[Ruse]

I can. As long as we're all sure that we've done what we want to do?

[Serc]

Ruse, on 06 November 2014 - 03:37 PM, said:

I can. As long as we're all sure that we've done what we want to do?

Do it before I jut you like a fish.

Or, err, please do so.

I guess.

[Ruse]

Please don't "jut" me. It sounds horrible.

Vote Night.

[Path-Shaper]

Experiment: Single-electron-interference

Sending electrons through a double slit, making sure that only a single electron is passing through the slit at a time and not observing which slit an electron passes through, an interference pattern typical for a wave can be detected.
http://upload.wikime...cle_duality.gif

If it is observed which slit the electron goes through, the pattern is that of particles going through a double slit.
This phenomenon is called wave-particle duality.


It is Day 2 ended with 14 hours and 30 minutes left.
Players aktive: Alkend, Ampelas, Eloth, Galayn Lord, Kalse, Korabas, Merrid, Meanas, Omtose, Ruse, Serc, Telas
7 votes needed for a lynch

6 votes for night. (Eloth, Ampelas, Kalse, Meanas, GL, Serc, Ruse)

It is now night.

[Merrid]

I should have stayed on the sidelines. I just don't have time for this game. But I'll try and put some effort into is. I want to know if I'm a finder. Kalse came up scum for me. I say let's lynch him. If he turns up town then we can safely say I'm not the finder. I say everyone puts their find on me tonight and that should determine my alignment and probably help determine who the real finder actually is.

vote Kalse

[Merrid]

Or it's now night and we have to wait for day three to test things out.

[Kalse]

Merrid, on 06 November 2014 - 03:52 PM, said:

I should have stayed on the sidelines. I just don't have time for this game. But I'll try and put some effort into is. I want to know if I'm a finder. Kalse came up scum for me. I say let's lynch him. If he turns up town then we can safely say I'm not the finder. I say everyone puts their find on me tonight and that should determine my alignment and probably help determine who the real finder actually is.

vote Kalse

I believe this will be answered with the next % update form PS.

Allow me to explain, given that you haven't grasped probabilities - yes, I have a % chance of being scum. So. Do. You. A scum result is not indicative of someone being scum. You are extremely unlikely to be finder, less likely than I am of being scum (1/13 vs 2/13)

Follow the link to the software PS is using. Set up a game of 13, input all that has happened so far. Up till now no-one has a good chance of being scum. Look in the Events tab after each Night. See how many in your game are getting scum find results. Now look at the Players tab. No-one has a set role.

[Path-Shaper]

...the "paradox" is only a conflict between reality and your feeling of what reality "ought to be."
Richard Feynman, in The Feynman Lectures on Physics


Current status on all players:
Player - alive - dead -town - scum
1..........79%...21%...85%.....15%
2..........86%...14%...85%.....15%
3..........90%...10%...86%.....14%
4..........53%...47%...91%......9%
5..........67%...33%...87%.....13%
6..........94%....6%...77%.....23%
7..........87%...13%...86%.....14%
8..........57%...43%...86%.....14%
9..........76%...24%...78%.....22%
10........89%...11%...83%.....17%
11........94%....6%...72%.....28%
12........94%....6%...80%.....20%
13.........0%...100%..100%.....0%

Number of possible realities: 361


It is Day 3. 36 hours left.
Players aktive: Alkend, Ampelas, Eloth, Galayn Lord, Kalse, Korabas, Merrid, Meanas, Omtose, Ruse, Serc, Telas
6 votes needed for a lynch

This post has been edited by Path-Shaper: 06 November 2014 - 04:28 PM

[Ruse]

Another 200 realities down. Player 11 is starting to look a little dodgy Haven't looked at the previous one to compare, but there seems to have been a lot of small changes this time. 'Twill be hard to get anything from that.

Oh, and I did a find on myself. I came up town.

[Kalse]

Path-Shaper, on 06 November 2014 - 04:13 PM, said:

...the "paradox" is only a conflict between reality and your feeling of what reality "ought to be."
Richard Feynman, in The Feynman Lectures on Physics


Current status on all players:
Player - alive - dead -town - scum
1..........79%...21%...85%.....15%
2..........86%...14%...85%.....15%
3..........90%...10%...86%.....14%
4..........53%...47%...91%......9%
5..........67%...33%...87%.....13%
6..........94%....6%...77%.....23%
7..........87%...13%...86%.....14%
8..........57%...43%...86%.....14%
9..........76%...24%...78%.....22%
10........98%...11%...83%.....17%
11........94%....6%...72%.....28%
12........94%....6%...80%.....20%
13.........0%...100%..100%.....0%

Number of possible realities: 361


It is Day 3. 36 hours left.
Players aktive: Alkend, Ampelas, Eloth, Galayn Lord, Kalse, Korabas, Merrid, Meanas, Omtose, Ruse, Serc, Telas
6 votes needed for a lynch

Merrid, you see?

FWIW I had a positive scum find too. Am I going to run with it? Nope.

[Kalse]

Ruse, on 06 November 2014 - 04:16 PM, said:

Another 200 realities down. Player 11 is starting to look a little dodgy Haven't looked at the previous one to compare, but there seems to have been a lot of small changes this time. 'Twill be hard to get anything from that.

Oh, and I did a find on myself. I came up town.

Heh, I did that N0 and N1. Town both times, strangely enough. Then I checked out the software, realised I was creating a pain in the ass for PS as it won't let you find yourself so switched to someone else.

[Serc]

Already down to 361 realities, I don't fully understand what is causing the %s to change the way they are, but I see no reason to not continue voting night at least for a little while.

Yes it is "creating" the needles in the haystacks, but we still have the longest possible time to deal with the scum once they are present in a greater portion of realities.

[Ruse]

Kalse, on 06 November 2014 - 04:18 PM, said:

Ruse, on 06 November 2014 - 04:16 PM, said:

Another 200 realities down. Player 11 is starting to look a little dodgy Haven't looked at the previous one to compare, but there seems to have been a lot of small changes this time. 'Twill be hard to get anything from that.

Oh, and I did a find on myself. I came up town.

Heh, I did that N0 and N1. Town both times, strangely enough. Then I checked out the software, realised I was creating a pain in the ass for PS as it won't let you find yourself so switched to someone else.

I wanted to see if me getting a town or scum result on myself (as I would know that someone, i.e. me, had done a find on me) might have an effect on my town/scum percentage. A flawed experiment, obviously, as there could be plenty of other actions affecting me either way.

[Kalse]

Ruse, on 06 November 2014 - 04:21 PM, said:

Kalse, on 06 November 2014 - 04:18 PM, said:

Ruse, on 06 November 2014 - 04:16 PM, said:

Another 200 realities down. Player 11 is starting to look a little dodgy Haven't looked at the previous one to compare, but there seems to have been a lot of small changes this time. 'Twill be hard to get anything from that.

Oh, and I did a find on myself. I came up town.

Heh, I did that N0 and N1. Town both times, strangely enough. Then I checked out the software, realised I was creating a pain in the ass for PS as it won't let you find yourself so switched to someone else.

I wanted to see if me getting a town or scum result on myself (as I would know that someone, i.e. me, had done a find on me) might have an effect on my town/scum percentage. A flawed experiment, obviously, as there could be plenty of other actions affecting me either way.

I did try putting a kill on myself too, to either make me dead or 100% town, PS wouldn't allow it.

[Meanas]

I did a find on Omtose and he came back town.



I see no reason to not vote night again. With each night vote we are dropping a lot of realities and still keeping town intact. Since there are now 4 players who are at < 20% chance of scum anyone who gets a scum find result should definitely announce it to the thread. That way as the realities are narrowed down we can lynch the people who have the greatest chance of being scum.

[Meanas]

Also

Vote night

[Path-Shaper]

It is Day 3. 1 day, 11 hours and 37 minutes left.
Players aktive: Alkend, Ampelas, Eloth, Galayn Lord, Kalse, Korabas, Merrid, Meanas, Omtose, Ruse, Serc, Telas
6 votes needed for a lynch

1 vote for Night (Meanas)

[Kalse]

Meanas, on 06 November 2014 - 04:33 PM, said:

I did a find on Omtose and he came back town.



I see no reason to not vote night again. With each night vote we are dropping a lot of realities and still keeping town intact. Since there are now 4 players who are at < 20% chance of scum anyone who gets a scum find result should definitely announce it to the thread. That way as the realities are narrowed down we can lynch the people who have the greatest chance of being scum.

I have a scum result for GL the Night just gone.

Also Merrid, note that Eloth also did a Find on me N1, returning town. As did my own find on me.

[Eloth]

Kalse, on 06 November 2014 - 04:39 PM, said:

Meanas, on 06 November 2014 - 04:33 PM, said:

I did a find on Omtose and he came back town.



I see no reason to not vote night again. With each night vote we are dropping a lot of realities and still keeping town intact. Since there are now 4 players who are at < 20% chance of scum anyone who gets a scum find result should definitely announce it to the thread. That way as the realities are narrowed down we can lynch the people who have the greatest chance of being scum.

I have a scum result for GL the Night just gone.

Also Merrid, note that Eloth also did a Find on me N1, returning town. As did my own find on me.

You came back town on night two also. GL came back town last night.

[Kalse]

Looking at the figures is a little worrying.

This is the change in Aliveness of each Player.
-14
-5
-10
-2
-11
-6
-4
-12
0
-2
-6
-6

Everyone except Player 9 took a hit overnight. One person had two people land on them. Note the wildly varying amount of damage taken. I rather suspect the amount of damage we do is a function of how scummy we are. Someone else can do the sums but it looks like between 1/3 and 1/2 of your scummyness is how much damage you do.