Alkend, on 25 March 2014 - 02:34 PM, said:
Eloth, on 18 March 2014 - 09:55 PM, said:
Ok, in my re-read this stood out to me. This is the day Galayn Lord was up for lynch, at L-1 actually. Before GL actually did his full reveal, Eloth removes.
This makes me feel he is rather PI. Scum can make statements like "he will probably be inno" or "he strikes me as inno" because they KNOW and will be able to say "i told you so". But because they also want lynches and while town has something to lose if they lynch wrong, scum don't have to worry about that. It's hard to see scum removing here, or at least being the FIRST to remove here.
This makes Eloth look better to me.
Very good point, nice catch. I had forgotten that the modkill now makes this D-Day unless we lynch scum, as Korabas pointed out. Eloth's play so far with Alkend's comment above pretty much clears Eloth for me, if we have one lynch left. It also makes me PI Alkend for some gut reason; he's been making a good case on Denul all game, sometimes more here or there, but I think he's on the level.
I want to quote Bek's last post again:
Bek Okhan, on 24 March 2014 - 05:21 PM, said:
I think Denul might well be scum because that's a drive-by vote combined with Tiam has a town vibe! elements.
I don't like Tiam any more than I did before and Okaros worded perfectly why, and Korabas got the OL-Alkend thing wrong. Incidentally , Gusty's list was MO/Tiam/Korabas. I think he'll be 2/3 right, at the least.
Kesso.... Is it bad that I hope for a modkill?
My priority for tomorrow is Tiam, secondary target is Denul.
Ok, let's just all marvel at how brilliantly Tapper laid this out. Kesso was modkilled, just as he predicted/hoped. His top two suspects - first Tiam, then Denul. Only other player he suspects could be scum is Korabas due to GL's case.
I think this, combined with the rest of the cases laid on Tiam and Denul, makes them prime targets. Korabas I think is secondary - if we lynch correctly today and survive, he goes back on the list with whomever we didn't lynch.
So in my mind, I agree totally with Bek. Tiam is priority. Something that always niggled me about Tiam's return is how it went from "I don't give a fuck, do you want my vote?" to the now-helpful townie that doesn't back down under pressure or get overly defensive. He also made a really strong case for Kesso (which I admit, was compelling), but Kesso was basically at modkill at that point and a lynch would have been a waste if any of us besides Eloth was paying attention to the time between Kesso's posts.
I think it was said even in this game (maybe even by Tiam) that the best scum often look like really good town players. I'm not saying all good town players must be scum, but the way Tiam "returned" to the thread seems like a perfect example of this kind of play. My best guess is scum hiding under what looks like good town play after low-posting until we called him on it.
Also, the way Denul derailed the Tiam lynch and gave Tiam the ability to swing it over to OL is still majorly suspicious and implicates both Tiam and Denul (since Denul said he would vote Tiam, the player with the most votes, and then didn't, effectively making the swing possible).
That said, I think I'm going to drop a vote here in a minute, but I do want to revisit the lynch trains first.