So I have gone back over Kesso's posts. I am putting them all here because there are only 14. He has pushed a modkill twice that I could see. Of course since he has hardly been under any pressure he has just been able to get on and most to avoid being modkilled. Then he isn't heard from for another 30 hours. He built a case on GL (before GL revealed) then voted for locke. That being the only lynch train that he has been on. I could see him being either a totally uninterested towny or a serious low posting scum who is posting just enough to not be modkilled.
Now to take a look at Alkend.
Kessobahn, on 12 March 2014 - 01:15 PM, said:
Kessobahn, on 13 March 2014 - 06:35 PM, said:
Wtf? I open my phone to see a modkillable post? Totally uncool man.
Kessobahn, on 13 March 2014 - 06:35 PM, said:
Kessobahn, on 13 March 2014 - 07:25 PM, said:
So this is where a claw is mentioned, but I remember this as actually being a part of the book, so it's possible this is just flavor, and/or Lock knows something we don't. It's only put up as a possibly, and WJ is skeptical, and also
so no claw there. I'm leaning towards Lock knowing something we don't. And for a day one case, this is better than nothing.
Vote Lock
Kessobahn, on 14 March 2014 - 08:59 PM, said:
Personally, I feel like either A) Bek is scum trying to seem helpful but with a lot of holes in his case, and Okaros is legitimately trying to counter it and show that Bek is scummy due to his case,
Okaros is jumpy scum, or C) two overeager, aggressive townies chomping at the bit to catch scum. I'm honestly not sure which one to go with yet, after seeing each of these three possibilities fulfilled in other games (See Espers for A).
Kessobahn, on 14 March 2014 - 09:02 PM, said:
Totally agree with you, Amp. Just reading over how the voting happened, there wasn't any swing, and it just kind of seemed like a resigned piling on of votes to get a lynch, as opposed to scum quickly building up a train in the final minutes to get a lynch. Of course, as you say, there could be scum on that train, but there's nothing to suggest that its any more likely than your average lynch train.
Kessobahn, on 18 March 2014 - 02:45 PM, said:
Ok, I'm back and partially read up. I won't vote Okaros or Bek (at least today) because I think the way their argument has progressed has me leaning towards the scenario that they're both townies who simply had a disagreement, not that either of them is scum. Now I'll be reading up on the Eloth and Denul trains.
Kessobahn, on 18 March 2014 - 03:06 PM, said:
All right, I'm read up fully now and honestly, neither the Denul or Eloth cases have much basis. As I understand it, Denul's is based on him being a low poster, then jumping in posts to be a medium posters over a short period of time. I've actually done this multiple times, with no correlation to my alignment, and have gotten flak for being scummy because of it each time. So I think the whole "jumping in post count" scum tell is less accurate than we think. Eloth's case actually seems to have basis only in the fact that he's being a low poster, and it's ironically posted by another relatively low poster. Now, as someone who rarely is anywhere near the top in post count, I can't really vote on the basis of low posting. Of course Galayn Lord, who voted Eloth, has a bit of an odd post where he outlines his suspicions before voting, which I just want to post here:
So GL puts suspicion on four separate people, out of the remaining 13, which many people believe is the number of scum. Of course, since I'm on that list, and I know for a fact I'm town, it seems to me like GL is setting up possible compromise lynch targets for the rest of the game. Who would put four different targets out there as suspicious, but instead of exploring each of them (he doesn't even quote mine and Amp's so called "dodgy language"), he goes on to vote Eloth for simply being a low poster. That doesn't sit right with me. If Amp, Tiam and myself are all suspicious due to actual evidence, then why go after Eloth, who's only sin is being a low poster? I don't like this post, seems too much like scum setting up targets so he can vote them later in the game without garnering suspicion. I know this evidence isn't particularly strong, but the post itself has my gut scumdar going crazy.
I'm going to be clear here, this is not an OMGUS vote, but a vote based on gut and this post which doesn't sit right with me.
Vote Galayn Lord.
Kessobahn, on 18 March 2014 - 10:54 PM, said:
Well that was an interesting end to the day. So GL is PI, Alkend is either paranoid town or scum so desperate to seem town that he actually seems scummy. I'm going to go reread the Alkend case posted earlier to see where it's coming from right now. I'm honestly not sure who to look for right now, but I'll be reading up more and trying to make some sense of this game.
Kessobahn, on 18 March 2014 - 11:01 PM, said:
Alkend, on 18 March 2014 - 10:35 PM, said:
GL, you are an idiot. Why would I openly disbelieve and kill Kilava anyways? Smart scumwould have kept them around.
Unless of course they felt fiddler was a finder, in which case your reveal was the dumbest fucking thing ever.
NK analysis is WIFOM. You could have disbelieved and killed Kilava so you could avoid suspicion because it's so suspicious that no scum would do it, or just tried to avoid suspicion in the first place by not disbelieving or disbelieving and not killing Kilava. Either way is possible, so the argument itself doesn't really matter. This is just a pissing match at this point.
Kessobahn, on 20 March 2014 - 08:25 PM, said:
So sorry ive been close to modkill. Nice catch on scum! I'll be reading up now and try to contribute some more. School just started up again and its really hectic