Rashan, on 06 June 2012 - 02:53 PM, said:
1 - Amp has said he has a find ability, Eloth has said that Amp is the Joker. If Amp is the Joker, and he has a find ability, the Day 1 broadcast where the Joker said that Osseric is Batman may very well be true. The fact that Osseric is basically going batshit at Eloth trying to find out who the 3rd CL is, when it very clearly would be bad for town AND the cults if BM found the 3rd CL right away, just makes me want to believe this more and more. This is my strongest belief at the moment, so I will
vote Osseric
2 - Everyone has been talking like they are sure what the Poison Ivy message says - that Poison Ivy and Joker know each other because they tried to recruit Karosis. I think this has been debunked seeing as Eloth has said he was the one who tried to recruit Karosis. So what is Poison Ivy trying to say to Joker? Does she have information about some other CL that she wanted to pass on? Maybe she was just trying to call a truce with Joker? Could they know who each other is? If so, how? The Joker's response was not very helpful in deciphering this... For now I'm going to think that they are just confirming a truce, which means they should both be jumping on the lynch Eloth train to get rid of him... So if we can't get a lynch on Batman (aka Osseric) today, I will be looking at whoever jumped on the Eloth train quickly to find Poison Ivy and/or The Joker. That means Omtose and Tulas and Osseric. Seeing as I believe that Osseric is Batman, that leaves Tulas and Omtose for Poison Ivy and/or the Joker.
2 - If Osseric is not Batman, I think we should be looking at Liosan. The only thing I can say about this at the moment is that Liosan popped up within about 20 minutes of the VIG post from PS yesterday, and that's one of like 6 posts he's made. He again popped up just as night resolved, and night took a while to resolve, I am assuming, because not all NAs were in yet, so they couldn't proceed until someone got their NAs in. If Liosan is not Batman, he could very well be one of the unconfirmed Cult Leaders.
Your points 1 and 2 are in direct contradiction with each other here. You say that it would clearly be bad if the 3rd CL was found, but then continue to speculate about where the CLs might be (see underlined sections). Why are you so willing to speculate openly on thread?