - would the scum line be to push for a Korabas lynch, to push against a Korabas lynch, or to on-the-fence it? Or is it all just WIFOM in your opinion?


Sorry had to sort out diner.

Scum would probably be happy on all three OL. The Korabas lynch made sense to all player types. Those not voting Korabas might've known about Korabas as WL in a town capacity so I can't make any conclusions one way or the other. I think those claiming to suspect Korabas with no votes might need to explain why but honestly in the long term theres two ways at looking at each situation.

We have three trains so far. There probably is a clue in the voting but I think we need to look at all three trains and collate against forum activity to get something worth criticising.



#667 User is offline   Eloth 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 07:42 PM

Aaaah... We're having "team meetings." If I had a Twitter account I would be live tweeting this shit my boss says because of how ridiculous it is. I'm pretty sure he just said "erogenous" instead of "heterogeneous". I don't know how you mix that up but I have decided to ignore the rest of the meeting and try to post from the back of the room.

Except, of course, when I must speak up and correct him...

#668 User is offline   Rikkter 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 08:18 PM

I can beat that, I just sat through a meeting between partners that was pretty much the end of the company...a client that owes me money...that's 3 this year. Wretched economy, I can't make any money and it's difficult collecting what I make.

#669 User is offline   Eloth 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 08:23 PM

View PostRikkter, on 22 April 2014 - 08:18 PM, said:

I can beat that, I just sat through a meeting between partners that was pretty much the end of the company...a client that owes me money...that's 3 this year. Wretched economy, I can't make any money and it's difficult collecting what I make.


Yeah actually I'm currently in the middle of litigation with a company I did some work for and now they are refusing to pay me a lot of money that they contractually owe me...very frustrating. Sigh. Makes me want to rethink the idea of doing independent contract work or moving forward with my side business altogether.

That really sucks though if it's happening all the time. :/

#670 User is offline   Galayn Lord 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 08:49 PM

Legend:
Red: Players Killed
Orange: Players lynched.
Purple: Always on lynch train
Blue: Never on lynch train
erratics are normal text.

View PostPath-Shaper, on 15 April 2014 - 09:11 PM, said:

Day One is Over

16 players alive.
Alkend, Ampelas, Bek Okhan, Denul, Eloth, Galayn Lord, Kessobahn, Korabas, Lock, Okral Lom, Monok Ochem, Rikkter, Ruse, Serc, Shadow, Tiamatha

9 votes to lynch, 8 to go to night.


3 votes Denul: Monok Ochem, Bek Okhan, Shadow
9 votes Serc: Alkend, Korabas, Lock, Denul, Galayn Lord, Okral Lom, Tiamatha, Ampelas, Eloth
1 vote Okral Lom: Serc

Players not voted: Kessobahn, Rikkter, Ruse,


Serc has been lynched. He was Mentalist, and RI.

Monok Ochem is dead. He was Gust Hubb and RI


Serc Lynch saw all but three players vote. Of those three Rikkter is the lone survivor.

Lynch itself had Alkend intitiate and Eloth Hammer
Bek Okhan and Shadow were on opposing trains
Serc voted OL

View PostPath-Shaper, on 17 April 2014 - 05:30 AM, said:


It is Day 2.


14 players alive.
Alkend, Ampelas, Bek Okhan, Denul, Eloth, Galayn Lord, Kessobahn, Korabas, Lock, Okral Lom, Rikkter, Ruse, Shadow, Tiamatha

8 votes to lynch, 8 to go to night.

1 vote Shadow: Tiamatha
1 vote Denul: Shadow
8 votes Ruse: Galayn Lord, Alkend, Lock, Denul, Korabas, Okral Lom, Kessobahn, Bek Okhan

Players not voted: Ampelas, Eloth, Rikkter, Ruse

Ruse has been lynched. He was Blend, and RI.

Alkend is dead. He was Tattersail, and RI.



Ruse Lynch saw Four players miss a vote, clearly not a popular vote. Of those three Rikkter, Eloth and Ampelas remain.

Lynch itself had GL initiate and Bek Okhan Hammer
Tiam and shadow were on opposing trains
Ruse reserved vote.


View PostPath-Shaper, on 18 April 2014 - 12:48 PM, said:

1 hours and 15 minutes at time of the lynch.

12 players alive.
Ampelas, Bek Okhan, Denul, Eloth, Galayn Lord, Kessobahn, Korabas, Lock, Okral Lom, Rikkter, Shadow, Tiamatha

7 votes to lynch, 6 to go to night.

7 votes Korabas: Ampelas, Galayn Lord, Bek Okhan, Kessobahn, Okral Lom, Lock, Tiam
2 votes Shadow: Korabas

Players not voting: Eloth, Rikkter, Shadow

Give me a few minutes.


Korabas Lynch had three remainders. Of those three we had Rikkter, Eloth and Shadow.

Lynch had Ampelas initiate and Tiam Hammer
Korabas voted Shadow (not sure who the number 2 vote was? guessing Denul?)

Ok looking at this I find three main behaviors. We have consistent voters following the train, Non consistent voters always off the main train at the end of day and erratic variables that are sometimes on the train and sometimes off the train. Taking out players lynched and killed we get a clearer version of the game.

Rikkter and Shadow have avoided the main trains thats the main thing that stands out for me. Not sure whats up with that and would like to know why this happens all three times

edits: initiate and version

This post has been edited by Galayn Lord: 22 April 2014 - 08:54 PM


#671 User is offline   Eloth 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 09:09 PM

View PostDenul, on 21 April 2014 - 03:14 AM, said:

I'm up late and might not be on particularly early tomorrow so might as well jot some thoughts down before we resume tomorrow morning.


So, Korabas was a warlord after all and Kessobahn turned out to be one, too. Interestingly, Kesso was very critical/disbelieving of Korabas' reveal, which says to me the warlords do not have the same abilities - who knows what the last one out there has, hopefully something good. Doesn't give us much to go on as far as identifying a hiding roled townie to avoid lynching versus a hiding Kenshiro to target, but no biggie.

Furthermore, while he could have been lying we have to assume Korabas was telling the truth about his abilities. In particular his first claimed ability where if he is NK'd it reveals who killed him sounds to me like we have either multiple scum (possibly an inheritor?) or some other kind of defense for Kenshiro (perhaps a 1x Jump like Amon from the Bender game?), or else it seems a bit too easy of a town win if we happened to get lucky with Korabas' ability, can lynch the revealed Kenshiro and win just like that. So I'd guess we're at DDay+2 right now.



Couple comments as I'm reading up (vertically...)

I find the two underlined bits and various statements around them to be less convincing, actually. I think Shadow quoted this whole post and just labeled it scummy - I don't know that I get a serious scum vibe from this post specifically, but I do have issues with it.

So I think we can infer that the Warlords don't have the same abilities without knowing that Kesso was a Warlord. I think this is extra information to support a theory that already kind of stands on its own. The reason being, once Korabas started revealing his abilities (there was a lot of weirdness because they had "changed"), he specifically claimed an ability from the lore that tied directly back to the only Warlord who actually has that ability in the lore. So just based on that, it seems obvious that the Warlord abilities are not the same (disclaimer at end of this post), since the Warlords appear to have lore-specific abilities.

Kesso WAS skeptical of Korabas's reveal, but all I think we get from that is that either Kesso genuinely didn't believe Korabas and had no info to the contrary, or Kesso knew Korabas was a Warlord too and was trying to create distance or keep Korabas alive.

So, to the disclaimer and problems with this line of thinking...

I don't think we have to assume Korabas was telling the truth about his abilities, at least originally. Because his ability was changed, once he revealed what the old ability was, there was no way to confirm if he was lying or not - he said several times he was trying to draw the NK during the first reveal; who's to say he wasn't doing the same thing after he lived through the night and claimed to be "unkillable", etc? He must know his lynch is extremely probable, but if he escapes it then he's still trying to either draw or avoid the NK by openly taunting scum. Obviously another Warlord isn't going to confirm or deny this publicly (e.g., Kesso). In fact, if Korabas was telling the truth, then Denul is right about there probably being multiple scum, or the game could end very quickly. And now that we see at least the NAME of the second ability he claimed appeared in his death scene, it clearly exists somehow, but what does it do? Again, he described it so many different ways - "super-guard", "activating the guard", finally clarifying and saying it was a "BP" after I pressured him about it. That might be a reasonable ability for a Warlord, but it doesn't look like Kesso had one (which supports Denul's theory IFF Korabas wasn't lying). The thing though that really gets me is how obscurely ignorant Korabas described his ability - I can't imagine anything that works exactly like a BP being described any way as a "guard", which is also a very specific ability. That still gets under my skin, knowing that Korabas really was a Warlord but put so much misinformation on thread that we are still discussing way after his (several) reveals. His abilities were never tested or proven, so if we believe what Korabas said, we are basically forced to pick and choose which parts of his reveal are true/useful and which were bogus/distracting. And since we lost Kesso that same night, he wasn't able to give us any info like Korabas tried to (unless it's hidden away in his earlier posts); now we have only one Warlord left and I don't think they should reveal just to clear up this confusion, as frustrating as it is (aka DON'T PULL A KORABAS).

The only consolation I think we can take from this whole scenario is that we got rid of a scum VC. It's frustrating to me that just to respond to this post by Denul requires so much WIFOM/speculation and really we arrive at nowhere significant. I feel the same way about all the WIFOM about why or why not Korabas wasn't NK'd after his initial reveal.

And so, disclaimer: Obviously there's no way for us to know for sure the things I just disagreed with Denul about, so my problem with this post is that it invites more WIFOM (which I am adding to atm, I realize, but impossible to reply without doing so) and is entirely based on speculation and things we don't really know, but that Denul is saying now we know for sure and "have to assume." I don't like that.

I spent way too much time thinking and writing about this so I'm gonna go take our "five minute break" from this asshole of a meeting and come back and look at Amp, finally.

#672 User is offline   Eloth 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 09:10 PM

Now my fucking boss is yelling at me for shit that is his own damn fault...goddammit.

#673 User is offline   Eloth 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 10:08 PM

View PostGalayn Lord, on 22 April 2014 - 08:49 PM, said:


Rikkter and Shadow have avoided the main trains thats the main thing that stands out for me. Not sure whats up with that and would like to know why this happens all three times



Good to see some train analysis - I find the conclusion above to be most interesting. Aside from that, according to the lynch trains quoted above, every day so far has ended with Rikkter not voting for anyone, which is odd partially just because he's the only player of which this is true (I myself only ended up voting 1 out of 3 times). But we also had a lot of "crosspost" votes that happened after the lynch was official, and those aren't counted in the P-S updates. I'd be interested to see that information included in this analysis if anyone has the time.

edit - corrected my poor counting skills, replaced 2 with 1

This post has been edited by Eloth: 22 April 2014 - 10:08 PM


#674 User is offline   Eloth 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 11:16 PM

Ok, first I want to look at all the posts Amp made before I said I was going to take a look at him, because as far as I can tell on my reread, no one had said they were going to look at him until I did. So here's pre-pressured Amp, all the way through day 2:

View PostAmpelas, on 14 April 2014 - 08:38 PM, said:

Checking in


View PostAmpelas, on 15 April 2014 - 08:15 AM, said:

Just caught up and what the hell is going on?

I could interpret half the posts on the first few pages as signalling should I so desire. All you idiots wise up - we don't need to signal our Warlord who we are so cut it out. The only people on thread remotely considering signalling should be symps, every one else of you is painting a bull's-eye on someone else for Kenshiro.


View PostAmpelas, on 15 April 2014 - 05:58 PM, said:

Back and catching up

(lame post I know)


View PostAmpelas, on 15 April 2014 - 06:31 PM, said:

View PostShadow, on 15 April 2014 - 06:23 PM, said:

I hate to admit it but I agree with Monkey boy.


To an extent I do too, I think my vote will be on one of the two, leaning slightly towards Denul but happy either way.


View PostAmpelas, on 15 April 2014 - 08:23 PM, said:

View PostSerc, on 15 April 2014 - 08:22 PM, said:

^_^ serves me right replying b4 scrolling down

welp, looks like I'm gonna get the chop. I'm too macho to self-vote, so I'll vote the person pinging my gut-based radar




vote Okral Lom


Hate to say it but read the OP, you can't.

Vote Serc



View PostAmpelas, on 15 April 2014 - 08:47 PM, said:

View PostBek Okhan, on 15 April 2014 - 08:39 PM, said:

View PostOkral Lom, on 15 April 2014 - 07:32 PM, said:

Alright, I've had a thread read and had a think, and unfortunately it's looking like a Denul or Serc lynch today. I don't think either of them rate out as any more than an average candidate (by which I mean essentially they've suffered from the luck of the draw).

That being said, they've been discussed to death and that discussion is not particularly interesting, so I'm going to point out a few things about some of the other players instead.

I'll start off with the player who interests me most at the moment: Monoch Ochem (henceforth MO). And that's not just for the Librarian RP.

I made an (admittedly weak) case on Korabas, and was immediately met by two responses from someone other than Korabas (which seemed surprising). There was a query about my logic from Bek Okhan (henceforth BO) and a surprisingly vigorous rubbishing from Monoch Ochem (henceforth MO). BO's interest seemed legit, but MO put quite a bit of time into attempting to disparage all those associated with the case:

Here he is initially (I've snipped the flavour text and the pictures for clarity) implying that the aggressive players (at that point myself and Tiamatha) are over-stepping their bounds:

View PostMonok Ochem, on 15 April 2014 - 01:35 AM, said:

What the Librarian is trying to say is that the response to the vote on Master Korabas was a little sudden and aggressive. The Librarian is not so sure that at this stage of Day 1 "antics" such a case should garner such heat.
:
Now Librarian, I also thought that Master Tiamatha also seemed particularly aggressive as well...
:
What I'm saying is that Master Tiamatha seems to be jumping the musket, so to speak.


And again trying to sow suspicion on those who hold any weight in my case on Korabas:

View PostMonok Ochem, on 15 April 2014 - 04:34 AM, said:

Now, what he wanted to express is that from the history of past games, signalling cases are kind of in a hang up, so to speak. They can't be discounted because of a couple of games back, but given that bloke Tatt's show last game, we all have to be wary. Now, seems to me, and the Librarian, that there is two sides to this coin, so to speak. We got a group really looking mean and hard into that Serc fellow, but harder in to his so called "symp" Korabas, or maybe that was Denul being the ringleader, I'm already getting turned around.
:
But here's the thing gentlemen: that Korabas fellow puts a little too much weightiness on the Serc "situation" to be trying to interrupt the show. The lack of conviction in that wishy-washy post itself is the problem, and I'll bet bananas to peanuts that the people playing up that post are more trouble than the guy posting the post himself.
:
So the question I have is why are we arsing about spending so much bloody time or Korabas when if he's the so-called symp, we ought to be focusing on Serc! I think this is all smoke and mirrors, and really, we ought to be testing by stringing up that Serc fellow, or maybe one of the supposedly upright citizens trying so valiantly to make a case on them!


So that's two posts devoted to making sure that the Korabas case is buried. In the process of doing so, he finds himself saying we should lynch Serc instead, despite previously making disparaging comments about the motives of Tiamatha in starting the case in the first place.

Then we come to his case on Denul. It seems to consist wholly of the over-aggressive clutching at straws Tiamatha and myself employed earlier. Here is the text of his argument - again I have snipped out the RP and the quoted posts themselves, which he doesn't analyze properly:

View PostMonok Ochem, on 15 April 2014 - 04:52 AM, said:

Master Denul announced himself in the standard, provocative manner. Interestingly enough, as the Librarian pointed out, this manner quickly degenerates into base tomfoolery, making light of the last game's fake signalling, and a humorous switchero with a male picture where there ought to have been a more, er, beautiful lady. The quote (third below in the amazing MultiQuote device) that bothered him and myself the most was a comment about absence, not reading the OP, and speculation on a "symp" girlfriend. Quite the post for someone seemingly unengaged. Then Master Serc seems to "signal" closely followed by Master Korabas, and then it all just falls apart from there. But it comes back to Master Denul, don't you see? Master Denul's seemingly simple and easy going posts seems flippant, maybe even elusive, especially in context.
:
(QUOTED POSTS)
:
Vote Denul.


Now, let's get to the meat of that case...oh wait, there isn't any. An inconsistency in seriousness between posts is possibly the flimsiest argument constructed this year.

So basically MO's play last night was an inconsistent mess that he hid behind his posting style. He was very strongly trying to rebut and discredit arguments against another player (Korabas) by dismissing others as aggressive, but then turned around and posted one of the most powderpuff cases in the history of powderpuff cases! And somehow it worked.

So MO and by extension Korabas are the players I find the most suspicious at this point and I will be looking at them with a fine-tooth comb tomorrow.


I'm not sure I appreciate being BO :p

However, this post perfectly explains for I feel about MO. He seems to have blinkers on, determined to paint any action of Denul's as scummy, without much reference what Denul actually says.

For now, I want a lynch, so I will

Remove vote

Vote Serc


Edit: just seen that my vote isn't needed. Ah well.


Agreed on MO as well.



View PostAmpelas, on 15 April 2014 - 08:47 PM, said:

View PostRikkter, on 15 April 2014 - 08:43 PM, said:

And 20 minutes worth of posts appear at once?


F5 fail?


View PostAmpelas, on 16 April 2014 - 06:58 AM, said:

View PostTiamatha, on 16 April 2014 - 06:35 AM, said:

first off night kill speculation:

Lock(?) is suggesting MO (gusty) has been killed because he was irritating. Surely this is absolute nonsense, if anything MO being annoying would be a dead cert for survival, many players (myself included) expressed frustration over his posting style and anything that annoys us is good for the scum. At some stage I probably would have voted for him to make him stop that shit.

A far more likely set of options are: despite his infuriating posting style MO was contributing actively and regardless of how accurate his finger pointing may be once he dropped the librarian schtick he was a lucid reasoned poster, which spells trouble for scum in later stages. Second option is pure meta, he could have been alted, and lets face it, if you're scum you don't want Gusty around, he can be uncanny at times with his scum hunting.

anything outside this is wifom, infact even that is wifom, was his kill a frame job? Was it pre-emptive? Was it a 'shut him up before he really.gets the bit between his teeth?

we don't know, we WON'T know until spoiler heaven, and basing todays actions on speculation over scums logic is as useful as putting a handbrake on a canoe.



So , beyond that, I'm still interested in Denul, he's been too helpful, too reactionary and, as gust predicted, his name has faded into the mist today. I voted Serc to get a lynch and a CF, but its by no means the lynch I wanted to see


So you're saying go with MO on the basis that MO tagged him?



View PostAmpelas, on 16 April 2014 - 07:23 AM, said:

View PostTiamatha, on 16 April 2014 - 07:05 AM, said:

not in the slightest Amp, I'm saying I wasn't a proponent of a serc lynch yesterday, I was after Denul, gusts prediction of interest fade just seems to be coming true, which I don't like, someone who garnered that much heat one day shouldn't simply fade to black the next


The problem I have there is with coasting/low laying scum getting a free ride. I'll have to see what inferences we can make on Denul when I get a change to re-read

The first MO in the post above yours should be Denul btw


So, 9 posts. All are three sentences long or less, 2 that are pure "catching up" posts, 2 that are pointless one-sentence question responses to a quote, and 4 that either explicitly mention MO _and_ Denul (obvious potential lynch targets) or mention one and refer to the other in a quote. Very little content, at least a third of the posts are nothing at all, and the only legitimate post in my mind is his second, where he mentions signalling. Discounting the "catching up" posts, this is also the only posts where Amp makes a statement without quoting someone else first and then agreeing or questioning whoever he quoted.

He did drop a vote on Serc with little reasoning, but to be fair I crossposted almost the same reply to Serc about the OP and ended up voting Serc afterward as well.

Just as an interesting aside, Amp's second post is the only one with real content and Tiam replies immediately:

View PostTiamatha, on 15 April 2014 - 08:42 AM, said:

who mentioned warlords Amp??

we've been discussing possible sympage of scum entirely, stop trying to muddy the water further and derail our conversation


Good point - who had been mentioned Warlords up until then? Amp may have been the first. The obvious two answers when a new topic comes up like that are that people usually talk about their role or people try to redirect the thread with a new focus. Neither is clear with Amp at this point since it's early on in his play, but it is kind of odd to bring up something like that in your first "real" post after checking in. Tiam calls him on it and Amp not only acts like he forgot he ever mentions Warlords but doesn't respond to Tiam either. Instead he disappears for about 12 hours.

Also, in Amp's last post, I underlined his comment about coasting and Denul. There are two reasons I don't like this - because the description he gives fits himself perfectly (low-posting and/or coasting), and it looks like he's implying that he is going to investigate Denul based on low-posting/coasting not being ok. This makes no sense, because the entirety of day 1 was pretty much a back and forth between Serc and Denul (in terms of the lynch) and Denul certainly wasn't low-posting at that point in the game, so it seems like bullshit.

Then I said this:

"My initial response right now is to look at our lowest posters - Amp and GL. It looks like Lock has already gone through GL and someone else (I need to read those cases more carefully), so I'm going to look at Amp as I have the time." -- http://forum.malazan...85#entry1119885 (out of quote tags)

Less than 1 hour later Amp comes out with several posts in succession. I will analyze the rest in a separate post, but I wanted to look at early Amp first as that was my intention from the beginning.

So this is pretty much only half my read-up on Amp but just looking at these posts, it's not pretty. I think he says a good amount later that I remember agreeing with (again, will return to go over) but at this point he has contributed almost nothing, coasted through two full days as one of (sometimes THE) lowest poster in the game, and then shows up with fire after the Korabas reveal with a massive boner for Korabas (not totally unwarranted, but again was yelled at by Tiam for jumping the gun).

That is all the time I have right now, I will finish the second half of this later.

#675 User is offline   Tiamatha 

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Posted 22 April 2014 - 11:29 PM

I am still alive, still hungover as fuck, still just keeping up with what's posted.

apologies but I'm a wreck at the minute

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 12:36 AM

Hey everyone, hope you had a good Easter. Sorry I haven't been around today, but should hopefully be able to be on quite a bit tomorrow.

Anyway, as I said in one of my last posts before checking out for the break, the fact that Korabas DID turn out to be a warlord means - to me, at least - that the possibility that Kenshiro was not around when Korabas first revealed is quite high. I know several people have gone through who was posting and who was not posting at that time, but it's something I still need to do myself. So that's what I will be focusing on...tomorrow.

#677 User is offline   Okral Lom 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 01:13 AM

View PostTiamatha, on 17 April 2014 - 09:10 PM, said:

fuck you Bek, gk back and read again, everyone and their dog was suggesting we look at such and such because they must have wanted to kil him cause he was annoying. F you're gonna case me, stop telling fucking lies.

watching Iron man with the gf, will check in periodically to wallow in the bullshit


OK, I'm in the process of reading back, this post stood out as being terrifyingly lazy. We're playing Mafia on a forum with a quoting function. You do not say "Everyone and their dog was suggesting...", you go and quote the posts where people do that. There are far too many posts in this game for someone's memory to be taken as gospel, so if you're going to call someone a liar you had best come with evidence. Tiamatha just goes straight to insults (didn't we use to have a Code of Conduct?) and doesn't bother with anything else. It's awful, and Emotional!Okral would very much like to vote for him on that basis. On the other hand, Rational!Okral doesn't feel like this is a strong enough scum indicator to be wasting a vote on at this point, and sadly Rational!Okral prevails for the time being.

#678 User is offline   Okral Lom 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 01:32 AM

Anyway, that aside, the most telling thing I found in the Day 3 discussion was Shadow's about face on the Korabas lynch. At the start of day Ampelas comes in and drops an immediate vote on Korabas. I hypothesize that Shadow sees this, assumes that the wind is blowing in the direction of a speed-lynch. He wants to make sure he's on the train for this one in order to make up for the fact (as GL has demonstrated) that he was not on the first two days' trains. So he quickly drops a vote:

View PostShadow, on 17 April 2014 - 12:41 PM, said:

View PostKorabas, on 16 April 2014 - 11:23 PM, said:

I've thought about this. It's a good post. Being a gang leader myself, I can't really say I know any of my 'team'. That said, the symp-master relationship outlined above would certainly accommodate a single killer, since any symp-master relationship has essentially lost its meaning. So now we have a whole town team, likely speckled with roles, but our ability to track on-thread symp relationships has been hamstrung. I can't say I've seen this sort of game in the few I've played.

fixed 'have' to 'has'


Well that is a how do you do first thing in the morning isn't it. I don't understand your reasoning revealing yourself like that. Seems that you got all caught up in the moment and blew your load. Kinda surprised that PS didn't modkill you truthfully. But that is probably because if your who you say you are then it would remove a VC condition anyway. This way the town will do it and save him the need to modkill. I see no other choice then to lynch Korbas today.

Vote for Korbas


But if he's scum he's wondering if this is actually the outcome he'd prefer, since it ruins one of his VCs. So he makes a show of being convinced by Tiamatha and changes his mind:

View PostShadow, on 17 April 2014 - 02:34 PM, said:


View PostTiamatha, on 17 April 2014 - 02:04 PM, said:

maybe I'm presenting my opinion wrong.

om lets say that warlords do CF differently.

lets say we don't lynch Korabas today and kenshiro kills him tonight.

It will still take him three nights to kill off the warlords ASSUMING he gets lucky and hits them all in a row

ASSUMING we don't end up lynching one now through a plain old bad town lynch.

lets assume we don't lynch any warlords. And assume a solo killer we have 3 days

we have a CI (if assuming korabas is truthful) why are we wasting a lynch? If there's more than one scum we're barrelling closer to d-day second by second. And you guys want to rush there, hell if there's more than one scum we d-day about the same time as a triple warlordicide. Assuming kenshiro gets lucky enough to nail them.

This is wasted lynch Imo, is that clear enough for you?


That makes more sense. I still feel that a lynch on Korbas is smart. But your right we don't have too.

Remove vote

This is something I've seen time and again (hell, I've caught myself doing it several times). I'm not 100% sure why (an outlet for their insecurity that they've picked the right opinion to hold? An expression of the fact that it doesn't really make a difference to them who dies as long as they're not scum?), but it appears to be a natural tendency of scum to equivocate and make a show of having their minds changed for them. Add this to the case I made on him yesterday, and I feel like the right call is to:

Vote Shadow

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 01:39 AM

View PostDenul, on 22 April 2014 - 05:15 PM, said:

Reading back over the Korabas reveal and reactions, Rikkter looks very suspicious to me. He posts that he is catching up about halfway through the whole thing, after there has already been lots of reaction, speculation, and more, but he never actually posts after it.

Then quite a bit later he appears again and gives zero comment about the Korabas reveal, makes some pointless comments like asking no one in particular about how to proceed going forward, and then takes another break.

Not too long after that, he appears for two posts and votes Korabas, but tempers it with saying a no lynch would be ok and also has a piss poor explanation of why he is voting at all:

View PostRikkter, on 18 April 2014 - 02:16 AM, said:

I'm done

I think a no lynch may be OK in this case if it has to be

vote Korabas
For reveal situation - timing & inconsistence


If scum wanted to lie low about the whole Korabas' reveal and not draw too much attention to themselves about it, Rikkter certainly did so by hardly being present and not commenting on the issue at all. The fact that he posted his arrival (around the time Bek was making his Tiam case) and then never said anything else within a big length of time afterwards sounds to me like a scum who announced himself, then read the thread and realized he'd rather just not post at all to remain hidden. I think this is worth pursuing.

Vote Rikkter



I too am curious about that post of Rikkter's you quoted. I want to know why he felt a no lynch was OK in that situation. Seems like an unusual thing to say...

And I'm interested to see where Eloth is going with his Ampelas re-read. Will wait until I've seen his overall conclusion before throwing in my 2 cents. Anyhow, I'm out for the night.

#680 User is offline   Denul 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 02:37 AM

View PostEloth, on 22 April 2014 - 11:16 PM, said:

Just as an interesting aside, Amp's second post is the only one with real content and Tiam replies immediately:

View PostTiamatha, on 15 April 2014 - 08:42 AM, said:

who mentioned warlords Amp??

we've been discussing possible sympage of scum entirely, stop trying to muddy the water further and derail our conversation


Good point - who had been mentioned Warlords up until then? Amp may have been the first. The obvious two answers when a new topic comes up like that are that people usually talk about their role or people try to redirect the thread with a new focus. Neither is clear with Amp at this point since it's early on in his play, but it is kind of odd to bring up something like that in your first "real" post after checking in. Tiam calls him on it and Amp not only acts like he forgot he ever mentions Warlords but doesn't respond to Tiam either. Instead he disappears for about 12 hours.


I'm curious to your explanation of what you're getting at here? Because it sounds like you're presenting the notion that Amp is a warlord because he talked about warlords first and I can't see any reason you would do that except if you were scum trying to point it out to Kenshiro...

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