HoosierDaddy, on 11 September 2009 - 07:48 PM, said:
Now, you all claim me being blind about the possibility of one killer and a vig having gone off last night, Alt is denying the possibility of two killers, which is wcs and the way to play. If we look at the options, Ment couldn't have vigged because he was guarded (or that is a lie). I didn't vig. Thus, there are two killers. For me, it's as simple as that, and either the guard is scum and lying and Ment vigged last night, a possibility granted, or Alt is scum trying to get people think we have more time than there is. Hell, nobody is even really posting to begin with, so trying to persuade people it isn't D-Day, when I think it is, is scummy play to me.
That's it. I see stubborness in the face of what I see as common sense and don't like it. That's why I'm voting for him.
Hold on.
Ment did nothing, as he was guarded. Or the guard is lying.
You didn't vig. Or you are lying.
Now, if the guard is lying, why would they do that? Because they would be scum, so who did they actually guard knowing as we do that NK's and normal actions can be used on the same night?
Now, if I was lying about not submitting my guard, why would I do that? It gains me nothing, even if I am scum to claim I didn't submit my
normal night action.
hinter - guard -> Ment
hoosierdaddy - vig -> No Action
tapper - RI -> No action
silencer - guard -> No Action
mappo - healer ->
dk - vig -> PB, modkilled
alt - healer ->
ment - vig -> Guarded, no action, dead
veng - healer -> Silencer
bent - RI -> No action
gavin - guard -> dead
pb - RI -> dead
So. Last night only Ment was guarded, at best. Gavin either chose to guard a RI, or simply missed scum. But with two vigs who did nothing, and a third with a known, confirmed target, we have two spare kills. Separate killers? Fuck, we lose. Which means that one of our vigs fired off their load last night. Which means that scum is either Hinter or Hoosier, simply. We lynch one of those two today, and I guard the other at night. That's a good plan, no?