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Tattersail_, on 02 September 2014 - 07:01 AM, said:
Slow Ben, on 01 September 2014 - 09:59 PM, said:
Tattersail_, on 01 September 2014 - 03:59 PM, said:
Alex Smith being offered a contract, 68 million dollar extension with 45 million guaranteed? Is this even worth it? No one has him in our league, ranked 150 over the season, 21st "best ranked" QB in the league...
I fail to see why a club would do that
I fail to see why a club would do that
Because he's the safe bet and he's decent. A lot of times teams will stick with the average known over the risk of the unknown. In the Chiefs case, they haven't had a decent QB in YEARS and are apparently willing to pay for Smith.
Isn't he already there though? Or did they get him from someone? With that kind of money could they have not got someone more decent?
You see things in a vacuum if you look at stats (and especially fantasy stats) only.
Smith is with the Chiefs already, but his contract was expiring so a new deal had to be negotiated. In the NFL, a contract is basically a contract (for the player, the team can end it whenever they want but then have to pay any remaining guaranteed salary). There are no transfer fees in money. Also, if there was anyone better, that person would have been picked up, but as things stand, there's virtually no-one:
The young talents in the college program are off-limits until after the draft (april/may).
Retired players are that: retired. They'd also have to learn the playbook.
Players currently on other teams would have to learn the playbook, KC would have to take over their current contract (which structure might not suit the Chiefs), and their clubs would want compensation in the form of draft picks, basically mortgaging the future of the team.
As such, as SB says, extending a known QB who doesn't fuck up is often the very least of evils. Especially considering they already sent draft picks to SF for Smith. As for Smith' fantasy value: that doesn't equate to his on the field value. A QB is generally trusted to make minor adjustments to plays, has to know his players, and plays within the plays called by the sideline (in KCs case, that heavily features Jamaal Charles, all around awesome player).
Smith in 2013 has a 60% completion rate while at KC (decent, especially given the fact his receivers aren't the best), 23 TDs (good), 7 interceptions (very little), 4 fumbles (ouch), 3300 yards (6.52 yards per attempt) plus 400 yards running, 1 TD and 0 fumbles lost while rushing.
Compare him to Andrew Luck in 2013, regular season, and you see 3800 yards (6.71 yards per attempt), 60% completion, 23 TDs, 9 interceptions, 5 fumbles, 380 yards rushing, 4 rushing TDs and 0 fumbles lost while rushing. And very few people will argue that Luck isn't a great QB already. Difference between the two is
A. 500 yards (partly made up for by the running game Colts 1743 yards, 2056 for the Chiefs);
B. that Luck plays on a rookie contract, which makes him cheap now, but I bet the Colts will pay him a lot more once that deal ends;
C. That Luck will have a lot more growth in him.
