[Werthead]

Ukraine has agreed to accept a total ceasefire across the board, rather than just the aerial and maritime one they had previously discussed (itself originally a French proposal). As a result, the United States is restoring intelligence sharing and military aid. The Americans will be talking to the Russians shortly and say the "ball is in their court" and if they do not agree, "we'll know who the impediment to peace is."

On the Siversk front, a major Russian attack was crushed by the Ukrainian 30th, 54th and 81st Brigades. The loss is 14 APCs destroyed, 16 damaged; 1 tank destroyed, 2 damaged; 159 Russians killed, injured or taken prisoner.

Ukraine carried out a major drone strike overnight, damaging a Moscow oil refinery and the control station for the Druzhba pumping station, which controlled Russian oil transit to Hungary. The Stalny Kon oil depot in Oryol and the Dyagilevo airfield near Ryazan were also hit. A Russian drone and missile attack on Ukraine was mostly thwarted, with a single Iskander-M missile launched and then shot down. Ukrainian drones also attacked targets in Moscow itself, but at least some seem to have been intercepted by EW systems.

The Ukrainian Mirages are capable of carrying out AASM ground-strike missions, as confirmed by the French government. France has also ordered a doubling of its production rate of Rafales, AASMs, anti-tank missiles and drones.

[Mentalist]

Some voenkors and at least one Duma member already rejected the idea of a ceasefire.

Witkoff will be in Moscow on Thursday to speak to Putler directly.

UAF seems to be focusing their defense on Sudzha itself, the orcs are already in its eastern outskirts.

I am not expecting much to come from this, but UA has made the necessary appeasement gestures for the Europeans' benefit. Now if Washington flip-flops, it'll be obvious it's not UA that is to blame.

[Werthead]

A Chinese news crew (from the Hong Kong Phoenix station) embedded with a Ukrainian MLRS unit and followed them around for a week and filmed them launching missiles at Russian positions. Apparently this is the first time a Chinese media crew was given permission to film things from the Ukrainian POV rather than the Russian.

This comes the same week that Russia hiked import tariffs on cars from China.

[Tiste Simeon]

 Werthead, on 11 March 2025 - 07:54 PM, said:

A Chinese news crew (from the Hong Kong Phoenix station) embedded with a Ukrainian MLRS unit and followed them around for a week and filmed them launching missiles at Russian positions. Apparently this is the first time a Chinese media crew was given permission to film things from the Ukrainian POV rather than the Russian.

This comes the same week that Russia hiked import tariffs on cars from China.

Who had China becoming the (sort of) good guys in 2025? If the EU and China can firm up some kind of alliance in the face of Russian stubbornness and American unreliability/idiocy/fascism then that would certainly be a boost across the board.

Please note I am not saying China are good or agree with many of the things I hear about them. They're looking more palatable by the day though. What times we live in.

[Chance]

Tiste Simeon, on 11 March 2025 - 10:03 PM, said:

Who had China becoming the (sort of) good guys in 2025? If the EU and China can firm up some kind of alliance in the face of Russian stubbornness and American unreliability/idiocy/fascism then that would certainly be a boost across the board.

Please note I am not saying China are good or agree with many of the things I hear about them. They're looking more palatable by the day though. What times we live in.

They might not be the friend we want but they are the rival we know what they stand for and who is reliable. Better a reliable rival than a unpredictable ally maybe.

Think it will be interesting to hear what putin and his cohorts will say about the ceasefire to not sound unreasonable while being unreasonable.

This post has been edited by Chance: Today, 04:02 PM

[Tiste Simeon]

Oh I fully expect something to mysteriously blow up in Russia, the Russians and Americans will kick off with "See! Zelensky is not playing fair!" And use it to justify who knows what. In the meantime it will have not been Ukraine at all but we'll never be able to prove it.

[Werthead]

Current reporting from Russia is spotty but one of the more convincing claims is that Putin will accept a ceasefire on the condition that all weapon supplies to Ukraine halt, as he thinks Trump will accept that.

Unconfirmed claims that Russia had told the US it would not negotiate unless Ukraine withdrew from Kursk Oblast. A Ukrainian withdrawal from Sudzha has been completed, and some reporting that all Ukrainian units have withdrawn across the border into Ukraine proper.

Maxar has restored satellite sharing with Ukraine.

Russian losses in the last 24 hours or so are the highest they've been for weeks, approaching 1500 killed, wounded or captured.

Polish sources have confirmed that US weapons supplies across the border have returned to normal levels.