Tatts can't score either of the 2VP POs, and the only 1VP PO he has left is Intimidate Council. Assuming he puts himself in a position to do so (not sure why he didn't just retreat his ships from Mecatol to Bereg/Lirta), he could score a max of 2VPs this round, assuming he has an SO he can score.
He still has Mecatol, so if he gets Imperial next round, and manages 2VP this round, he'll still be one away from 10VP.
IH will be at 9, Morgoth will be at 8 or 9, Twelve will be at 6 or 7, and I'll be at 6.
I *should* be able to impede IH, it'll be up to you guys to do something about Morgoth, and the win will go to either Tatts or Twelve. Should be interesting!
Of course, all of this is assuming there's not a surprise VP in the Agenda Phase, or someone doesn't get an Imperial Rider through.