Posted 13 March 2009 - 07:24 PM
Oki, a short and quick case.
1) D'riss does some quick counting and thinks we may reach 5 inno vs 3 scum if both find targets still live, and we can then reveal.
2) I approach GL and ask him if both targets he did a find on, still live - knowing that we will then reveal
3) GL at that time lies
4) we reveal both, and no finds have been done on us
5) GL says wow and can't believe his good fortune - he doubts, of course.
6) we say we can prove that we can talk to one another, but have no codes, but since I'm a replacement due to Shadow's modkill, I can point you all to the exact spot - and I do.
At that time, you haven't investigated Anomandaris, Telas, Tennes, D'riss and me.
So, the scum is there, somewhere in those 5.
If we were paired killers, would we reveal?
If there was another healer, wouldn't he counter?
Anomandaris counterreveals. He accepts the healer reveal and first rages against GL that he is a symp, and how he would have wanted to wait with his own reveal for 2 days.
Point 1 against Ano: 8 people alive now. In 2 days, 2 lynches + 2 nks unless someone targeted GL, that's four. If GL was a symp, then it would be game over one way or another - either cause his master was dead, or because scum tied town 2 for 2. This reeks of haste, not of strategy.
He knows at that point that we can't really shoot him down, we haven't seen the facts from GL yet so we're indecisive. If you examine his posts closely, you will see that unlike GL, he accepts the healer reveal ebntirely. Does not so much as waste a word on it.
Point 2 against Ano: Look what he's doing now... you guys have examined the possibility that on the current results, he cannot be disqualified as a fake reveal straight away, nor do his results conflict with yours for now. So, you back him up and want to keep him around. And now that hye has the benefit of the doubt, he attacks the healers - against whom he hadn't uttered a single word so far.
Point 2b: if Driss and I were killers, why would we reveal, and not have lynched Telas or if he is by chance our symp, bring up Tennes (this was suggested by GL earlier today before the reveals, for fuck's sake), nk and then win? Our play makes no sense for killers, but a lot of sense for healers who are convinced they can win if everything is out in the open.
Point 3: through a combination of your own finds, Ano's own finds and our reveal, only Tennes is left open as an unknown and therefore a good lynch - if all reveals are in good faith.
So, we do the logical thing.
Note that D'riss and I, through not knowing your finds, had no influence on this at all before, during and after our reveal - it is the combination of the finds of the for me confirmed finder-pair and Ano.
And now, Tennes reveals RI. Sure, claiming another inno role would be overdoing it, wouldn't it? He did not even counterclaim healer, which could have been believeable.
But Ano suddenly is in a big huff, playing the blame card at D'riss and me, stirring up trouble and telling we win if we are the liars.
Once again, does our play make sense if we are killers? Once again, how could we know stuff would turn up like it did, and on who finds were done? Once again, why would we have revealed?
More, what is the alternative from lynching Tennes? D'riss, or me?
As you can see, the killer would just LOVE that - no more healers to bother him. Especially when there is then still doubt whether Tennes or Telas or Ano himself is the killer, so you guys (= Serc + GL would be back to the start).
As such, I think Ano has been fake revealing.