[Tellan]

Fucking A....

[Eloth]

Damn it guys... you wasted my LP.
Now trust me here, I'm our last chance. Im an unstable devastator person (have no idea what it is)
I have a night kill and 1 bp and 1 lp.
You guys have to trust me, so far my kill (attempts) have been all thwarted by bp's but I think I'm close to killing scum.
I know i have pretty much failed at killing people before, but just wait for tonight i think i finally have one.

Now if you really want to lynch me tomorrow just know your losing your vig...

[Barghast]

I give you a B for effort but an A+ for the name, "unstable devastator person," Eloth.

[Eloth]

Ya its a real thing though I'm part of the raven guard apparently

http://warhammer40k....iki/Raven_Guard

[Barghast]

I'm sure there are several members of the Raven Guard here in the game...

Anyway, props for at least trying, but your reveal stinks. Like, if you were telling the truth, you'd probably tell us who you have tried to kill and who you suspect of being scum (and why). Instead, you're asking us to just trust that you're going to successfully start killing off scum.

We've had one scum NK all game and it was by me on a single-shot vig... how on earth can you try for several days and fail every time?

It's cute and all, but I think this one's open and shut. You're either the Necron or the Cult Leader with an LP.

[Tellan]

and I am The Batman.


Just about as believable.

[Barghast]

More believable if you were the "Goddamned" Batman, IMO.

[Path-Shaper]

From the Records of Ordo Malleus, report number 62347921-THY67907
The night proved troublesome, as tensions reportedly escalated. shielded by the warp-energy storm, I was unable to maintain visual surveiilance. Sensors reported strong energy discharges, and maasive amounts of blood appear to have been spilled. At one point in the night, the central plaza was under attack by one of the ggantic structures i've mentioned in previous reports as emerging from underground. teh structure was heavily armed and about half of the still unctioning servitors were lost. despite our best efforts, we could not halt the structure's progress towards the prisoner holding pen, untill it was stopped on its own volition. Before we could approach to make further inquiries, the structure exploded, incinerating everyhting withing a 5 block radius.

Morning among the prisoners was rhater predictable, with a number of deaths. It would appear the survivors were the most competent ones, as preliminary scans suggest that every death was a death of a xeno.

Galayn Lord is Dead. He was a Xeno
Korvalain is dead, he was a Xeno
Tellan is dead, he was a xeno

it is Day 6, 36 hours left

5 people are still alive (Alkend, Ampelas, Barghast, Eloth, Rashan)

takes 3 votes to lynch or go to night

no one has voted

-ment

This post has been edited by Path-Shaper: 14 October 2010 - 09:46 PM

[Barghast]

WOW. Now THAT was a fucking NIGHT. Let me guess, you did that Eloth?

[Barghast]

Christ on a cracker, I'm not even remotely surprised by those 3, either.

OK, let's figure this out... no faction has more than 2 right now. Let's see if we can guess anything else from the VCs.

[Barghast]

Side note, I just noticed Silanah's CF was "Space Marine" and not "Human" which could indicate he had something to do with more detailed CFs... really great job whoever killed him

[Barghast]

• Humans - they win when the number of players from other factions equals zero.
  • There's at least one Xeno still alive.
• Eldar - the eldar will win if there is at least 1 Eldar alive when the total number of players is equal to five.
  • The Eldar are defeated!
  • they can ALSO win if 50%+1 of their force is killed in a way other than a modkill or a player kill
    • Clearly this didn't happen
• Chaos - The Chaos will win when the number of posessions performed will be equal to 5
  • There have been 5 or less possessions
  • The chaos can also be victorious when the number of living Chaos players is equal to the sum total of non-Chaos players still alive.
    • There are 2 or less Chaos players alive
• Tyranids - the Tyranids will win when their army size makes up 50%+1 of the remaining players
  • There are 2 or less Tyranid alive
• Necron - The NEcrons will win when the number of living non-Necron players is equal to ZERO.
  • There's at least one non-Necron

[Barghast]

OK! So we KNOW the Eldar have lost the game. We know the scum are sitting on no more than 2 players per faction. We know the Chaos haven't possessed 5 people yet.

We don't know how anybody died last night. I would NOT be surprised if Eloth had some kind of desperation move to try and kill 3 people or something... it would be a pretty decent way to give the Necron a chance to win the game considering it's insanely-hard-on-paper win condition. It could also be some combination of kills and FM jumps.

Every vote is really critical today...

[Barghast]

I dunno who we can lynch today off the top of my head.

Eloth seems like the obvious guy based upon yesterday but what if he did the multi kill and can do it again?

Chaos IMMEDIATELY win the game if two (both by my original estimate) are alive and we lynch a non-Chaos (they win at 50%)
Tyranid win the game if we lynch a non-Tyranid, two are alive, and they either recruit up to 3 or NKs give them a majority (they win at 50%+1)
Necron wins if everyone else is dead... I believe that's the 4 of us not named Eloth.
Human wins if everyone else is dead... I believe there's only one (me) or two of us left (Alkend or Rashan are my bet for the other one if there's 2)

If we had some info on the alignment of dead players we might be able to use that to our advantage.

Time to start looking at the CFs and compare it against my estimates, I think...

[Barghast]

Source: http://forum.malazan...ndpost&p=800119

OK, here's what I've got... please note that due to FMs, some of these are guesses.

• Necron (1)
  • Eloth, Lynched Day 5 (failed) - seems extremely likely, who else is going to have a LP other than maybe the Cult Leader and his words seemed prophetic shortly before 3 Xenos died. Korv voted Eloth briefly, too, and I believe Korv was an FM via D'riss.... possible Korv knew Eloth couldn't be possessed and needed an extra day to prep/jump
• Eldar (3)
  • Sukul Ankhadu, Lynched Day 3, "Xeno" - I found him unlikely to be Chaos (http://forum.malazan...ndpost&p=800689), possible he's Tyranid but he offered no defense at all other than to try and point out both Chaos and Korv (possible he knew?)
  • Karatallid, Killed Night 3 by Barghast, "Xeno"
  • Tellan, Killed Night 5 by ?????, "Xeno" - All Eldar are dead, process of elimination
• Chaos (2)
  • ????? > Korvalain > D'riss - Based on previous theory, D'riss jumped into Korv who just jumped somewhere else... or maybe he was killed, not sure
  • ????? > Galayn Lord, Killed Night 5, "Xeno" - Not on same team as Karat, Sukul (lynch votes from Day 2), I think he hasn't been able to jump all game and just got one off, or maybe he was killed
• Tyranid (1-2)
  • Ampelas - process of elimination, everyone else is accounted for
• Humans (10-11)
  • Silanah - Vigged Day 1 by ?????, "Space Marine"
  • Olar Ethil - Modkilled Day 2, "Human"
  • Meanas - Lynched Day 2, "Human"
  • Tulas Shorn - Killed Night 2 by ?????, "Human"
  • Korvalain - Possessed Night 2 by D'riss, "Human" - D'riss's CF was "Human" and I believe he jumped into Korvalain on Night 2
  • Liosan, Killed Night 3 by ?????, "Human"
  • Osseric, Killed Night 4 by ?????, "Human"
  • Kalse, Lynched Day 4, "Xeno" - Seems highly likely he was recruited, statements from Rashan, Osseric, and Alkend support theory that Kalse may have been a squad leader
  • Barghast
  • Alkend
  • Rashan

I do not know if Alkend or Rashan are still Human but I believe they started Human... that fits and makes us 11 strong. Eldar could have won if their last member wasn't killed.

Note, I'm not certain on Karatallid, Tellan, GL, and Ampelas's placement... possible they were swapped around a bit (Ampelas would be either Chaos or Tyranid, though, not Eldar otherwise he'd win).

[Barghast]

So that puts it at, min/max

Human (1-3)
Necron (1)
Chaos (0-2)
Tyranid (1-2)

Chaos may be defeated. I suspect at least one is still around, however. I think it's unlikely both are still around. Possible, but unlikely.
Tyranid are still around and Ampelas is the leader... again, may not be 100% accurate, could have been Tellan/GL. Could have one recruit.
Necron is still around and being silly

I'd guess right now we're at

Human (1-2)
Necron (1)
Chaos (1)
Tyranid (1-2)

So while it may make me look sympish to the Chaos faction, I think they are one faction that most likely can't win with this lynch... Tyranid and Necron are big question marks.

[Barghast]

Figures 3 low posters would be in the survivors > <

Unless someone has more info about Tyranid, I think we have to lynch Eloth (Necron suspicion) or Ampelas (Tyranid suspicion) today. Anyone want to fess up to the kills last night?

[Eloth]

Alright I'm not gonna take credit for massive multi kill, I killed korv.

Also i may not have revealed who i targeted since I may have targeted you once.
and by that I mean one of my attempt kills was when i thought you were scum barg so it was on you.
Another two were on Korv, I thought that someone who has two bps was definitely scum, and I did it again tonight.

I forget who else I tried let me check.

[Eloth]

Only other person i tried was Tulas.

[Barghast]

So you tried to kill Korv 3 times, me once, Tulas once? I assume you killed Tulas then, if you're telling the truth. Which you may be... but doesn't make you a good guy at all. Cuz... Lynch Proof... yeah.