[LinearPhilosopher]

Azath Vitr (D, on 19 January 2025 - 03:32 PM, said:

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Orange juice from Florida. Whiskey from Tennessee. Peanut butter from Kentucky.

Canada is preparing for an all-out trade war [...] meant to be precisely targeted and aimed at political impact.

Spoiler

They specifically want to focus on goods made in Republican or swing states, where the pain of tariffs, like pressure on jobs and the bottom lines of local businesses, would affect Trump allies.

[...] The detailed list of goods is closely held, but it includes dozens of consumer goods from various categories, such as food and beverages, as well as other types of daily products, including dishwashers and porcelain goods like bathtubs and toilets.

[...] The government is preparing for the possibility of financial bailouts for Canadian businesses that are badly hit by the U.S. tariffs, most likely on a case-by-case basis[...]

While mass bailouts or blanket funding for entire industries may not be on the table, the official said it would be unthinkable to allow a tariff war with the United States to wipe out thousands of jobs and businesses without the government stepping in to mitigate the blow.

https://www.nytimes....mp-tariffs.html

... but if Canadian tariffs reduce international demand for those goods, and the United States produces a surplus, the domestic price could actually go down, which Trump would point to as a (cherry-picked) triumph over inflation... but then again, how much peanut butter, orange juice, and whiskey (what a cocktail) do Canadians really eat?

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In 2022, Canada accounted for 14.5 percent of U.S. agricultural exports

https://www.ers.usda...oducts%E2%80%9D

The question to ask is how heavily subsidized and how do the subsidies work for producers of those goods. The States have rather generous subsidies for farming.