In the interest of balance, Jalan.
The main thing about Jalan is that he's really... nice. He has a lot of filler posts with no content, but he also asks a lot of questions and shares a lot of ideas, he comments a lot on cases, although he hasn't actually made any cases himself. He tends to be pretty pleasant, which I think is where the accusations of him not posting content have come from. He doesn't stick in your mind because he doesn't start fights with people.
Prodding questions come relatively early on in the game:
Jalan, on 22 October 2013 - 03:23 PM, said:
Trake, on 22 October 2013 - 02:13 PM, said:
Actually, that just makes the vote seem more signal like. Why would you make such a useless vote, that looks suspicious, otherwise?
If it's a signal how is it supposed to work? Togg is one of the killers, Ultama is symp, so Ultama votes Togg to signal the other killer and hopes desperately we don't all agree to vote out his low-poster killer master Togg?
He has a big analysis of Ultama's posting style on day two:
Jalan, on 23 October 2013 - 04:02 PM, said:
Ok serious time. Ultama, your behaviour today is extremely... I don't know. Misguided?
Big cases about post counts and changes in behaviour on DDay, covering the whole of the game up to there? Sure, that's legit.
Doing the same thing on Day 2? Talking about differences in posting frequency between the first half of day 1 and the second half of day 1? That's just stupid. That's a 36 hour period. You can't make reliable patterns out of that.
That's the first problem.
Second problem: you seem to want to make a case on everybody. Why? What purpose does that serve? How does that help town? I repeat: IT IS DAY 2. Trying to go through everybody on day 2 is not only useless because there's too many people and too little information but it clouds the thread with post after post of you grasping at the faintest straws to analyze about people and the vast majority of that grasping is not helpful at all (and fuck these alt names, I'm not signalling Grasp here and I'm not going back to rewrite that sentence just to remove the graspings dammit!)
You want to make a case on Day 2? Go ahead. It's a good thing. But Day 2 is a time to get focused, not to throw shittons of little tidbits into a blender and hope it comes out looking like anything but goopy shit.
The problem is that this is bad play whether you're town or scum pretending to be town. Looks bad on you either way but doesn't convince me you are scum by itself. So now I need to keep reading up and think about why you're doing this as if it isn't just misguided crap townie play which it probably is and see if there's a reason I can see scum doing something stupid like this.
At least this game aint dull!
Here he's almost aggressively nice:
Jalan, on 23 October 2013 - 05:13 PM, said:
Trake, on 23 October 2013 - 04:31 PM, said:
Jalan, on 23 October 2013 - 04:15 PM, said:
I can dig the explanation about Trake's vote switch, but OTOH it is coming from Hanas and Fanderay.
Trake if you don't mind can you discuss your vote on Monok? I'd like to hear how you saw the situation.
I was going to be there for a while to switch if needed, and Monoks play bothered me, so I decided to vote him. I didn't expect my vote to hurt the Ultama train, it would've been 4:1:1 instead of 5:1, and I'd made it clear that I was around and happy to vote Ultama.
Edit: formatting, and missed a word
Can you go deeper? I want to understand your thought process that lead to actually deciding to switch your vote to MO.
Yeah you were going to be around to change it again later, but still switching votes off a train onto someone even if its just for pressure is very noticeable and not something I get the feels you'd have done at some of your other angry times.
Not saying it was necessarily a bad move just trying to get into your PoV more.
Although here he gets fairly angry about Ultama's play. He's still not really angry towards anyone, and he isn't picking any fights. His problem is with something that most players have already agreed on.
Jalan, on 24 October 2013 - 02:29 PM, said:
Hanas, on 24 October 2013 - 01:31 PM, said:
Fanderay, on 24 October 2013 - 01:28 PM, said:
Hanas, on 24 October 2013 - 01:08 PM, said:
I am here for the next 90 minutes and can vote.
Basically:
Ultama is probably town for meta-reasons.
I like Ghennan so far.
I am patently unsure about Trake.
It might be very related to the last few hours, but Grasp seems very pushy to get a lynch almost to the point of skipping reasoning entirely.
I can't remember seeing much of Lock.
Cast, meh.
Fanderay: don't see a reason to lynch him. It is basically from rubbing people the wrong way and Ultama fall-out.
Jalan, wtf, 28 posts but can't remember a single one.
I really disliked MO and am sad we didn't get a CF there.
\
since when is "meta" a fucking excuse?
It is a certain's player's obsession to be a pushy towny and it nearly always leads to a major fuck-up on day 2. I am perfectly willing to vote him because
1) it is not good for town
2) this time he may be scum,
but I would be in no way surprised it was just another instance of day 2 syndrome on that particular player.
I have a problem with this.
I don't want to go all Macros here, but maybe the problem with malazan mafia is that townies playing like shit at the start of the game is a way to get VPI'd? So next game that I'm scum (esp. symp) I should do stupid "pushy" shit like Ultama is doing here, make a bunch of bad cases and piss everyone off so that I can be VPI for meta reasons and coast to victory?
When in the flying fuck did that become permissible?
I'm not done catching up yet, but the case on Fanderay doesn't appeal to me at all (seems it's entirely based on the fact that Hanas interacts with him and Ultama more than everyone else? I agree with the bit that they seem to be on at the same time) and I don't anticipate any other trains forming so
Vote Ultama
because apparently I'm shit at alting people so I don't have any meta excuses to PI him, and if you have a fucking weird crazy quadcase explosion followed by an angry OMGUS meltdown you look like scum to me and deserve to be tested.
If these hidden meta reasons are true, well then fuck you you deserve to be lynched so that maybe the next game you'll actually help town instead of fucking your own team over a barrel!
He is very determined in his dislike of the Fanderay case, and says later that he won't vote on it even for a lynch. But it doesn't come off as defending Fanderay, just pointing out the logical inconsistencies in the case
Jalan, on 25 October 2013 - 04:58 PM, said:
I still don't feel that the Fanderay case has any salt and no one has brought up anything new since the initial case to sway me.
I could get behind a Grasp vote. I'm not really convinced the posting consistency means anything, but he does seem to be coasting a bit and there's connections there that can be expanded tomorrow.
My main preference is still Ultama for his multicasing and meltdown. He seems more reasonable now but that switch in behaviour back to calm is in some ways more suspicious. Scum would be more likely than town to feel the need to force themselves to go back to acting calm and to tone down their accusations. Claiming that the poor cases were fishing is a very weak excuse.
Below is another instance of him sharing ideas. The post is well constructed, and it certainly makes his thoughts clear, but I have a problem with him suggesting people and then not making a case on them.
Jalan, on 29 October 2013 - 02:41 PM, said:
I do agree with Hanas that Trake bears some looking at today.
Trake has been extremely active and aggressive, putting lots of votes down for small reasons.
It's common for town to look for scum amongst the "coasters", the low-posters or the "middle of the road" players, because those used to be the best hiding places for scum. They still work as hiding places now - though not as well as in mafia 20 - but we've also seen in the last generation scum hide by being very active, enabling them to avoid all the traditional suspicion.
This game so far shows the validity of that, as Trake really hasn't had much public suspicion cast on him at all. If he is scum he's just had to keep up the pace of posting his many suspicions and vote hopping, but otherwise has had no pressure.
Of course, he absolutely could be just a townie doing the same thing. But the interesting thing to me is that day 2 was very spread out in terms of trains - at some point we had 8 votes cast on 5 players. That's a tricky situation for scum, because you would want to sound convinced by a good case, but at the same time want to make sure the lynch succeeds. You would not want to be seen as suspicious for jumping around from train to train, nor would you want to be switching to the biggest train with a very weak justification for why you've changed your mind from your previous target. Lastly, if the day ends with you being a lone vote on another player, it is very visible and you may end up having to deal with defending yourself about it or at least incorporating it into your behaviour for the rest of the game.
So overall, days like that can be very tricky for scum, and IMO it's when you might see them treading very carefully.
What's interesting to me, then, is that Trake was very happy to vote hop around a lot on day 1, and early on day 2 when there were only a couple trains he hopped onto MO, then onto Fanderay. But once we got up to four trains existing, he removed his vote and didn't vote again all day.
So, in summary for Jalan. Lots of posting, and a fairly good mix of filler posts with questions, responses to cases, and sharing of his own thoughts. His content posts tend to be well thought out and logical. He doesn't make any cases, which could be a lack of time, though he seems to spend a lot of time on the content he puts in his posts generally. He was around for the end of day two, but not day three, although he did say he only just missed it. There are a couple of connections, he made lots of digs at Ultama day two, he has been talking for a while about his dislike of Trake but not done anything about it, and he was emphatic in his dislike of the Fanderay case.