Abyss, on 14 April 2011 - 05:58 PM, said:
And now it seems the NDP is making gains in Quebec... Libs slightly elsewhere... Tories still holding a lead...
...this is really turning into (sort of) anyone's game to win, isn't it...?
(not that the NDP stands any chance of forming Parliament, but they could increase their number of seats if Quebec makes a major swing... the real question is then at the expense of which of the big two parties...)
The NDP is trying very hard to make more inroads in Alberta as well. They have the only non-Tory seat there (Edmonton-Strathcona), and
today the Tory candidate has confessed that it doesn't look like he's got a chance of displacing Linda Duncan at the moment. They'Re working very hard to take more seats in Alberta: there's (surprisingly!) a lot of real support for the NDP there, especially in Edmonton, despite everything.
While I agree that it's very unlikely that the NDP could win a majority in this election, it's really a premature and self-fulfilling prophecy to think that they don't have a shot at a minority government. If you seriously believe that your only options are Grit and Tory, then those are your only options. But if everyone votes for the party whose platform, record, and abilities they most believe in (rather than strategically choosing the Grits to deny the Tories), then there's no reason why the NDP should be counted out. The more we repeat the mantra that they can't win, the truer it becomes--unfortunately, that's what happens when one side of the political spectrum is divided against itself. Polls are pretty vacuous things, IMO, but it's clear that the NDP enjoys a steady 18% or so approval rating country-wide, and they do fairly well provincially (they're in charge in Manitoba and Nova Scotia, and are the official opposition in BC and Saskatchewan). That's really not all that far off from the Liberals.
Frankly, I think that Canadians should stop running around in circles and try something new for a change. It doesn't have to be huge, but give another party (or even a coalition) a chance to hold the reins of power for a bit. Where's the harm in that? Can it really be any worse (or less productive) than the last five years have been?