Malazan Empire: Mafia 150 - Lockdown Hell - Malazan Empire

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Mafia 150 - Lockdown Hell

#1701 User is offline   Okaros 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 09:51 PM

I figure: 33% or 66% chance of getting this right. If there’s two killers left, then Kilava is most likely to be one of the two. If there’s only one and it’s not Kilava, then oh well we have another day.

Agree? Disagree?

#1702 User is offline   Okaros 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 09:53 PM

Of course, what’s going to happen is that Venesara will turn out to have been scum all along.

#1703 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 10:02 PM

View PostOkaros, on 29 May 2020 - 09:51 PM, said:

I figure: 33% or 66% chance of getting this right. If there’s two killers left, then Kilava is most likely to be one of the two. If there’s only one and it’s not Kilava, then oh well we have another day.

Agree? Disagree?


So you're saying Gait-Hanas is the most unlikely pairing?

#1704 User is offline   Hanas 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 10:04 PM

View PostBarghast, on 29 May 2020 - 10:02 PM, said:

View PostOkaros, on 29 May 2020 - 09:51 PM, said:

I figure: 33% or 66% chance of getting this right. If there’s two killers left, then Kilava is most likely to be one of the two. If there’s only one and it’s not Kilava, then oh well we have another day.

Agree? Disagree?


So you're saying Gait-Hanas is the most unlikely pairing?


Hang on, when did you get VPI'd?

Had to assemble some shelving and watch some TV. We playing through the weekend again?

#1705 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 10:04 PM

Or just saying that scum is apparently okay with the direction we seem to be going and is happy to let us plunge to our deaths, which would point to Kilava?

#1706 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 10:06 PM

View PostHanas, on 29 May 2020 - 10:04 PM, said:

View PostBarghast, on 29 May 2020 - 10:02 PM, said:

View PostOkaros, on 29 May 2020 - 09:51 PM, said:

I figure: 33% or 66% chance of getting this right. If there’s two killers left, then Kilava is most likely to be one of the two. If there’s only one and it’s not Kilava, then oh well we have another day.

Agree? Disagree?


So you're saying Gait-Hanas is the most unlikely pairing?


Hang on, when did you get VPI'd?


I was thinking the first one to mention this will likely be scum

#1707 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 10:09 PM

View PostHanas, on 29 May 2020 - 10:04 PM, said:

View PostBarghast, on 29 May 2020 - 10:02 PM, said:

View PostOkaros, on 29 May 2020 - 09:51 PM, said:

I figure: 33% or 66% chance of getting this right. If there’s two killers left, then Kilava is most likely to be one of the two. If there’s only one and it’s not Kilava, then oh well we have another day.

Agree? Disagree?


So you're saying Gait-Hanas is the most unlikely pairing?


Hang on, when did you get VPI'd?

Had to assemble some shelving and watch some TV. We playing through the weekend again?


Wanna be ready for a potential speed hammer?

#1708 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 10:22 PM

Trains once again

View PostPath-Shaper, on 13 May 2020 - 09:18 PM, said:


It is day 1. 0 hours remaining.

21 people left alive; Aranatha, Barghast, Fanderay, Gait, Gamelon, Hanas, Jalan, Kalse, Kilava, Merrid, Okaros, Okral Lom, Osseric, Prazec Goul, Rikkter, Ruse, Sheltatha Lore, Skintick, Tennes, Thyr, Venesara. 11 votes to lynch.

11 votes Okral Lom; Rikkter, Skintick, Kalse, Gait, Tennes, Fanderay, Aranatha, Ruse, Jalan, Prazec Goul, Merrid

1 vote Osseric; Hanas

1 vote Merrid; Okral Lom

1 vote Thyrllan; Barghast

Players not voted; Gamelon, Kilava, Okaros, Osseric, Sheltatha Lore, Thyr, Venesara.

Okral Lom is dead. They were Dunsparrow and town.



View PostPath-Shaper, on 15 May 2020 - 09:13 PM, said:


It is day 2. About 0 hours remaining.

19 people left alive. Aranatha, Barghast, Fanderay, Gait, Gamelon, Hanas, Jalan, Kalse, Kilava, Okaros, Osseric, Prazec Goul, Rikkter, Ruse, Sheltatha Lore, Skintick, Tennes, Thyr, Venesara.

2 votes Venesara: Okaros, Osseric

10 votes Thyrllan; Skintick, Jalan, Barghast, Gait, Tennes, Kilava, Kalse, Ruse, Aranatha, Prazec Goul

1 vote Fanderay; Thyrllan

2 votes Hanas; Rikkter, Sheltatha Lore

Players not voted; Fanderay, Gamelon, Hanas, Prazec Goul, Venesara.

Thyrllan has been lynched. He was Peanutbutta and Scum



Pre-switch

View PostPath-Shaper, on 19 May 2020 - 09:00 AM, said:


It is day 3. About 2 hours remaining.

17 people left alive. Aranatha, Gait, Gamelon, Hanas, Jalan, Kalse, Kilava, Okaros, Osseric, Prazec Goul, Rikkter, Ruse, Sheltatha Lore, Tennes, Venesara.

7 votes Rikkter; Jalan, Barghast Sheltatha Lore, Fanderay, Prazec Goul, Ruse, Gait, (Aranatha), [Okaros after switch]

1 vote Ruse; Tennes

2 votes Tennes; Rikkter, Aranatha(not)

1 vote Venesara; Kalse

Players not voted; Gamelon, Hanas, Kilava, Okaros, Osseric, Venesara.



View PostPath-Shaper, on 21 May 2020 - 12:19 PM, said:


It is day 3 4. 0 minutes remaining remaining.

13 people left alive. Aranatha, Barghast, Fanderay, Gait, Hanas, Kilava, Okaros, Osseric, Prazec Goul, Ruse, Sheltatha Lore, Tennes, Venesara.

7 to lynch.

1 vote Gait; Fanderay

2 votes Tennes; Ruse, Aranatha

7 votes Prazec; Barghast, Tennes, Sheltatha Lore, Okaros, Gait, Hanas, Venesara

Players not voted; Kilava, Osseric, Prazec Goul,

Prazec Goul is lynched. She was Lady Bliss and RI.



View PostPath-Shaper, on 25 May 2020 - 03:12 PM, said:


It is day 4 5. 0 minutes remaining.

11 people left alive. Aranatha, Barghast, Fanderay, Gait, Hanas, Kilava, Okaros, Osseric, Sheltatha Lore, Tennes, Venesara.

Day timed out without a lynch.

3 votes Tennes; Aranatha, Okaros, Gait

5 votes Osseric: Tennes, Fanderay, Sheltatha, Hanas, Barghast

Players not voted; Fanderay, Hanas, Kilava, Osseric, Venesara.



View PostPath-Shaper, on 27 May 2020 - 06:08 PM, said:


It is day 5 6. 0 minutes remaining.

10 players left alive. Aranatha, Barghast, Fanderay, Gait, Hanas, Kilava, Okaros, Osseric, Sheltatha Lore, Venesara.

6 votes to lynch.

5 vote Hanas; Okaros, Gait, Barghast, Sheltatha, Kilava

Players not voted; Aranatha, Fanderay, Hanas, Osseric, Venesara


View PostPath-Shaper, on 29 May 2020 - 06:31 PM, said:


It is day 6.

8 players left alive. Aranatha, Barghast, Hanas, Kilava, Venesara.

5 votes to lynch.

1 votes Hanas; Aranatha
5 votes Aranatha; Hanas, Okaros, Gait, Fanderay, Kilava


Players not voted; Barghast Venesara.

Aranatha is lynched. They were Gem Windcaster and RI.


#1709 User is offline   Hanas 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 10:22 PM

View PostBarghast, on 29 May 2020 - 10:09 PM, said:

View PostHanas, on 29 May 2020 - 10:04 PM, said:

View PostBarghast, on 29 May 2020 - 10:02 PM, said:

View PostOkaros, on 29 May 2020 - 09:51 PM, said:

I figure: 33% or 66% chance of getting this right. If there’s two killers left, then Kilava is most likely to be one of the two. If there’s only one and it’s not Kilava, then oh well we have another day.

Agree? Disagree?


So you're saying Gait-Hanas is the most unlikely pairing?


Hang on, when did you get VPI'd?

Had to assemble some shelving and watch some TV. We playing through the weekend again?


Wanna be ready for a potential speed hammer?


No, I don't like playing through the weekend

#1710 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 10:29 PM

View PostBarghast, on 29 May 2020 - 10:04 PM, said:

Or just saying that scum is apparently okay with the direction we seem to be going and is happy to let us plunge to our deaths, which would point to Kilava?


Which is in line with the previous NK of Shel who went hard after Kilava the end of teh of his demise

If Kilava's scum > killing their opponents - valid tactic

Gait is scum > first NK okay, but would have been much likelier to have killed you on the last night imo, or even me to cripple the town's ability discuss. Not saying this doesn't mean they're scum, but Gait's standing doesn't appear to have been motivation for the last NK

Hanas is scum > valid tactic that points to Kilava

Based on this I'm definitely leaning towards voting either Hanas or Kilava today

#1711 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 10:31 PM

View PostHanas, on 29 May 2020 - 10:22 PM, said:

View PostBarghast, on 29 May 2020 - 10:09 PM, said:

View PostHanas, on 29 May 2020 - 10:04 PM, said:

View PostBarghast, on 29 May 2020 - 10:02 PM, said:

View PostOkaros, on 29 May 2020 - 09:51 PM, said:

I figure: 33% or 66% chance of getting this right. If there’s two killers left, then Kilava is most likely to be one of the two. If there’s only one and it’s not Kilava, then oh well we have another day.

Agree? Disagree?


So you're saying Gait-Hanas is the most unlikely pairing?


Hang on, when did you get VPI'd?

Had to assemble some shelving and watch some TV. We playing through the weekend again?


Wanna be ready for a potential speed hammer?


No, I don't like playing through the weekend


Well at least the monday eod is now in the evening instead of shortly afternoon

#1712 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 10:50 PM

View PostBarghast, on 29 May 2020 - 10:04 PM, said:

Or just saying that scum is apparently okay with the direction we seem to be going and is happy to let us plunge to our deaths, which would point to Kilava?


Or Kilava doesn't recognise nor you nor me as PIs...

#1713 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 10:54 PM

View PostBarghast, on 29 May 2020 - 10:29 PM, said:

View PostBarghast, on 29 May 2020 - 10:04 PM, said:

Or just saying that scum is apparently okay with the direction we seem to be going and is happy to let us plunge to our deaths, which would point to Kilava?


Which is in line with the previous NK of Shel who went hard after Kilava the end of teh of his demise

If Kilava's scum > killing their opponents - valid tactic

Gait is scum > first NK okay, but would have been much likelier to have killed you on the last night imo, or even me to cripple the town's ability discuss. Not saying this doesn't mean they're scum, but Gait's standing doesn't appear to have been motivation for the last NK

Hanas is scum > valid tactic that points to Kilava

Based on this I'm definitely leaning towards voting either Hanas or Kilava today


If nothing else this rooster has shown an ability to lynch one of the less likely scum candidates in the end

A possible take:

If you, or me, were killed, it'd leave town with the other one, Fande and Ven who are usually only around to vote for the likeliest lynch, and the remaining one scum candidate who's also willing to vote pretty much anyone, thus impeding the thread's ability to make dynamic changes based upon discussion

Which would mean that we would be likelier to fall back to one of the lynches that have nearly happened already: Hanas and Gait

instead we're cursed to squabble among ourselves for another day, bound to flail in all directions the as we lose our confidence due to another RI cf

#1714 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 11:13 PM

Hanas:

gets nearly speed lynched on a potential dday: unfazed, tell us to look at x the next (pretty sure he's mentioned the possibility of scum not too long past, hence was aware very well of the dday potentiality)

comes back before eod to see votes have shifted to Gait: starts posting somewhat - because if he upped his activity sooner it would have looked like reaction to the votes on him? - continues posting until now, except all the time not a single shit has been apparently given about the game, sure there are some comments that have something to do with the game, but hardly looks like anyone trynna find scum

#1715 User is offline   Barghast 

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Posted 29 May 2020 - 11:56 PM

Yeah I think Hanas is scum.

vote Hanas

#1716 User is offline   Gait 

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Posted 30 May 2020 - 02:46 AM

View PostVenesara, on 29 May 2020 - 05:09 PM, said:

This is my only window if somebody wants to influence my vote, it must be now



View PostVenesara, on 29 May 2020 - 05:28 PM, said:

Are you going to vote yourself to get a lynch?



View PostVenesara, on 29 May 2020 - 05:32 PM, said:

@ Barghast - are you willing to vote Gait to get the lynch?


Golden nuggets from Venesara saving them from modkill.

Again no votes, his only vote was a hammer on Prazec. If not for being the target of a train supported by Kalse I'd be voting here.

#1717 User is offline   Gait 

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Posted 30 May 2020 - 04:43 PM

Took a step back and reread the thread slowly.

View PostBarghast, on 29 May 2020 - 11:13 PM, said:

Hanas:

gets nearly speed lynched on a potential dday: unfazed, tell us to look at x the next (pretty sure he's mentioned the possibility of scum not too long past, hence was aware very well of the dday potentiality)

comes back before eod to see votes have shifted to Gait: starts posting somewhat - because if he upped his activity sooner it would have looked like reaction to the votes on him? - continues posting until now, except all the time not a single shit has been apparently given about the game, sure there are some comments that have something to do with the game, but hardly looks like anyone trynna find scum


I agree with this. False Hammer on D1 and lack of presence on the Thyr train are a concern yet somehow we just fail to follow-through.

The story Hanas gives for his poor activity has been RL problems mostly.

I do not think that level of life entanglement has failed to keep him from consistent activity at/or around EoD. Hanas has repeatedly been "in the area" during key moments of the game.

Vote Hanas

Ontop of everything you don't actively contribute unprompted.

#1718 User is offline   Kilava 

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Posted 30 May 2020 - 10:31 PM

Hey sorry, been busy. I will catch up this evening.

#1719 User is offline   Kilava 

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Posted 31 May 2020 - 09:24 AM

I reread the whole thread watching hanas and scum. On mobile, it was brutal. Started to pull some quotes but Shelly and okaros already did. Kalse not voting hanas still rings true, and one of the least helpful players all game. The other thing is that for all the analysis on hanas by me,okaros,everyone, he still managed to escape a Lynch like 3 times.

Also, recent comments like this are damning even if the proof is wifom - why say it at all?

"It's probably safe to say a NK will be on someone who has revealed."

Then we lost fandy, which reduces the pool of PIs , and so I expected this asap, but it's just icing on the cake if true.

Vote Hanas

#1720 User is offline   Path-Shaper 

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Posted 31 May 2020 - 08:28 PM

It is day 7. 24 hours remaining.

6 players left alive. Barghast, Gait, Hanas, Kilava, Okaros, Venesara. 

4 votes to lynch.

1 vote Kilava; Okaros
3 votes Hanas; Barghast, Gait, Kilava

Players not voted; Hanas, Venesara.
Only someone with this much power could make this many frittatas without breaking any eggs.
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