Because it takes time. And January holds uncertain things.
The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread
#2322
Posted Today, 10:45 AM
Economic chaos could help end the war, because on several times Russian troops have not been paid, they've refused to fight. With the ease of information spreading, they'd be able to see runs on the banks, people panic buying etc.
Economic chaos could also go really bad, really quickly, effectively threatening to collapse the Russian Federation and making some of the oblasts break away, resulting in civil war. That may also encourage an end to the military operations in Ukraine as troops are pulled back to defend the provinces, but it could generate a total chaotic clusterfuck in which Putin panics and decides to do something really stupid.
The problem is that Russia's Central Bank has been very creative in how it's managed to keep things just bobbing along above water, and it just needs to keep that going until late January when the calculus will change again.
Economic chaos could also go really bad, really quickly, effectively threatening to collapse the Russian Federation and making some of the oblasts break away, resulting in civil war. That may also encourage an end to the military operations in Ukraine as troops are pulled back to defend the provinces, but it could generate a total chaotic clusterfuck in which Putin panics and decides to do something really stupid.
The problem is that Russia's Central Bank has been very creative in how it's managed to keep things just bobbing along above water, and it just needs to keep that going until late January when the calculus will change again.
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