So thought experiment. What is the scum MO for day 1?
This is what I'm trying to work through at the moment. If you are paired scum, you have a partner who has your back and you know there is at least one other person, a faithful symp, who knows who you and your partner are and will either follow your lead or protect you by diverting attention. With this in mind, what level of confidence would we expect in scum at the start of the game, when everything is tentative and several RIs are prone to misbehaving for various reasons (such as getting a reaction like Khells or just having fun with things like dragonsecks)?
This is where the middle-posting theory comes in, which is just that, a theory. Scum don't want to stand out too much, and mafia players are prone to lynch someone who is too crazy out of sheer annoyance. So I wouldn't expect scum to stand out too much. And low posters are a wild card, but Day 2 often shows who remains a low poster and who was waiting for material to analyze (e.g. Amp).
So currently, my middling pool of suspects includes Eloth, D'riss, and Omtose.
Eloth is suspect in my books for his vote for Omtose and prompt retraction of said vote to go with the lynch train. That and his stated willingness to switch votes to get a lynch. Helpful, and also potentially indicative of knowing both suspects are RI, and either dead would do just fine for scum.
D'riss is playing a fine game, one which I feel resonance with. Challenging people's accusations, trying to think outside the box, and not accepting things at face value. The only problem here is that this is exactly how I would play as scum...
Omtose, one of my primary issues with him is his unquestioning acceptance of the case on Korv (doesn't care? knew he was inno anyways). To quote "That's as good as it gets on Day 1. Why not?" This and his defense of Korb (easy to defend someone when you know they are inno) send up red flags. He's not playing badly, it's that he is playing exactly how we'd expect a day 1 townie to play (unsure, helpful, and easily swayed by poor cases because it doesn't matter on day one anyways

Vote Omtose