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User is offline Oct 29 2020 01:39 AM
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Prophet of High House Mafia
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  1. In Topic: Brexit or bremain

    29 October 2020 - 01:26 AM

    Personally very sceptical of that logic.

    The impact of a trade deal with the US is comparatively marginal. The difference between a "good" and "bad" trade deal with the US is practically negligible in the context of Brexit. Such deals are mostly symbolic politics. Brexiteers are keen to applaud any deals the UK gets for obvious reasons. See also the spin the government was putting around the deal with Japan going "far beyond" the EU-Japan deal when in reality it's chiefly a copy-paste.

    Indeed, at this stage there is fairly limited leeway -- the range of plausible final outcomes has narrowed significantly -- and external issues like the US election are generally unlikely to swing the outcome of the negotiations. At the end of the day it's a highly complex trade negotiation and the "softness" of Brexit isn't something that Boris can easily flip a switch on.
  2. In Topic: Brexit or bremain

    24 October 2020 - 02:26 AM

    I think a deal is still more likely than no-deal. The UK is signaling some willingness to move competition issues, and key EU players (e.g, France) are softening their line on fisheries.

    The UK government has repeatedly taken a strong stance in public and then quietly skulked back to the negotiating table. I seem to recall Johnson suggesting a 15 October deadline and yet Barnier is in London for intensive talks.

    Despite the conservative majority, Johnson himself has a lot staked on Brexit and he is not loved across his party (who are fairly ruthless when it comes to their leadership).

    There's still plenty of room to mess it up of course, and the UK side has shown itself prone to blunders, but on balance I think we'll see a (limited) deal. This will still lead to significant economic separation and harm, much of which is already taking place.

    On another note, polling continues to suggest that support for Scottish independence has risen and this is likely to start really coming to a head come the elections in May.
  3. In Topic: Identity Politics

    02 August 2020 - 11:29 AM

    View PostAzath Vitr (D, on 13 July 2020 - 04:04 PM, said:

    View PostCyphon, on 12 July 2020 - 09:34 AM, said:

    People need to understand that freedom of speech doesnt equate to freedom of platform. Freedom of speech doesnt equate to freedom of consequences.


    These have become popular talking-points, but it's worth bearing in mind that they're not accurate as stated.


    I also think that it cedes quite a lot of power to the platforms which are increasingly replacing public with private space (which itself is becoming increasingly concentrated).

    Granted this is a broader trend that is troubling in its own right, but I do think that the people who use this argument from a liberal standpoint might be missing a trick. Do we really want mega-platforms that much leeway about what is allowed on their platform? Is it wrong to think that freedom of platform might become increasingly important as more and more public life de facto takes place there?

    I find it quite troubling that a lot of apparently liberal people seem happy with an argument that boils down to "it's fine because it's private companies doing it".
  4. In Topic: URL links in signature?

    19 April 2020 - 02:35 PM

    It's generally fine within reason (e.g, the content itself is clearly within the rules, the signature isn't a big obnoxious advert).

    Is there something you'd like to link?
  5. In Topic: The Happy Birthday Thread !

    01 January 2020 - 02:55 PM

    Happy 110th drinksinbars!