Malazan Empire: Grief - Viewing Profile - Malazan Empire

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11-July 08
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User is offline Dec 27 2022 03:57 AM

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Prophet of High House Mafia
Age Unknown
Birthday Unknown

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Posts I've Made

  1. In Topic: Merry Christmas to all!

    27 December 2022 - 03:52 AM

    Merry Christmas everyone. I hope you have been consuming copious amounts of food and resting well.
  2. In Topic: How's your sleep?

    11 March 2022 - 12:18 AM

    I fee like I'm stuck a bit of a vicious cycle recently. I work long hours > I stay up longer to get some me time > I don't get enough sleep > I'm not that efficient at work > I work long hours.

    So overall my sleep is bad and I'd like to improve it in theory but I suck at that in practice.
  3. In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread

    11 March 2022 - 12:12 AM

    View PostGarak, on 10 March 2022 - 07:54 PM, said:

    I'm just glad to hear my countrymen are welcoming the refugees at the border, though I wonder how long that will last.

    It's an interesting political switch amongst many. I have some optimism that it will last (if not that it will spread to other groups).

    EU politics on several major topics have shifted practically overnight: from the climate transition to security to refugees. I suspect it practically guarantees Macron's re-election too. But harder to say for the likes of Orban.
  4. In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread

    28 February 2022 - 02:31 AM

    As warfare becomes more and more mechanised, the line between "providing equipment" and "direct intervention" feels blurrier and blurrier.

    I am not really sure where I see that line myself.

    I feel like we're living in a sort of grey zone time period, where there is still some kind of meaningful difference -- sending drones has not totally replaced sending troops -- but it is not nearly as big a difference as it used to be. Ten years from now I suspect that the difference between sending equipment and direct intervention will have more or less vanished because they'll be much the same thing in practice.

    And these supplies certainly seem to be putting Russia in a difficult position at the moment.
  5. In Topic: The Russia Politics and War in Ukraine Thread

    26 February 2022 - 01:44 AM

    View PostMalankazooie, on 24 February 2022 - 08:40 PM, said:

    What amount of sanctions have been placed on Russia in the past? How effective were they? And how much more (by analysis calling next shots) will upcoming sanctions have an impact (and how many more will be drawn up)? Asking, because it doesn't seem like this approach has really budged Putin.

    View PostTiste Simeon, on 25 February 2022 - 02:59 PM, said:

    Whether this will make a difference or but who knows but the UCL final has been changed from Russia and the Russian Grand Prix is cancelled/moved too.

    Like I said I'm not sure it'll do much but these will hit Russia economically and I reckon that's going to do more than NATO posturing...

    I would not not expect sanctions to make much difference to the reality on the ground in Ukraine in the near future. That's not really what sanctions are aimed at doing.

    If sanctions were going to make Putin budge any time soon then he just wouldn't have invaded in the first place. It was essentially guaranteed that Russia would be hit with sanctions for invading Ukraine, and Putin surely knew that in advance. You don't budge for measures that you always knew were coming.

    Sanctions aren't a foreign pool for making change happen overnight on the ground. They are a tool for putting pressure on the leadership of a country over a longer time period. The big question is the one hinted at by Tapper: how long does the West actually stick with the sanctions?

    It's a sad reality. The positive side is that it means you can ignore some of the worry I'm seeing elsewhere online that sanctions have not reversed the invasion in a matter of days, meaning therefore they must be ineffective. It doesn't mean they're weak as sanctions go, or that Russia has some kind of "get out of sanctions free" card, this just isn't what sanctions are meant to achieve in the first place. The sanctions have been relatively tough and I expect them to get more severe in the coming days.