Silencer, on 30 September 2010 - 09:47 AM, said:
You also have to consider, Tapper, that PB, Bent, Hoosier and I had a good thing going. Ruining that by killing our own backup (of sorts...loose coalition for a day at least) is kinda stupid.
In any case, outside of meta - and yes, this is altless, yes, it may make sense, but it is STILL meta - your primary motive for trying to get rid of me is nothing. Perhaps that I'm one of only two players left who willingly gathered together to lynch another party? That would make sense, as it makes me a threat to you if Hoosier and I decided to pull the same thing today. Smart play, but a bit alienating to Hoosier, and Vengeance who was quite keen to get in on the deal also...
@Hoosier, you don't have to choose between us. Tapper has placed his chips on lynching me, which he will now lose whether his dealer-lynch on me succeeds or not unless I am lynched. That doesn't mean you have to side with one of us at all. You could still vote Shin or Vengeance, and I'm sure you would get some support, which would eventually swing everyone around.
There's no point in betting on my lynch until Tapper has used his dealer lynch, though, because he may yet decide to use it on someone else and push a normal lynch through on me (as it doesn't gain him chips either way), and he may use his dealer lynch on me once you put chips down on my death, in which case you lose your bet on my lynch as I can no longer be lynched.
While you have some points there, there is also a hole in your theory.
4 of you gained a massive amount of chips. Yes, it would be an alliance of sorts, but there would also be a bunch of have-nots, who would be willing to band together and vote for either of you guys. One of you would have decided to change sides over and count on the gratitude of the others in making a lynch possible, to ward him of being the lynch the next day.
Also, by submitting kills, 3 players are gone now, 6 are left. With the yield you have now, you can protect yourself and try kills, while having betting options. The have-nots (of which I am obviously not a part), are more or less actionless.
So, actually, that puts us in a very interesting position. You, HD and me almost or fully doubled. Venge, Shin and alt don't, unless one or two of them are cheaters.
So, there are 2 power blocks - the haves, and the haves-not-so-much.
The thing is, are we willing and able to exploit that?