Malazan Empire: Mafia 111 - Malazan Empire

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Mafia 111 Fist of the North Star

#681 User is offline   Ampelas 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 07:31 AM

View PostEloth, on 22 April 2014 - 11:16 PM, said:

Ok, first I want to look at all the posts Amp made before I said I was going to take a look at him, because as far as I can tell on my reread, no one had said they were going to look at him until I did. So here's pre-pressured Amp, all the way through day 2:

[mega-quote-snip]

So, 9 posts. All are three sentences long or less, 2 that are pure "catching up" posts, 2 that are pointless one-sentence question responses to a quote, and 4 that either explicitly mention MO _and_ Denul (obvious potential lynch targets) or mention one and refer to the other in a quote. Very little content, at least a third of the posts are nothing at all, and the only legitimate post in my mind is his second, where he mentions signalling. Discounting the "catching up" posts, this is also the only posts where Amp makes a statement without quoting someone else first and then agreeing or questioning whoever he quoted.

He did drop a vote on Serc with little reasoning, but to be fair I crossposted almost the same reply to Serc about the OP and ended up voting Serc afterward as well.

Just as an interesting aside, Amp's second post is the only one with real content and Tiam replies immediately:

View PostTiamatha, on 15 April 2014 - 08:42 AM, said:

who mentioned warlords Amp??

we've been discussing possible sympage of scum entirely, stop trying to muddy the water further and derail our conversation


Good point - who had been mentioned Warlords up until then? Amp may have been the first. The obvious two answers when a new topic comes up like that are that people usually talk about their role or people try to redirect the thread with a new focus. Neither is clear with Amp at this point since it's early on in his play, but it is kind of odd to bring up something like that in your first "real" post after checking in. Tiam calls him on it and Amp not only acts like he forgot he ever mentions Warlords but doesn't respond to Tiam either. Instead he disappears for about 12 hours.

Also, in Amp's last post, I underlined his comment about coasting and Denul. There are two reasons I don't like this - because the description he gives fits himself perfectly (low-posting and/or coasting), and it looks like he's implying that he is going to investigate Denul based on low-posting/coasting not being ok. This makes no sense, because the entirety of day 1 was pretty much a back and forth between Serc and Denul (in terms of the lynch) and Denul certainly wasn't low-posting at that point in the game, so it seems like bullshit.

Then I said this:

"My initial response right now is to look at our lowest posters - Amp and GL. It looks like Lock has already gone through GL and someone else (I need to read those cases more carefully), so I'm going to look at Amp as I have the time." -- http://forum.malazan...85#entry1119885 (out of quote tags)

Less than 1 hour later Amp comes out with several posts in succession. I will analyze the rest in a separate post, but I wanted to look at early Amp first as that was my intention from the beginning.

So this is pretty much only half my read-up on Amp but just looking at these posts, it's not pretty. I think he says a good amount later that I remember agreeing with (again, will return to go over) but at this point he has contributed almost nothing, coasted through two full days as one of (sometimes THE) lowest poster in the game, and then shows up with fire after the Korabas reveal with a massive boner for Korabas (not totally unwarranted, but again was yelled at by Tiam for jumping the gun).

That is all the time I have right now, I will finish the second half of this later.


Low posting was down to RL, I finally got a bit of a break to post in and you want to start muttering about it a week later? Whatever.

FYI tomorrow (human time, not game time) I'm going to not check in at all because RL. Sure, make a low posting, smooth case on it.

Underlined is to say: Yes, our peak posting times are with a few hours of each other. RL aside this is why more posts then.

Tonight or Friday I'll reciprocate and take a look at you if I'm still around.

#682 User is offline   Ampelas 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 07:37 AM

View PostDenul, on 23 April 2014 - 02:37 AM, said:

View PostEloth, on 22 April 2014 - 11:16 PM, said:

Just as an interesting aside, Amp's second post is the only one with real content and Tiam replies immediately:

View PostTiamatha, on 15 April 2014 - 08:42 AM, said:

who mentioned warlords Amp??

we've been discussing possible sympage of scum entirely, stop trying to muddy the water further and derail our conversation


Good point - who had been mentioned Warlords up until then? Amp may have been the first. The obvious two answers when a new topic comes up like that are that people usually talk about their role or people try to redirect the thread with a new focus. Neither is clear with Amp at this point since it's early on in his play, but it is kind of odd to bring up something like that in your first "real" post after checking in. Tiam calls him on it and Amp not only acts like he forgot he ever mentions Warlords but doesn't respond to Tiam either. Instead he disappears for about 12 hours.


I'm curious to your explanation of what you're getting at here? Because it sounds like you're presenting the notion that Amp is a warlord because he talked about warlords first and I can't see any reason you would do that except if you were scum trying to point it out to Kenshiro...


So long as it doesn't advance scum, why not? They're roled town so you'd have to be knowingly throwing a role under the bus for your own ends but if they're town with a master plan I'd have no issue.

All our role PMs mention Warlords FFS. The fact Tiam doesn't join the dots just makes them more suspicious - and I saw no need to respond to such a post - clearly it was me that mentioned Warlords so no actual question there from Tiam.

I'm out for (guess what Eloth...) maybe 12 hours. Anyone know how long is left?

#683 User is offline   Path-Shaper 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 08:24 AM

There are 13 hours left in Day 4.

10 players alive.
Ampelas, Bek Okhan, Denul, Eloth, Galayn Lord, Lock, Okral Lom, Rikkter, Shadow, Tiamatha


One vote Denul: Shadow
One vote Rikkter: Denul
One vote Shadow: Okral Lom

Players not voting: Ampelas, Bek Okhan,Eloth, Galayn Lord, Lock, Rikkter, Tiamatha

This post has been edited by Path-Shaper: 23 April 2014 - 08:24 AM

Only someone with this much power could make this many frittatas without breaking any eggs.
0

#684 User is offline   Bek Okhan 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 11:20 AM

Right, I'm going to bed, and I may or may not be back before time out. I've seen nothing else convincing so far today, so I'm going to

vote Tiam.

And now, goodnight!

#685 User is offline   Path-Shaper 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 11:47 AM

There are 9 hours and 36 minutes left in Day 4.

10 players alive.
Ampelas, Bek Okhan, Denul, Eloth, Galayn Lord, Lock, Okral Lom, Rikkter, Shadow, Tiamatha


One vote Denul: Shadow
One vote Rikkter: Denul
One vote Shadow: Okral Lom
One vote Tiam: Bek Okhan

Players not voting: Ampelas, Eloth, Galayn Lord, Lock, Rikkter, Tiamatha

This post has been edited by Path-Shaper: 23 April 2014 - 11:47 AM

Only someone with this much power could make this many frittatas without breaking any eggs.
0

#686 User is offline   Tiamatha 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 12:35 PM

lunch break.

I will be around for end of day though. The only thing holding me back from voting Denul now is that it shadow doing the voting, and I'd easily vote for him as well.




edit - autocorrect doing - don't needed fixed

This post has been edited by Tiamatha: 23 April 2014 - 12:36 PM


#687 User is offline   Okral Lom 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 12:40 PM

View PostTiamatha, on 23 April 2014 - 12:35 PM, said:

lunch break.

I will be around for end of day though. The only thing holding me back from voting Denul now is that it shadow doing the voting, and I'd easily vote for him as well.




edit - autocorrect doing - don't needed fixed


I'm interested - I know you've been saying "Let's go after Denul!" for a while now, but the only post I can find where you explain your reasoning is this one:

View PostTiamatha, on 15 April 2014 - 10:45 AM, said:

I'm going to

vote Denul

why? A combination of OL and sercs actions. korabas starts the suspicion of serc, and OL aims in the opposite direction, trying to discredit korabas in the process.

thus ends the case on my end


Is there more to it than that? The View Posts function is being weird and not showing me all the posts in order, so I might have missed something.

#688 User is offline   Tiamatha 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 01:02 PM

its mostly gut, he's been constantly catching my eye but I can't pin it down firmly why, every day so far he's done something or been involved in somethings that's made me think, somethjngs just not right.

But shadow came off very scummy to me yesterday so that's holding me back now

#689 User is offline   Tiamatha 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 01:03 PM

also, I can never get the view posts thing to work, it constantly skips posts and out of orders things on me

#690 User is offline   Okral Lom 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 01:22 PM

View PostTiamatha, on 23 April 2014 - 01:02 PM, said:

its mostly gut, he's been constantly catching my eye but I can't pin it down firmly why, every day so far he's done something or been involved in somethings that's made me think, somethjngs just not right.

But shadow came off very scummy to me yesterday so that's holding me back now


Hmm, OK. What is your opinion about this post then?

View PostDenul, on 16 April 2014 - 05:52 PM, said:

Ok so this is the other point I wanted to bring up about mechanics and scum hunting in this game.

PS did retcon the "majority" from the scum VCs as potentially just "parity". So it could be that Kenshiro really is alone, or it could be that he has followers, we don't know. Either way, we only need to eliminate Kenshiro to win.

I do think and have expressed that I think we are too gung-ho to jump on signalling accusations etc, but that is not to say that looking for killers/lead scum via links to/from their followers/partners is not useful and worth doing. Normally!

The problem is, this game has the three gang leaders each of whom may have followers that they know or that know them. The sign-up thread said the game "Contains some variations of typical roles" so there could be any kind of role out there.

Looking for Kenshiro based on player interactions like a basic symp-master interaction is not going to work. If Kenshiro has any allies, there could be four similar partnerships out there with only one being scum. If Kenshiro is on his own after all, there could be three out there and none are scum.

Just something for everyone else to keep in mind. We need to focus on individual behaviours more than potential partner or follower relationships or else there's a good chance we'll wind up just shooting ourselves in the foot.

This is from Day 2. The reason I ask is that there's some fairly significant role speculation going on here. Do you think there is merit to his ideas about Warlords having symp-like followers?

#691 User is offline   Tiamatha 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 01:30 PM

I recall the post and, it struck me a bit because it seemed like Denul was trying to put a stop to a discussion he was, iirc, bang center off.

As for the role speculation, if Kenshiro is on his own I find the idea of 4 sets of symps unlikely, because it would have given the warlords too much power surely?

#692 User is offline   Lock 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 01:46 PM

I'm around now. I'm gonna go have a look to see what I can see. I notice we're very split on the votes currently. A lot of uncertainty floating around.

#693 User is offline   Lock 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 01:58 PM

So we have Ampelas, Denul, Rikkter, Shadow, and Tiamatha who were not around at the time of Korabas' first reveal. I'm going to go ahead and add Eloth to that list, because their only post came straight after Korabas' reveal, and did not mention it. It was just this:


View PostEloth, on 16 April 2014 - 11:27 PM, said:

Super busy on phone back before timeout


#694 User is offline   Path-Shaper 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 02:20 PM

There are 7 hours left in Day 4.

10 players alive.
Ampelas, Bek Okhan, Denul, Eloth, Galayn Lord, Lock, Okral Lom, Rikkter, Shadow, Tiamatha


One vote Denul: Shadow
One vote Rikkter: Denul
One vote Shadow: Okral Lom
One vote Tiam: Bek Okhan

Players not voting: Ampelas, Eloth, Galayn Lord, Lock, Rikkter, Tiamatha
Only someone with this much power could make this many frittatas without breaking any eggs.
0

#695 User is offline   Denul 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 02:31 PM

View PostTiamatha, on 23 April 2014 - 01:30 PM, said:

I recall the post and, it struck me a bit because it seemed like Denul was trying to put a stop to a discussion he was, iirc, bang center off.

As for the role speculation, if Kenshiro is on his own I find the idea of 4 sets of symps unlikely, because it would have given the warlords too much power surely?


What does "bang center off" mean?

#696 User is offline   Denul 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 02:34 PM

View PostTiamatha, on 23 April 2014 - 01:30 PM, said:

As for the role speculation, if Kenshiro is on his own I find the idea of 4 sets of symps unlikely, because it would have given the warlords too much power surely?


I think Korabas' reveal shows us that Kenshiro is either not on his own or else has some defenses to counter whatever warlord powers are arrayed against him. (Eloth suggests Korabas could have lied, but a townie doing a fake reveal that muddies up the thread as much as Korabas' did would be so unhelpful to town I can't see how even Korabas would think it is a good idea.)

But where do you get 4 sets of symps? In the same sentence of Kenshiro being on his own? Is that some sort of slip-up?

#697 User is offline   Tiamatha 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 02:57 PM

the post OL just quoted, by you, where you suggest 4 sets if symps. (kenshiro and the three warlords)

meant to be bang center of, not off.

#698 User is offline   Denul 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 03:07 PM

View PostTiamatha, on 23 April 2014 - 02:57 PM, said:

the post OL just quoted, by you, where you suggest 4 sets if symps. (kenshiro and the three warlords)

meant to be bang center of, not off.


But you said right before "if Kenshiro is on his own" which does not jive with that. Now I'm getting more certain that this is some slip up by you.

#699 User is offline   Lock 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 03:25 PM

Rikkter or Shadow for me.


Neither were around when Korabas revealed. Going back to the previous 'timing case' of Monok's death, both only posted after Serc had been lynched (technically, Shadow posted just before, but it was a cross-post with Eloth's hammer vote on Serc).


I also find Shadow voting and then unvoting Korabas suspicious, as others have pointed out. That might be a good catch.

From recollection, Shadow has been 'off' for much of the game - like the day 1 accusation that Denul had pushed paired killers when that was clearly a joke. Rikkter feels like they basically haven't been around for much of the game, which would fit into missing the crucial turning points in the game.



I'm going to read up more on these two and then make a decision.

#700 User is offline   Tiamatha 

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Posted 23 April 2014 - 03:26 PM

what? Read your post

Quote

Looking for Kenshiro based on player interactions like a basic symp-master interaction is not going to work. If Kenshiro has any allies, there could be four similar partnerships out there with only one being scum. If Kenshiro is on his own after all, there could be three out there and none are scum




you suggested that there were possibly 4 sets of symps out there. Then suggested that if kens was on his own there could STILL be three sets of symps out there. OL asked me.for.my take on you mechanics suggestions, I'm saying I doubted there would be warlords symps as it would be very tough for a lone killer. My entire speculation on you from day one was scuk symp, you were the one who brought up a suggestion of faction symps.

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