Malazan Empire: Mafia 139.5 Spoiler Thread - Malazan Empire

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Mafia 139.5 Spoiler Thread

#61 User is offline   Itwæs Nom 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 09:47 AM

Aaaand Sierg got it again

View PostSiergiej, on 23 February 2017 - 09:41 AM, said:

Now, that was a shitshow. And a very late reveal - part of me wishes someone counterclaims that Guard reveal because Khell has an uncanny ability to skip a lynch at the last minute Posted Image

I am, however, more confident in my case on Mess now. All points I made in D2 are still valid and his interaction with Khelll right before timeout stinks. Will read into that later. Will also need to read up on what happened between me going to sleep and waking up, only skimmed it very briefly.


@Mac: I thought that if I, Nom, you, and Khell pile up on Mess we could lynch him, but that was wrong which Mess pointed out to me. We would have been a vote short. My basic math has been dreadful this game. I blame the mistakes on late evening/early morning. Alternatively, on me being a dumbass.

Mess is my primary suspect now. I'm kind of glad Nom is out of the picture, though it's a curious target. I'm still suspicious of HD and Ment seems to be taking the back seat this game, which is unusual.

The small good thing about this timeout is that even WCS we're not in D-day.

All things fall from kings to rose petals
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#62 User is offline   Path-Shaper 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 11:23 AM

Macros, on 23 February 2017 - 10:10 AM, said:

Heal ando

Only someone with this much power could make this many frittatas without breaking any eggs.
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#63 User is offline   Sir Thursday 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 12:24 PM

Macros not believing Khell is going to make things difficult for the town at this point. Macros could test Khell's reveal by healing him tonight and seeing if there's an NK, but by doing the killers' work for them and eliminating one of the town roles it's giving them one fewer weapon to use. And if Khell did indeed guard Mac last night, then Khell's CF PIs Macros, which might draw the killers onto him.

Also, Messremb should be getting a ton of heat given the amount of bullshit he has been peddling. At least a couple of statements he's made would have drawn my ire if I was playing, including:

- In a 2 scum vs 10 town game, the scum wouldn't stand a chance. [The last game I remember modding (Mafia 87.5) was precisely such a game, and the killer pair waltzed to victory. That game cemented my belief that in general we aren't very good at this game :doh:]
- Healer is the easiest role to claim. [Healers are supposed to avoid revealing at all costs, because they are immediately an NK target. Staying hidden is the best strategy for playing them, which makes a healer reveal suspicious in the extreme]

The question is whether the town who aren't supremely blinkered on Khell will be convincing enough to swing the lynch onto him. They might get support from the killers if they're lucky, since neither of them have spotted Mess's signaling AFAIK.

ST
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#64 User is offline   Tattersail_ 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 01:42 PM

Hope Khell can work my day one HD suspicion into a case.
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#65 User is offline   Itwæs Nom 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 03:07 PM

Posted Image
All things fall from kings to rose petals
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#66 User is offline   Path-Shaper 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 03:48 PM

Mentalist, on 23 February 2017 - 12:52 PM, said:

Well, that's interesting.

My first reaction is to want to stab khell.

But I'm presuming that's what any hypothetical healer would expect me to think.

Let's see what our symp wannabes do with this reveal.

Hopefully Blend is around today to drive this.


HoosierDaddy, on 23 February 2017 - 12:55 PM, said:

I'm going to throw up soon. I have no idea what is oging on in thread. Sorry.

I'll read as soon as I can.



HoosierDaddy, on 23 February 2017 - 12:56 PM, said:

I've choked it back a couple of times now, so that's my focus. Khell claim's guard? Someone claim's guard? I don't fucking know.


HoosierDaddy, on 23 February 2017 - 12:57 PM, said:

I had to call in to work which makes me fucking mad.


Mentalist, on 23 February 2017 - 01:01 PM, said:

Yeah, khell claimed guard @ L-1 with like 10 min before timeout, I think


Mentalist, on 23 February 2017 - 01:02 PM, said:

Blend'd better have a field day with this. Maccy's already voting Khell.



HoosierDaddy, on 23 February 2017 - 01:10 PM, said:

Good lord, I'm worst possible scum right now. I'm sick and I can't fucking act for shit. I'll do my best Mac. I'll try to powre through. I was supposed to have interviews today so I'm going to have to contacf those people and let them rearrange.


LSkjfl;akj;sdlfjkalksjdf;alkjsfd;lkajfdl

I fucking hate being sick.



HoosierDaddy, on 23 February 2017 - 01:11 PM, said:

#obviousoly Ment not Mac

Only someone with this much power could make this many frittatas without breaking any eggs.
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#67 User is offline   Path-Shaper 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 03:48 PM

View PostItwæs Nom, on 23 February 2017 - 03:07 PM, said:

Posted Image


Blend's play has hurt town this game, but I think they still have a shot, next game day.

tatts
Only someone with this much power could make this many frittatas without breaking any eggs.
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#68 User is offline   Path-Shaper 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 03:51 PM

HoosierDaddy, on 23 February 2017 - 03:02 PM, said:

Provisional on? What you think Ment?


Mentalist, on 23 February 2017 - 03:15 PM, said:

Hmmm, good question.

As a general rule, I prefer to take out players in a different time zone, so there isn't a critical mass of them able to pull off a lynch while I'm asleep.

But Mac could be our symp (him and blend both seem fitting candidates). I've been very blatantly dumping sierg, so eventually someone should pick up on it.

Which leaves Ando, khell and mess.
Khell is likely a goner, but I'm also trying to lynch mess, and as much as killing off my declared suspects is a good way to confuse everyone, eventually it leads me to run out of good suspects.

So I honestly dunno. I'm trying to figure out who seems likeliest healer, and not having much luck.


HoosierDaddy, on 23 February 2017 - 03:21 PM, said:

I say Nuke Ando from orbit. I have no fucking clue what he's doing. Next target, Mess. Khell is going to creep around til d-day as always.



Mentalist, on 23 February 2017 - 03:27 PM, said:

You don't want to do a low-poster witch hunt against him?

Another possibility with a guard around, is a vig. I'm kinda scared that one of mess, bubba or sierg is playing that card close to their chest. Especially mess, because is can never get a good read on him


HoosierDaddy, on 23 February 2017 - 03:31 PM, said:

You are better than me at this game. List your 3 and I'll give you my order of kill.


Mentalist, on 23 February 2017 - 03:31 PM, said:

HoosierDaddy, on 23 February 2017 - 03:21 PM, said:

I say Nuke Ando from orbit. I have no fucking clue what he's doing. Next target, Mess. Khell is going to creep around til d-day as always.

Technically, we can hammer khell now, no?

Of course that would be dumb. I want to get called out for stalling his lynch before voting.

Ideally, Ando shows up and put him on L-1.


Mentalist, on 23 February 2017 - 03:33 PM, said:

HoosierDaddy, on 23 February 2017 - 03:31 PM, said:

I'm sick Ment, nothing I'm doing right now makes sense.



It's all good, with the clusterfuck caused by (mostly) Blend, the thread is doing all the work for us.



HoosierDaddy, on 23 February 2017 - 03:33 PM, said:

1, 3, 2. We can low hunt Ando but if he's roled we are kinda fucked. That's my major worryh.


Mentalist, on 23 February 2017 - 03:39 PM, said:

Only deadly roles for us right now are finder and vig. Finder is unlikely, b/c a guard and finder combo is pretty OP.

If he reveals healer, he's fucked. If he's a vig, then it's a crapshoot.


Mentalist, on 23 February 2017 - 03:40 PM, said:

“bell's defense if full of wifom shit. In about an hour I'll be tearing it to shreds.



HoosierDaddy, on 23 February 2017 - 03:46 PM, said:

bell? Who is this?

Fucking new playres god dmanit.

Only someone with this much power could make this many frittatas without breaking any eggs.
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#69 User is offline   Sir Thursday 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 03:54 PM

I think what Blend was doing on Day 1 was really useful. It whipped up a lot of discussion and there was a bunch of stuff to work with on all the players, including the killers. Since then though, he's gone off the deep end. There was no point in continuing his schtick once it had accomplished its purpose. Hell, he could have dropped it near the end of Day 1 and it wouldn't have changed anything. By continuing the relentless tunnel vision on Khell he guarantees at least one unnecessary lynch by town, possibly 2 (if they decide they need to get rid of Blend to maintain their sanity). He should be able to see that's not something town can really afford any more.

ST
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#70 User is offline   Path-Shaper 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 04:17 PM

View PostSir Thursday, on 23 February 2017 - 03:54 PM, said:

I think what Blend was doing on Day 1 was really useful. It whipped up a lot of discussion and there was a bunch of stuff to work with on all the players, including the killers. Since then though, he's gone off the deep end. There was no point in continuing his schtick once it had accomplished its purpose. Hell, he could have dropped it near the end of Day 1 and it wouldn't have changed anything. By continuing the relentless tunnel vision on Khell he guarantees at least one unnecessary lynch by town, possibly 2 (if they decide they need to get rid of Blend to maintain their sanity). He should be able to see that's not something town can really afford any more.

ST


Well the thread was going along nicely, before he started his lynch Khell campaign there were alread over 60 posts or something like that, both Mess and I were working up quite a few interactions and I think we would have lynched regardless of his campaign against Khell.
Only someone with this much power could make this many frittatas without breaking any eggs.
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#71 User is offline   Sir Thursday 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 04:20 PM

View PostPath-Shaper, on 23 February 2017 - 04:17 PM, said:

View PostSir Thursday, on 23 February 2017 - 03:54 PM, said:

I think what Blend was doing on Day 1 was really useful. It whipped up a lot of discussion and there was a bunch of stuff to work with on all the players, including the killers. Since then though, he's gone off the deep end. There was no point in continuing his schtick once it had accomplished its purpose. Hell, he could have dropped it near the end of Day 1 and it wouldn't have changed anything. By continuing the relentless tunnel vision on Khell he guarantees at least one unnecessary lynch by town, possibly 2 (if they decide they need to get rid of Blend to maintain their sanity). He should be able to see that's not something town can really afford any more.

ST


Well the thread was going along nicely, before he started his lynch Khell campaign there were alread over 60 posts or something like that, both Mess and I were working up quite a few interactions and I think we would have lynched regardless of his campaign against Khell.


I think there's some benefit to polarising the thread the way he did. You get the most information when you force everyone to make a decision, and in this case there was the real rarity of everyone voting on Day 1. And then in theory you should be filtering through the choices players made and trying to find the ones looking to stay on the edges of the carnage (like both Ment and HD did). Bubba did a good job of that and fingered HD, but sadly didn't have the conviction to stick to his guns on it.

ST
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#72 User is offline   Itwæs Nom 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 04:24 PM

View PostPath-Shaper, on 23 February 2017 - 04:17 PM, said:

View PostSir Thursday, on 23 February 2017 - 03:54 PM, said:

I think what Blend was doing on Day 1 was really useful. It whipped up a lot of discussion and there was a bunch of stuff to work with on all the players, including the killers. Since then though, he's gone off the deep end. There was no point in continuing his schtick once it had accomplished its purpose. Hell, he could have dropped it near the end of Day 1 and it wouldn't have changed anything. By continuing the relentless tunnel vision on Khell he guarantees at least one unnecessary lynch by town, possibly 2 (if they decide they need to get rid of Blend to maintain their sanity). He should be able to see that's not something town can really afford any more.

ST


Well the thread was going along nicely, before he started his lynch Khell campaign there were alread over 60 posts or something like that, both Mess and I were working up quite a few interactions and I think we would have lynched regardless of his campaign against Khell.


Agree, there might have been something useful to it at the beginning but even ending it near the end of D1 would still be dragging it for way too long
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#73 User is offline   Path-Shaper 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 04:44 PM

Thanks for doing the updates and resolve Tatts! I love it!

-LB

This post has been edited by Path-Shaper: 23 February 2017 - 04:44 PM

Only someone with this much power could make this many frittatas without breaking any eggs.
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#74 User is offline   Path-Shaper 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 05:12 PM

At this point if they lynch Khell, I think there is a pretty fair chance of a scum win.
Only someone with this much power could make this many frittatas without breaking any eggs.
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#75 User is offline   Sir Thursday 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 05:27 PM

View PostBlend, on 23 February 2017 - 04:58 PM, said:

View PostKhellendros, on 23 February 2017 - 04:38 PM, said:

Okay, say you found me, the evil Khell the scummy killer. Who's my partner, one-note? Say something new please. It is day 3.


Not sure about your partner. I initially thought it was Tatts, but that wasn't the case. I don't think HD is scum. I think Macros is your symp. I think Ment is probably not scum, though I don't have much of a read on him. Where has Ando really been all game? Mess is just a mess, but I don't think he is your scum partner. If anything, I get more of a sympy vibe than a killer vibe from him. Bubba hasn't actually done much besides agree/disagree with people all game, so he COULD be scum. But really, I think that Siergiej could very well be your partner - he was one of the "let's NOT lynch Khell" folks during Day 1, and though he did make a case against you on Day 2, it could very well be distancing.

In fact, if you flip town, then I would probably pursue a Siergiej case further. I could definitely see him and Bubba as a pair, for example, with someone like Mess or Ment as their symp.


It's not looking great for Blend here...completely off on everything except Messremb.
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#76 User is offline   Tattersail_ 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 05:57 PM

Siergiej, Macros can turn it around.
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#77 User is online   JPK 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 06:09 PM

It depends on who they kill next, I think. If Khell is lynched I predict they will continue with their pattern of targeting cool-headed analytical players while leaving the gut voters in. The next target has to be either Sierg or Ando.
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#78 User is offline   Sir Thursday 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 06:18 PM

Based on the PMs in SH, looks like the killers are targetting Ando. Mac is healing Ando, so town might catch a break there...

ST
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#79 User is offline   Path-Shaper 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 06:21 PM

Their NK is on Mess right now, and Mac is healing Ando.
Only someone with this much power could make this many frittatas without breaking any eggs.
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#80 User is offline   Tattersail_ 

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Posted 23 February 2017 - 06:34 PM

At least if Mess is killed they push d day back.
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