Eloth, on 26 October 2009 - 12:09 PM, said:
Ampelas, on 26 October 2009 - 11:10 AM, said:
But point 2) are you saying Galain knew what faction everyone was on Day 1? Because thats that argument your presenting and reason for voting Omtose.
Voting Omtose seems pretty straight forward, as its really just would someone from Town react so badly and defend themselves like Omtose did?
Cos thats all there is to the case, I'm not sure one way or the other yet, with Bella alive i'd say maybe yes, but now Bella is dead, maybe not I keep seeing people trying to come up with these reasons for voting Omtose when they don't make much sense.
I'm not saying Galain did know all on his faction or all alignments, or even only Omtoses. All I am saying is that Bubba apparently reasoned that someone (Omtose) stood out and he made a case & voted. Scum isn't usually that proactive day 1 due to the chance of backfiring (although that is distincly WIFOM).
What I am partially willing to gamble on, is one thing: as a Cullen, Galain needed to eliminate (roughly) the same people as town needs to (assuming that Killers mean that the scum factions have a killer, maybe a pair? hard to conclude from the low amount of night deaths we have seen so far):
Quote
Cullens - Eliminate the Evil Vampires, the Coven and all original members of the Queleti
Queleti - Eliminate the Town, and all original members of the Cullens
Evil Vampires - Kill the Cullens, Werewolves, Coven and Bella Swan
Coven - Kill Edward Cullen, Carlisle Cullen, Jacob Black, Billy Black, Charlie Swan, Bella Swan and Renesmee Swan.
I assume that means that we have to eliminate the killers from evil vampires and coven but can leave the non-killing roles ('symps') or whatever else they have, alive, where the Cullens needed those dead, too. We need to get rid of all Cullens and Qs (I assume that means including recruits) whereas for the Cullens it was only the original wolves.
Had Galain been a Queleti or Coven, I wouldn't have used this kind of reasoning, nor if he was an evil vamp while Bella was alive, due to the chance he was gunning for a townie.
An additional (unlikely but still possible) support for Galain's choice: from wiki, I conclude that Carlisle was a doctor. If that translates to game mechanics, it could be Galain was a doctor, which is like a passive find. What if Omtose was wounded, went to see a doc, and ended up on Galain's surgery table?
Suppose we lynched Omtose, and suppose he'd come up as anything but town, that would be doubly advantageous for Galain: someone lynched who may be on his list, and since we lynch scum, we'd trust his instincts without wondering overly much where he got his info from, at least for a day or 2.
Mind you, all of the above is circumstantial. All of the above is farfetched and based on ifs and assumptions. I'm willing to take the gamble. We know one thing, and that is that Omtose overreacted to two votes. You can do a few things to having a few votes on you; defend comprehensively or laugh them off. He did neither, but reacted as if stung.
This may be some genuine info - i think the scum are likely paired and tapper suspected he had a symp somewhere.
Eloth, on 26 October 2009 - 12:36 PM, said:
Also, you hint at having a power role for town. That is indeed a good reason to not want to get lynched. If you have a power role, ware you considering a reveal? I definately hope you'll do that in time to stop a lynch, especially if you are Charlie Swan (although seeing how close coven seems to victory they may even counterclaim).
I know for a fact there is a doctor and she's alive and kicking (and if she's not town, then I'll have to blame myself, but I believe she is), so becoming wounded is going to be no issue for you, in fact, it would strengthen your claim as she'd find out your species if she's the one to treat you. I for one will be trusting her judgment.
However, when push comes to shove, I say it is a lot better to reveal than get lynched if you are town. I'd rather gamble on there being a healer to survive than on not getting lynched by your current defense, as it is hardly helping you so far. But that could just be me.
My vote stays for now.
Quoting this as its the first post where he mentions the doctor. I wonder if his partner coded doctor into the thread somewhere so they could reveal later. I certainly havent noticed any code, so if its very complicated i wonder how tapper actually found it without some prior knowledge.
Emurlahn, on 26 October 2009 - 01:53 PM, said:
If Olar isn't cullen, then what is he?
Town, Werewolves, and evil vampires benefit from destruction of cullens, so I don't think he is one of them.
Coven have killed all the cullens they need to kill, so if Olar is coven he may try to appear as the last cullen in a play to delay the other teams make them waste kills.
Remove Vote
Vote Olar Ethil
at this point, eloth had just got three votes in quick succession. This could be an attempt at steering the pressure away from eloth. Emur for me is a possibility for evil vamp symp.