D, on 01 June 2019 - 07:33 PM, said:
Obdigore, on 01 June 2019 - 07:18 PM, said:
Aptorian, on 01 June 2019 - 05:45 PM, said:
To be fair, in Trump's America, keeping a military grade weapons stockpile might be prudent.
No ones keeping anything thats going to prevent a tank or drone from eliminating you.
The idea of 'I need guns to stop the government from taking my guns' is amazingly dumb.
I hear this sort of thing said a lot, but hasn't this always been the case? The peasant uprising and/or revolutionaries are always technologically inferior to the government forces. Obviously an assault rifle won't do shit against a tank or predator drone, but the idea is that if there were a big enough uprising there aren't enough tanks and drones to deal with the sheer number of rebels.
(Not that I think this'll ever actually happen in the USA, but that's the idea)
This one always interests me.
You're 100% right that historically an inferior force resorting to guerrilla tactics has had a lot of effect against superior technological and tactical foes. Not so much in the "the number of guns we have makes your tanks incapable of winning" kind of deal, though. It's usually more about picking your battles and harassing strikes that you can then disappear back into the population/forest/caves before they can bring that force to bear.
However, the logic on display in America is still horrifyingly wrong, for a few reasons that their own proclaimed beliefs (stopping a tyrannical government) contradict.
1. Unlike Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq, the US forces would not be an invading army. They already occupy the country, their supply lines are local, rather than international, and they have perfect satellite imagery, maps, building schematics, airfields, so on and so forth, readily available. There is no problem with intel, navigation, or locating your targets. Unlike the Taliban, who had advantage of local knowledge (and CIA training, lol) and terrain, the US military probably has better knowledge of the country than your average gun hoarder. Hence the typical advantages of a guerrilla force are non-existent in a conflict on American soil.
2. Modern tanks are effectively immune to small arms fire, and carry enough armament to take out a staggering amount of people. Never mind the thermal optics, and the fact that, for example, an M1A2 can move at 40km/h off-road(!!!) and 60km/h on road - all while maintaining near-perfect computer-aided accuracy. They are, of course, not invincible - get a molotov in their engine and they'll overheat and die, and while their resistance to explosives has gone through the roof, immobilising them with home-made IEDs is still quite possible. But neither of those things are really related to the right to bear arms, no?
Then you get to drones and ships and jets. Oh boy. Small arms fire might take down a drone, but it's got nothing on a cruise missile fired from offshore, or an A-10 Warthog deciding it wants to level the street with it's 30mm autocannon, or one of its many bombs or missiles. You need dedicated, modern anti-air facilities to bring down these aircraft and, last I checked, it wasn't even legal to own an RPG in America, like they have in the aforementioned countries been able to obtain. There is no such thing as "enough guns" to bring down the US military. You need your own air force, possibly your own navy, and on land you need modern Stinger missile systems, SAMs, etc. None of which the American people have ready access to (and taking over those facilities by force of arms is the first thing that will be made impossible by presence of tanks and jets if the government were to go all tyrannical). Did I mention the US military is gigantic and has way more people and tanks than is reasonable?
3. Forget all this military fantasy nonsense, what's the biggest internal logic failure of a paranoid gun hoarder? The whole premise!
Is Trump deranged and possibly dangerous? Sure. But it's not him you need to worry about in this scenario. The question is, would the American armed forces shoot their own citizens? Because let's not forget, the people who are hoarding these weapons to fight tyranny aren't predominantly of the, *ahem*, correct skin tone to be the kind of people about to get shot by the US Army - and nor are they likely to object to the US Army shooting the other folk, based on the general strain of racism all gun nuts seem to give off. Remember, America as a nation idol-worships its armed forces. And yet they simultaneously fear them all going along with a dictator? It doesn't reconcile - at all. Someone in power goes crazy and tries to take over the US by force, at most you'll get a small portion of the military going along with it, everyone else would be against it, you'd have a short civil war that largely doesn't involve the civilian population, and the end.
But Silencer! What about a slower, more insidious takeover that doesn't happen overnight so the soldiers all get inured to gradually increasing levels of population control?!?!? Welp, if they manage to pull that off, refer point 2, y'all are fucked anyway. You'd end up relying on external nations intervening like America has been wont to do previously, (already illegal RPGs, etc) weapons smuggled across from Canada and Mexico (lol), until such time as a proper military could arrive to clean things up - even assuming they could, given America's geographical isolation and military hardware. The French resistance were great, and they did a lot with very little, but they didn't liberate France. It took a combined military force to do that. The best a modern guerrilla effort has ever done against a modern military force was Vietnam - and that wasn't getting them out, it was stopping the invasion. If the military is already in your country with control of the government? Good fucking luck. Never mind that the Viet Cong were being supplied and trained by China to boot.
Never mind all that, it still doesn't explain why there can't be reasonable bans on automatic or military-style semi-automatic rifles in the country. If "numbers of guns" is the answer, does it matter if they are only shotguns and bolt-action rifles? If so, why? Is it that the automatic and MSSA's can put more bullets down range faster? How will that help against tanks or jets? If it won't, then why worry, just use the tried and tested weapons that we know work against infantry - for a guerrilla fight, a bolt-action rifle is just as useful as a semi-auto, because you shouldn't be engaging in open combat anyway.
This is all a long, roundabout way of saying what you already know - the position is illogical. Obdi's post, while perhaps a bit dismissive, is right. It's nonsensical to believe that a stockpile of small arms (bearing in mind the US has more guns per capita than it can use already) would help to rise up against the US government gone rogue.
The thing is, it doesn't matter if it is illogical, it's what these people believe, right? Even so, entertaining the idea because historically there have been loosely related examples (and mostly prior to the perfection of the tank, mind) is just lending credibility to their position that it doesn't deserve. At least if they were acting worried about a foreign military invading them, it'd be more reasonable!