BLOCK OF TEXT INC. YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED.
HERE THERE BE BLOCK OF TEXT. COVER YOUR EYES INITIALLY, AND PROCEED WITH CAUTION.
HERE BE BLOCK OF TEXT. UNFORTUNATELY YOU MIGHT READ IT. IF YOU SURVIVE IT, YOU MIGHT HAVE TO READ IT AGAIN.
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"The gentle breeze coming through the barred windows offered little comfort to D'riss... His eyes wandered into the
content of the ornate clay cup he was holding.The red wine seemed his only compassion, his solitude. But even that
was unable to stop the fire racing within him.He noticed the fingers, the accusing glares.Some weren't even carefull
to keep their voice low enough...
-Rebelous scum..
-Traitor..
The anger, the temper was rising..a flame turning to a bonfire and going.. to inferno...If the conditions were different
he wouldn't even hesitate, there was only one way to answer such preposterous insults and accusations.And that would be
with the end of his sword.
He shook his head, trying to clear his thoughts.Tiny drops of sweat appeared to his forhead.He raised the cup once more.
He had forgotten how many times he has done that, now.It reached his lips, but as soon as the chilled liquid touched his
tongue he froze...
Whoosing sounds from dresses coming up behind him...
Tiny footsters on the wooden floor..
Female whispers...
-Chong Ji is dead...
-The Commandant of the Ru Nan is dead..
Suddenly the wine didn't taste good anymore.Bitter.. rotten..
With one swift move, he rose from his crossleged position, turned sideways and took two quick steps.The women almost bumped
into him , and were quick to avert their eyes towards the floor once they recognized the Emperial Officer Regalia.
The volume of his voice was low, but deadly clear.A sharp order.The women rushed towards the exit of the Grant Hall...
Making his way to the center of the room, he inspected the walls.
-The west one will suffice.. It has enough space- he thought.
With steady assuring steps, he positioned himself infront of it.. and waited.
Not for long.The two women were back, stopping 4 footsteps before him as protocol commanded.He quickly inspected what they
were carrying.With a satisfing nod, he passed his wine cup to one of them and lifted the big roll of papyrus paper she had
in her arms.Unfolding it slowly, he pinned its edges as high as he could, leting it run down the edge of the wall like a
waterfall.Unbuckling his guantlets, he secured them in his belt.With his swordarm, he picked up the elegant longbrush that
the second woman was holding, and dipped it lightly into the container with the dark paint..
-Chong Ji.. This is the only way I can draw.. I can only hope you will find it enough- he whispered.
With quick lashes from his right arm, the brush touched the paper and started dancing on it.As the ideograms appeared
one after the other, his rythm quickened.He was sure that enough set of eyes within the room were now focused
on what he was doing.It pleased him."
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In case any of you doesn't remember, this was Eloths analysis:
Quote
Now somone suggested two killers but there was only one kill, now in a twenty or so person game
would the mod only leave one kill in the game. Someone suggested a set up of two killers and three symp,
ok I can see the two killer argument but the three symps |I'll have to re read the OP. But based on a number
of 5 scum in 20 players and they win with majority. They need to get it to 9 players. They need to kill 11 people.
Or 9 people now. So with that Day 6 is the earliest they can win with 5 players with no losses
He backed up said analysis once more , here
Quote
D'riss when you do math on mafia all we really need to know in the various set up that you imagine when will it
become crucial to get correct lynches before the scum win.
Which I already did.
But dare I ask the rest of you: Is still Day 6 the earliest scum can win, or are we dancing into someone elses flute?
Just for Eloth, I will make another attempt at this.
I am aware that I am probably digging my own grave here (hell, I've dug half of it already, I might as well finish it)
The following analysis is based on the worse possible senario, meaning town makes the worse decisions they can make which
include: All lynches being townie, Town vig (if any, and if used) targets townie, Guard (if any) guards a townie instead of
scum, etc etc etc
State of the game: Day two, 18 players left , 2 roled scum and probably 3 symps.
If all scum survive, town loses (or scum win, whichever way you prefer) when there are 9 players left.
Out of the two roled scum , so far we have these possibilities:
1) Two seperate killers who simply got lucky, without any outside communication.
2) Two seperate killers with outside communication.
3) Outside communication for killers, but both need to target same person for a kill to register.
Worse case senario , Number (2).
Roles: guard/healer/vig/?? . Again not clear which combo would make the most balanced game. Perhaps someone else can come
up with that.Both killers being vigs could result in this ending sooner, and in gore.Both town and scum having a vig each?
Perhaps. Will try to present cases on
(1.1) No vigs
(1.2) One vig in game [Doesn't matter if vig is scum or town, since we are only worried about worse case senario, we can
assume if vig is town, his vig ends up targeting an inno {if vig ends up dying without using it, we go back to (1.1)}
(1.3) Two vigs in game (town/scum).
Now, let us see in how many days we can reach the Lynch-or-Lose bottleneck.
I.1) Two seperate killers with outside communication, no vigs in game, all lynches end up targeting townie.
Killer scum might decide to mix it up by killing 1 in one night and 2 in the other.This will prolong the game and
buy the town more time to get a successfull lynch.If they go all out which is the worse case senario, this will be
the outcome.
Day 2:18 alive, Lynch + 2 NK , 15 left
Day 3:15 alive, Lynch + 2 NK , 12 left
Day 4:12 alive, Lynch + 2 NK , 9 left (Game Over)
I.2) Same case as (I.1) but we add a vig in there. We will still make it to Day 4 with 11 alive if the vig is used on Day
2,3 or 4 killing a townie, so Day 4 remains the Lynch-or-lose Day.
I.3) Same case as (I.1) but with 2 vigs involved.
I.3.a ) Scum vig is used, townie vig isn't used- Refer to (I.2), Lynch-or-Lose Day 4.
I.3.b ) Scum vig is used, townie vig is used targeting a townie.If both are used before Day 4, we end up with 10 alive in
Day 4, making it again Lynch-or-Lose day.
II.1) Outside communication for killers but both need to target same person to register a kil, no vigs in game, all lynches
end up targeting townie.
Day 2:18 alive, Lynch + 1 NK , 16 left
Day 3:16 alive, Lynch + 1 NK , 14 left
Day 4:14 alive, Lynch + 1 NK , 12 left
Day 5:12 alive, Lynch + 1 NK , 10 left
Day 6:10 alive, Lynch + 1 NK , 8 left (Game Over)
II.2) Same case as (I.2) but we add a vig in there.
II.2.a ) Vig gets used in Day 2, or 3, or 4.
Day 5:11alive, Lynch + 1 NK , 9 left (Game Over)
II.2.b ) Vig gets used in Day 5.
Day 5:12 alive, Vig + Lynch + 1 NK, 9 left (Game Over)
II.2.c ) Vig doesn't get used in Day 5.We end up in Day 6, which is already our Lynch-or-Lose day from (II.1).
II.3) Same case as (I.2) but we add two vigs in there.Any combination of them being used in Day 2, 3 , or 4 will leave us
with 10 alive in Day 5, making it the Lynch-or-Lose day.
Now having said that, if all hell breaks lose, and everything goes wrong, town can get cornered as early as Day 4.
Even if this night gets through with 1 NK, we still don't know if we are dealing with both scum needing to target the same
player for a kill , since they might decide to use that as a surprise, in the final push.Even if that is the case, if you
go back to (II.1) and replace any (1 NK) with (2 NK), it will get us to a Lynch-or-Lose in Day 5 (which might prove to be
enough time for the town or not, either way it gives the town one more day)
So the conclusion is this:
-If town is dealing with two killers that can kill seperetly with outside communication we have as little as Day 4, OR
they can use 1 NK in the following nights as a smokescreen and corner the town in Day 5.Vigs will not alter the worse
outcome.
-If the town is dealing with two killers that must target the same person to kil with outside communication, we have as
little as Day 6 without a vig, Day 5 if vigs are involved.
Now, is above mentioned analysis of the game sound, or am I missing something? And if it is, why does Eloth wants the town
to believe that they have until Day 6, when in fact there are some occassions that they clearly don't.
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"With a final thrust, he added the last of it.Moving his hand sideways, he allowed the longbrush to fall into the container,
and he picked up his wine cup once more.Staring at the papyrus, his knuckles and slowly his fingers started to turn white.
Tiny wrinkles appeared on the surface of the calm liquid.
*CRACccccCCCKKKKKK*
Not being able to withstand more pressure, the clay gave in, shattering to various small pieces, that tinckled around on
the wooden floor among his feet.His eyes still danced on his writings, when he heard the tiny female cry from his right
side.Turning his head slightly , with the corner of his eye he caught one of the women starting at his hand, her position
almost leaning forward, ready to close in, when she noticed his gaze on her.Trembling, she lowered her arms and resumed
her previous posture.Only then did he take notice that something thinker and darker was now dripping from the edge of his
fingers, and landing on the small wine puddle on the floor.
-Oh, but it is only fiting.. He smiled crookingly, and raised his bloodied hand once more, adding to the papyrus hanging
on the wall.
"When the Son of Heaven commands, I can only obey.
I will remain here.
I am waiting."
He folded all the fingers inside his palm, and extended the middle one.He pressed his hand with such force on the paper,
that the wall behind it squicked in complain.
Satisfied with the imprint, he secured his gauntlets back, and with a quick wave dismissed both women.Marching back, he
once again assumed his crossleged position on the floor. This night there would be no warm sheets to cover his body, no
pillow to rest his head on.This room and its lifeless objects will be the witnesses of what ever fate might be.Unbuckling
the swordbelt, he ceremoniously folded it, and let it sit beside him.He rested the sword across his knees, and removed the
rope protector that tied the weapon to the sheathe.Right hand on the hilt, left hand at the edge of the seathe, he closed
his eyes...
And waited..."
PS: My apologies if this was too long, or redirects people from their train of thought- took some time to write it between chores and it
seems some were quicker than me and started building cases.Simply carry on, after that small break.
PSS: If your eyes bled from grammar or anything , I'm sorry. Well, not really.
PSSS: Emorp in before Emo-rp posts.