Werthead, on 02 March 2026 - 09:10 PM, said:
One unconfirmed report that a regular Iranian army unit has refused IRGC orders to join them in suppressing protestors in Tehran, leading to an exchange of fire. Other Iranian units have refused to transfer AA assets to IRGC forces. The regular Iranian military has taken some damage, but nothing like the fire that has been directed at IRGC command and control nodes and bases. The IRGC may have lost control of parts of Tehran due to several of their bases being destroyed with significant casualties.
Beijing has reportedly gotten Tehran to guarantee safe passage for oil shipments through the Straits of Hormuz, at least for Chinese ships or those bound for China. Though that's in question, an hour ago Iranian representatives were saying they will set fire to the straits if anyone tries to pass through (how they plan to do that is another question, but still).
One report breaking that Saudi Arabia gave Trump the greenlight for attacking Iran, possibly a result of "alarming" intelligence about the direction of travel of Iran's missile and nuclear programmes. Saudi and Iran were very heavily opposed to one another up until a few years ago, when China brokered a deal, and Saudi has been much more cautious since then, so interesting they went in full-throttled support of Israel and the US attacking Iran. Some Saudi sources have even urged Saudi Arabia to join in, but that seems to being held off at the moment as the idea of Saudi and Israeli jets flying into combat on the same side is still unpalatable to a lot of people. But Trump is apparently pushing Saudi recognition of Israel again in the background.
Apparently some Ukrainian anti-drone units (or rather, people from them in rotation off the front line) might already be in the UAE and Qatar with advice for those governments on how to handle low-cost drones. Qatar is warning that it's Patriot batteries will run dry in 4 days at current rates of fire.
Trump has reportedly turned down a call from Putin over the crisis.
Turkey has offered to mediate the crisis. Less confirmed reports that Turkey has told Iran bluntly what they will do if Iran targets the major US airbase at Incirlik.
American KIA have risen to 6, along with three F-15s shot down over Kuwait in an apparent friendly fire incident.
Greece has deployed F-16s to Cyprus to help intercept incoming drones.
The Shahid Bagheri, possibly the most advanced ship in the Iranian Navy (not saying much), has apparently been destroyed. Total Iranian naval asset losses are eleven, leaving no Iranian ships east of the Straits of Hormuz.
The Israelis and Americans appear to have targeted the fuel enrichment complex at Natanz, with significant damage shown.
Damage to the US 5th Fleet headquarters in Bahrain is considerably more extensive than first reported, with two radar systems destroyed and four buildings levelled.
It appears Russia may have back-sold Shaheds to Iran; one of the drones shot down over Cyprus had Russian-made satellite navigation systems.
Air alert sirens sounding in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Riyadh and Amman, unclear if Amman is under direct attack (for the first time in the conflict) or missiles are overflying to Israel.
Israel has come under a strong bombardment of advanced ballistic missiles with multiple warheads.
A Patriot battery fired TWELVE interceptors to take down what appear to be munitions from 2-3 Iranian missiles. That exchange rate is not going to work.
Currently over 150 ships are holding on either side of the Straits of How ormuz, unwilling to risk crossing. Several ships that did cross earlier may have been Chinese.
So basically it’s ww3 thanks to the orange bastard and satanyahu

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