[Thyrllan]

im sorry HP i hit edit as soon as i realised you just managed to comment before i saved, sorry

and yea triple post was a mistake, although increased post count lol

[Mockra]

Huh? What was editted out?

[Hood's Path]

he said his main suspect for master was D'riss

[Thyrllan]

i said i was still suspicious of D'riss forgetting he was dead, i then tried to edit it before i looked stupid and HP posted before edit completed

[Serc]

Anyway moving on I think it might be useful to work out the deaths etc so far and try and piece together what is going on.

So looking at it.

Day 1: No lynch.
Night 1: Two kills in Ruse and Emurlahn. I think we can safely say these 2 kills were both scum.
Day 2: Ampelas was a belated lynch.
Night 2: Silchas Ruin and Kaschan were killed. Hoods Path was guarded. One kill we think is a Vig from Alkend. I'd guess that would be Kaschan.
Day 3: Olar Ethil was Mod killed.
Night 3: No deaths. Mockra was guarded.
Day 4: Alkend gets modkilled. Barghast gets lynched.
Night 4: D'riss is NKed.
Day 5: Current.


Does that seem right to everyone?

Anyway some things that stand out.
Firstly we really have no proof Alkend vigged. I do believe it, as it seems silly thing to make up. Unfortunately Alkend was mod killed so we never got confirmation.
Two, only one kill on Night 2, and Hoods Path was Guarded - if we believe the Alkend Vig, then this is definitly weird. It would be a very lucky Healer.
Three, Mockra was Guarded and there was no deaths. Despite how he dismisses it, it was D'riss who came through with the Guard reveal so unless he claims there's 4 scum I'm happy to believe D'riss.
That said Night 4, HP said he guarded Mockra and we had a kill again.


So I'm not sure where that leaves me to be honest. We have 3 players (Osseric, Kalse, Thryllan) who really haven't contributed all game so its difficult to get any sort of read on the three of them.


Mockra and Hoods Path both have been Guarded at some point and both nights we were down a kill. But I'm trying to work out exactly what that means.

[Mockra]

Hmmm. Ok. So barring Driss, who do you think master is?

My list
HP - Master
Serc - assistant

[Kalse]

Alright, back from a nice weekend. Going to go read up. One thing Thyr.....D'riss is dead.

[Hood's Path]

Hmmm theres not a lot from Osseric at all, most of the start is all chaff, like im not gonna be round now, ive got no idea whats going on. Then there seems to be a lot of going with the flow , then trying to work out who was targetted by the mayor (not actually sure why that mattered really ).

So theres no really enough to go on, he could definitely be scum trying to lie low but i cant say for sure.

[Mockra]

Im going to grab some food, back on in a while.

[Thyrllan]

From near the start ive thought of Bargy being atleast an assistant, D'riss i woulda said master but now he was NK'd i know that hes not.

im still unsure on Master ima do some re-reads of the thread see who looks likely, but as stated by others some people havent really contributed much to really make a deffinitive comment im included in that too.

[Path-Shaper]

It is Day 5. 21 hours, 37 minutes remain.
7 Players still alive: Gamelon, Hood's Path, Kalse, Mockra, Osseric, Serc, Thyrllan

4 votes to lynch, 4 votes to go to night.


Players not voted: Gamelon, Hood's Path, Kalse, Mockra, Osseric, Serc, Thyrllan

This post has been edited by Path-Shaper: 25 January 2010 - 04:53 PM

[Kalse]

Well here is where I am.

I think that we did get an assistant. It was shown by Barghy ( who i think was a true card player) that alkend used a vig. That early in the game.. a heal is definately not likely. ( its possible, but like a 1/15 chance...) I am willing to base my game on the fact that Alkend vigged Kaschan. I can't see why anyone would vig Silchas. He came off as truly inno imo. Since that time, we have had a No kill night, and a 1 kill night. Mockra was guarded both nights. I say at worst... Mockra is an assistant. To me it seems, like we got an assistant and just have the master left. That leaves:


Me- Well i know thats not the case

Gamelon- Possible, but I tend not to think so. He did bust HP's Chops and Force reveal him. But I would more put this on an assistant that has nothing to lose and is trying to protect his master. So I would put Gamelon in the inno or assistant role.

Serc- Definately a master possibility. Even though he busts my chops for not posting much or being able to get a read on certain people, he has stayed nicely under the radar, posting just enough to get by. I can't eliminate him from master suspicion. I would be willing to vote him.

Thyr- Also a possibility, hasn't posted enough for me to get a read on. I could see him being the master, i could also see him being inno. I don't think he is an assistant.

Osseric- Who??? I have no idea, could be anything... this is why i like to lynch low posters early. ( see my post about Alkend) it comes to end game and you have 0 read on them, but can't lynch them off hand because it's so close to the end game. I would be willing to vote him. I just wish we would have done it 2 days ago when numbers weren't such an issue. Please Post Osseric.... you aren't helping us much.

Hoods Path- I could see him being the master. BUT if thats the case, then we have to roll with the assumption that either: 1. we have 2 assistant remaining, or 2. Olar or Barghast were an assistant ( this would make sense as Barghy is the one that "cleared" HP saying he was guarded. I haven't cleared Barghy as an assistant. If he was, it makes a lot of sense that he would confirm that HP couldn't have had a Night 2 NK


Where does this leave us... I have no clue. I think we have 1 assistant down putting us at 5 vs 2. So even if we lynch wrong today..have 1 nk (maybe 0 if we have a lucky heal) . then we are sitting at 3-2 tonorrow and it's D-Day.

[Kalse]

Hood, on 25 January 2010 - 04:34 PM, said:

Hmmm theres not a lot from Osseric at all, most of the start is all chaff, like im not gonna be round now, ive got no idea whats going on. Then there seems to be a lot of going with the flow , then trying to work out who was targetted by the mayor (not actually sure why that mattered really ).

So theres no really enough to go on, he could definitely be scum trying to lie low but i cant say for sure.

Finding out who had the mayor card would be important because if an inno actually used it that early in the game... they are a dumbass. On the other hand it would be a good card for scum to use as they could possibly divert a lynch from a fellow scum member. I was hoping someone would come forward and answer his question about who used it because I would really like to hear their defense on how it helped us. Whoever used it is imo a likely scum member.

That being said I agree with your assesment on Osseric. Which is basically ... come out and play, because if you are innocent.. you aren't helping in the least.

[Hood's Path]

Gam cant have been consort night 1 and an assistant.

[Hood's Path]

but he didnt seem to be trying to work out who had it, he was trying to work out who was targetted by it from what i could tell.

[Gamelon]

I what now what?

[Hood's Path]

err sorry bout that , first comment was about you. The second was replying to Kalses point about Osseric

[Gamelon]

So, anyone who's under suspicion wanna reveal their card/action last night to give us more information? I was Consort again!

[Hood's Path]

Ive already done that
. I was Guard and i guarded Mockra

[Gamelon]

I was hoping you wouldn't say nothing and Mockra wouldn't realize you had and might've slipped if he was master... but oh well, thanks for sharing