Omtose, on 08 March 2011 - 12:03 AM, said:
what if feners death wasnt the cash in, but the FMs leap into a different alt?
hopefuly we managed to get rid of the FM because otherwise the only chance we have of taking him out is by random chance
Isn't the FM's "Replace" action resolved at night? So that person would die at the beginning of the day, when the FM moves. It's been Day 4 for awhile now. Unless I am misunderstanding the FM mechanics, it's impossible for Fener's death to be the result of an FM jump.
Hood, on 08 March 2011 - 02:33 AM, said:
Merrid, on 07 March 2011 - 09:24 PM, said:
Hugin & Munin, on 07 March 2011 - 09:04 PM, said:
No roles will be given in cf's and all scenes are purely for entertainment value, every player must always be a member of a faction.
This confirmation lends WAY more weight to Korabas's reveal... How could he know that the FM and the other role were on factions if he was lying? Seems like almost everyone else assumed the FM was factionless.
Someone earlier wondered why people (like me) were going back and forth on Korabas's reveal. The reason is that there has been almost no hard evidence to prove whether Korabas was lying or not. There was circumstantial evidence, maybe, but nothing definitive. So it makes sense to explore both possibilities - a) Korabas is lying, and

Korabas is telling the truth. Clearly understanding both hypotheticals makes decision-making easier, I think, and also leads to flaws in reasoning that might show why one viewpoint is invalid or vice versa. In short, it makes sense to consider all the options when there's no proof.
If Korabas was telling the truth, then the only players left are straight faction members; the FM and FM hunter are gone.
I think that this statement is optimistic thinking at best. Truth is we have no way of knowing if the FM is gone. Unless it does what Korbas does and reveals so that we can lynch it. Personally I think that it is very likely that the FM is still alive.
Well, it's not optimistic, it's just logical. If Korabas
really knows that the FM just got traded to Team J, and then on the next hand, when the lowest Life is being wagered, Captain J loses and K cashes in the Life from Team J - then the FM is dead. The only way this can't be true is if someone is lying or there is an unknown mechanic like "The FM can't be wagered in the card game and instead the next Life in line gets wagered". Of course, anything is possible, and I'm not even saying I totally buy that Korabas was telling the truth. Hell, maybe Korabas was another FM, and
that's why he knew that the FM was on a faction.
Like I said before, let's just look at the possibilities. If Korabas was totally lying and pulling a fake reveal to save his sorry ass, then who was he and why did he say what he said? If he was a random Life, it seems impossible for him to guess that the FM is on a faction and be right - unless it was written somewhere we all missed? I feel like H&M's confirmation was really the first official word we've had. Maybe Captains were given this information? And Korabas's Second just took over for him. Regardless, if Korabas was bullshitting the whole thing, then we have no info at all and we might as well go back to just picking someone or playing the faction game. If it's possible that part of what he said was true, then we ought to at least consider it.