[Tellan]

Omtose, on Oct 13 2008, 10:22 PM, said:

Oh fuck me

remove vote

Haha, feel free to look around the site to see what I should be doing instead of playing mafia

[Emurlahn]

So, we think Fener was FM(or at least I do)
We therefore think that the new FM is nouvetella.
We have 2 days to find the FM, before he can swap(I think, one for prep/one to kill yes?)
There are 3 nouvetella to choose from, gamelon, shadow and omtose.

I think we've got a pretty damn good chance of hitting the FM.

[Galain]

Barghast, on Oct 13 2008, 09:24 PM, said:

Ok. There are 3 Nouvs, Omtose, Shadow, and Gamelon.

We lynch one today. We lynch the other one tommorow. And the remaining dons (there is one alive I'm certain of) probably haven't used up all of their investigations/kills. So, they target one of the remaining Nouveletta players during the night. If that player is the clan leader, he will die. Chances of us taking out the FM are 83%.

nice odds



yeah i'm pretty sure that Fener was the FM too, but how to choose out of the 3 Nouvs now? its a bastard choice, and Omtose has made it harder if thats possible, coz i had an idea, but him outing has confounded me lol

This post has been edited by Galain: 13 October 2008 - 08:28 PM

[Kaschan]

I think that, especially after the end-of-day-2 fiasco, gamelon would have been too visble (i.e, had too many people pissed off at him) to make a good FM target.
Shadow managed to stay almost completely off the radar--just what the FM would be looking for, imho. at the end of yesterday, Shadow didn't reaveal much more of himself either. Leaving him a good FM target. I had a hard time figuring out which family he was with, and I had the added bonus of knowing my don to draw conclusions. the FM wouldn't know that, so it's easy to assume he made a mistake when picking Shadow.
Shadow's play made it just as easy to thonk he was a Corleone or a Di Lauro.

[Omtose]

You had better thank me after this for drawing him out. I know we had no chance to win But I didn't have to do this for the rest of you.

[Kaschan]

Barghast, on Oct 13 2008, 04:24 PM, said:

Ok. There are 3 Nouvs, Omtose, Shadow, and Gamelon.

We lynch one today. We lynch the other one tommorow. And the remaining dons (there is one alive I'm certain of) probably haven't used up all of their investigations/kills. So, they target one of the remaining Nouveletta players during the night. If that player is the clan leader, he will die. Chances of us taking out the FM are 83%.

Omtose's the least suspicious one to me
I say we go for Shadow today and for Gam tomorrow, if the FM is still around.

[Kaschan]

Omtose, on Oct 13 2008, 04:28 PM, said:

You had better thank me after this for drawing him out. I know we had no chance to win But I didn't have to do this for the rest of you.

ok, I hereby forgive you for not voting Korv.
Still, spoilers know, I thought it was shadow even before you came out...

[Tellan]

Barghast, on Oct 13 2008, 10:24 PM, said:

Ok. There are 3 Nouvs, Omtose, Shadow, and Gamelon.

We lynch one today. We lynch the other one tommorow. And the remaining dons (there is one alive I'm certain of) probably haven't used up all of their investigations/kills. So, they target one of the remaining Nouveletta players during the night. If that player is the clan leader, he will die. Chances of us taking out the FM are 83%.

That's a good plan. I dont like giving the triad extra time though. I'm not sure how you get 83%. I dont like the risk that we'll take out the two who ARENT the FM then be in the exact same situation two days from now.

[Gamelon]

I'm not sure what to think, although I have a feeling who might be the fm, but I don't have any real arguments, so I'm not going to reveal my thoughts yet. I don't however have any real feeling about Fener, so I can't make an assessment about him being FM or not.

This much I can reveal at least, that I think the Fm is hiding among the most vocal players. I could be wrong, but it's the thing that makes most sense atm. I guess we can be somewhat sure that the Fm has indeed switched by now?

[Emurlahn]

I've checked the times Gamelon is on. He hasnt made an AM post yet. I am going to go see if either of the other Nouvs have changed time zone all of a sudden...

[Galain]

Kaschan, on Oct 13 2008, 09:27 PM, said:

I think that, especially after the end-of-day-2 fiasco, gamelon would have been too visble (i.e, had too many people pissed off at him) to make a good FM target.
Shadow managed to stay almost completely off the radar--just what the FM would be looking for, imho. at the end of yesterday, Shadow didn't reaveal much more of himself either. Leaving him a good FM target. I had a hard time figuring out which family he was with, and I had the added bonus of knowing my don to draw conclusions. the FM wouldn't know that, so it's easy to assume he made a mistake when picking Shadow.
Shadow's play made it just as easy to thonk he was a Corleone or a Di Lauro.

but wen he would have chosen to go for Gamelon (as it takes 2 weeks), Gam wud still only have been a middling player, reasonable post count, not a lot of enemies etc etc... and only after that did shit start to crumble around Gam. the FM might hav felt it necessary to carry on the swap. and now we have a quieter Gamelon which is a wee bit out of character...

EDIT: shit grammar again, warblings are ever full of errors

This post has been edited by Galain: 13 October 2008 - 08:35 PM

[Gamelon]

Tellan, on Oct 13 2008, 08:30 PM, said:

That's a good plan. I dont like giving the triad extra time though. I'm not sure how you get 83%. I dont like the risk that we'll take out the two who ARENT the FM then be in the exact same situation two days from now.

I think it's pretty safe to say that we have to be pretty sure we're hitting the FM, otherwise we will indeed be in the exact same place again.

[Omtose]

vote shadow this sucks

[Omtose]

Gamelon, on Oct 13 2008, 04:34 PM, said:

Tellan, on Oct 13 2008, 08:30 PM, said:

That's a good plan. I dont like giving the triad extra time though. I'm not sure how you get 83%. I dont like the risk that we'll take out the two who ARENT the FM then be in the exact same situation two days from now.

I think it's pretty safe to say that we have to be pretty sure we're hitting the FM, otherwise we will indeed be in the exact same place again.

oh I'm prety sure Gams playing the same way

[Emurlahn]

vote shadow

He's nouvetella and I think thats where the FM is.

[Gamelon]

Wtf, Galain, what's your motherfucking problem you hypocrite! I'm not out of character, I'm just taking this seriously.

[Galain]

then again Gam does sound the same. god dam

and dammit some more im lost

This post has been edited by Galain: 13 October 2008 - 08:41 PM

[Gamelon]

Omtose, you fucker.