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Ukraine is using Hornet drones to pummel logistics all over Crimea today. Apparently a high number of hits on fuel and ammunition dumps, and going after fuel tankers. Dzhankoi taking a lot of hits.

Fuel companies TES and ATAN have ceased providing fuel vouchers for use in Crimea.

France has seized the Russian shadow fleet tanker Tagor in the Atlantic.

Refinery operations in Russia are apparently at their lowest levels since 2010.

Confirmed battlefield casualties for Russia yesterday topped 1,400 for the first time in weeks. It should be noted these are casualties that can be confirmed on the day itself and do not include casualties identified only days or weeks later. The real number of casualties per month is running at between 35,000 and 40,000 once all sources (including Russian) are taken into account.

Russia used a Tor missile defence system to shoot down a Ukrainian drone. After missing (possibly twice), the Tor was destroyed by the exact same drone.

Russian soldiers complaining because body armour arriving at the front consists of missing metal plates, with the missing plates instead replaced by the infamously bullet-proof material known as "wood."

Crimea's fuel shortages have reached crisis levels, with massive queues at almost every station. Some Russians saying the fuel resupply route via the bridge should be restarted, despite concerns over repeated damage to the bridge, as the resupply routes via the ferries and land bridge have both been effectively cut off by Ukrainian drones. Ai-95 gasoline can only be sold by coupons and Ai-92 is capped at 20 liters per driver.

Ukraine's drone units attached to 3rd Army Corps have initiated large-scale logistics interception missions in Luhansk Oblast, mirroring those further south. Using a mixture of drone types, they have struck targets across the oblast and across the Russian border. Their maximum penetration was the Izvaryne checkpoint, over 205km from the front line. Some recent strikes on the southern front have suggested that logistics interception and interdiction are now taking place over the 150km mark, further massively complicating Russian resupply and reinforcement operations.

The Ukrainian drone campaign against logistics across the front now includes remote-mining of the key highways. This means Russian units waiting until no drones are on radar before moving can still be destroyed or disabled. 

The Saratov oil refinery came under heavy Ukrainian drone attack today, with three confirmed hits damaging the primary oil processing unit and two storage tanks. The Lazarevo oil pumping station in Kirov has also been hit, part of the ongoing strategy to strike the bottlenecks on Russia's oil network.

Three Russian cargo ships have been disabled near Berdyansk this week.

A powerful hit, Ukraine destroyed two Tu-142 aircraft at Taganrog Airfield with drones.

Ukraine has applied for a licence to build Patriot missiles in Ukraine. This could include excess orders that could be sold back to the United States or key allies like Israel and the UAE.

Ukraine seems to have initiated counter-offensive actions in two new sectors, Oleksandrivka and Komar, near the Mokri Yaly River. The former offensive only began 36 hours ago and has seen Ukrainian forces reclaim 50 square kilometres (though some of that is through the grey zone, and the situation is fluid). Modest progress so far.

Ukrainian forces also reported in or beyond Berezyove, which is a significant amount of territory behind the main front line, suggesting Ukrainian forces have penetrated this sector in a similar way to where they did further SW a few months ago. An interesting area to attack, allowing pressure to build on the west flank of the main Russian offensive effort in Donetsk. Again, nothing to get too excited about until we see sustained pressure like we're seeing near Kamyanske.

Some Russian milbloggers worried about Ukraine reconning routes through the changed river course around the Dnipro, a result of the dam being blown up several years ago. They think Ukraine could find a way of crossing the river in force and attacking hard into the Russian lines in Kherson Oblast, which are underdefended at present. I am doubtful this is likely in the imminent future.

Ukraine blew up two fuel tankers on the R-280 highway in a highly spectacular blast that blocked the whole road for several hours. A fairly visible demonstration of the increasingly desperate straits the Russians find themselves in.

Confirmation that Ukraine destroyed a Buyan-M missile destroyer on Lake Onega in October, as it was transiting from the Baltic to the Black Sea.

Russia confirming that coke and oil production is down 12% in a month as a result of Ukrainian drone strikes.

Ukraine and Moldova may formally move into the next EU accession stage in July.

British GCHQ has indicated that previous estimates of Russians KIA had grossly undercounted and the real total of KIA is close to 500,000 since February 2022.

The Russian Black Sea Fleet aviation headquarters in Sevastopol has taken a missile hit, sparking a fire which burned out most of the building.

Large fuel queues reported across Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk Oblasts. Melitopol in particular has very large queues of cars waiting at fuel stations.

It appears Ukraine made a rare use of Storm Shadow to hit the Balitmor Airfield near Voronezh. Su-34s are based at the airfield.

Tuapse has been hit yet again, with heavy damage to the already-damaged sea terminal reported.

Ukraine has updated its Sea Baby sea drone mothership to carry thermobaric rockets as well as multiple FPV drones.

ISW confirming that Ukraine has been carrying out a lower-key, systemic strike on the railway logistics across the entire occupied territory, destroying junctions, freight cars and fuel tanks.